Premiership football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:
Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.
Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.
Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.
Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 26th to Sun 27th November 2005.
|Sat 3:00||Arsenal v Blackburn|
|Arsenal managed to rest some players for their midweek game against Thun but were lucky to come away with a win. On the flipside they managed to get all 3 points last weekend at a difficult place to go, namely the JJB. Wigan ran them close but they have a talisman in Henry and they have a 100% record at home this season to boot. Blackburn's negative tactics didn't really work against City; they created virtually nothing and came away with a point but having scored their only away victory at Old Trafford they should feel more confident in securing away victories rather than playing for the draw. Don't doubt they will employ the same tactics at Highbury but Arsenal have the players to unlock the door. Arsenal to win comfortably.|
|Home Win 2-0|
|Aston Villa v Charlton|
|Charlton may be dropping off after the early pace they set but they have only lost the one away fixture, in which they were routed at Blackburn. Expect this to be a minor blip and normal service to be resumed; Charlton are balanced perfectly as a counter-attacking side and Villa still look fragile despite their recent win at Sunderland. Villa's home form is woeful having lost their last three, and they will be hoping that Bakke, Phillips and Delaney are all recovered from their ailments to be available for selection. The one thing O'Leary needs to find is some real pace and the transfer window can't come quick enough. Charlton should get back to winning ways.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|Man City v Liverpool|
|City have only lost once at home and given Liverpool's poor domestic away record this season City should start favourites, but Liverpool recently turned around their away form with a good 2-0 win at Villa; the question is can they maintain some away form? City have an extra man on the touchline in Stuart Pearce but many more intrusions on the playing surface may result in him watching from the stands. Benitez is keeping the faith with Peter Crouch even though he is still to score after 17 hours of football; apparently his overall contribution is enough to keep his place and what would be the odds on a Crouch winner. Liverpool haven't fully turned the corner as far as away fixtures go but the points are likely to be shared.|
|Sunderland v Birmingham|
|Double headers are rare this early in the season but this is definitely one, where bottom take on those immediately above them and 3 points will give some hope of survival to the victors. Normally home advantage would swing the result to the home side but Birmingham could well have the edge here. Sunderland have injury problems and have only earned 2 of their 5 points at home, where as Birmingham have David Dunn back and have earned 5 of their 6 points on the road. The future looks bleak for both clubs at the moment but the Blues look most likely to play their way out of it.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|Wigan v Tottenham|
|Arsenal came away from the JJB with nothing but admiration for their counterparts last weekend. Although Wigan may have lost they gave Arsenal as good as they got and Arsenal were hanging on at the end. Wigan are still in second place after 12 games and have traded blows on equal footing with the big boys so they deserve to be where they are. They have only lost twice at home, to Chelsea and Arsenal, and some may see Spurs getting something, but Spurs are in for a bit of a shock. They are struggling to live up to their billing of potential Champions League contenders and don't quite have the belief in themselves to go out and win games convincingly. Dropping 2 points at home to West Ham in injury time is evidence of this, and after starting with Keane it looks like Jol either doesn't know his best strike pairing or he's trying to keep everyone happy i.e. Keane and Defoe, assuming Mido is guaranteed his position. Spurs have only been beaten on the road by Bolton but they have only won twice away; expect Wigan to claim another scalp.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Sat 5:15||Portsmouth v Chelsea|
|Perrin's days look numbered, especially since Mandaric has decided he wants points from Portsmouth's most difficult run of matches this season. At most he has a couple of games left but if the chairman's patience runs out after a heavy defeat Perrin will be ditching his clothes at a nearby cove and wading back to France. Portsmouth are yet to win at home and the side they'd least like to see at Fratton Park are the Champions. If it wasn't for the spark provided by Joe Cole, Chelsea may have struggled at home to Newcastle but in the end they've got back on track with a convincing win. Chelsea have only slipped up on the road this season with a draw at Everton and defeat at Old Trafford but they should return to the Bridge with all 3 points. The only issue for Mourinho will be replacing Makelele who is out with a knee injury.|
|Away Win 0-2|
|Sun 1:30||Everton v Newcastle|
|Any thoughts of Everton having turned the corner should be consigned to the madhouse after their humiliation at the Hawthorns and they are now back amongst the relegation candidates. Marcus Bent was quoted as saying they didn't want to finish in the bottom half of the table but if they continue as is they'll finish the season in the Championship. To their credit they have taken 4 points from the last 2 home games after 3 consecutive home defeats but Newcastle are turning things around themselves and will pose problems. The Geordies gifted Chelsea the 3 points after defensive mistakes but they should have Shearer and Owen back for this one, and maybe even Luque could come off the bench. Newcastle's away record is by no means impressive but with the calibre of players they have, Everton should struggle.|
|Away Win 0-1|
|Sun 2:00||Fulham v Bolton|
|These 2 are well matched and despite the 9 places and 11 points that separate them, they both have similar records home and away respectively with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. Fulham tend to be erratic but have some good players that can turn a game; most notably Malbranque and Collins John, who netted a contender for goal of the season last weekend. The question will be whether Fulham can cope with Bolton's power play; they don't give up any lost causes and have players like Nolan who can take half chances. Hedge your bets with a share of the spoils.|
|Sun 3:00||Middlesbrough v West Brom|
|Boro often perform poorly after midweek European fixtures and don't expect it to be any different against West Brom, despite the fact that the Baggies have no away win to their name. McLaren's formations don't always work from one week to the next but when it does work it's usually quite effective. West Brom have just come off the back of an emphatic win over Everton and now have Ellington available who seems unaffected by the more demanding rigours of the Premiership. Apart from not having yet secured an away win, West Brom have only scored a single away goal in 6 outings so regardless of Boro's occasional poor form they should be favourites for the win.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Sun 4:00||West Ham v Man Utd|
|This one has already been billed as Ferdinand v Ferdinand and much has been made of their brotherly bet, but don't expect either to score here. Anton may have scored against Spurs but neither of them are exactly prolific. The Hammers have fairly good home form with 4 wins and only 1 loss from 6 games but they are up against United who have the best away form in the Premiership with 5 wins and 1 loss from 7 games. Though United have the distractions of Europe, these additional fixtures don't tend to disrupt their Premiership form too much, and regardless of the draw against Villareal they will be buoyed by a good win at Charlton. They also have Saha back from injury which gives them added options. United to get another win on the road.|
|Away Win 0-1|