Archived Premiership Tips (4th March 2006)

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Archived Premiership Football Betting Tips (4th March 2006)

Premiership football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 4th to Mon 6th March 2006.

Archived Premiership football betting tips (4th to 6th Mar 2006)

Sat 12:45 West Brom v Chelsea
  West Brom really needed to win against Boro last weekend to close the gap on Boro immediately above them and give themselves some breathing space between them and the relegation candidates below. Failing in this task has left them only 3 points above Birmingham having played an extra game; so now that a win seems ever more vital they play host to runaway champions Chelsea. West Brom have the best home form of the bottom sides but tend to either win or lose games, having only drawn on 1 occasion. Chelsea have only lost 2 away games this season; to United and more recently to a rejuvenated Boro but who would bet on them losing another? Chelsea are likely to come away from the Hawthorns with another 3 points but the possibility of West Brom holding them until half-time should be considered; Chelsea have drawn/won 12 games this season whilst the Baggies have drawn/lost 8 games.
Away Win 0-2
Sat 3:00 Aston Villa v Portsmouth
  Villa's home form has been poor but not as poor as Portsmouth's away form; this one could go either way especially given Villa's defensive crisis. Villa have only taken 1 win from their last 6 home games and with goal shy strikers Angel and Baros off colour, one of them could make way for Luke Moore or Kevin Phillips. Portsmouth have only 2 away wins in the Premiership this season and are on a big losing run but they gave a fairly good account of themselves at Stamford Bridge despite the absence of Stefanovic and given Villa's current home form, Portsmouth could definitely scrap for a point. I doubt Villa can be pulled back into the relegation dogfight now; not to say that they will be taking it easy but Pompey may be more up for it and have probably pencilled this one is as potential point(s) to take back to Fratton Park. A draw looks likely.
Draw 1-1
  Fulham v Arsenal
  There is always the threat that Arsenal are going to rediscover some form away from home but it remains to be seen whether Fulham will succumb; Blackburn succeeded in beating Arsenal last weekend through endeavour and hard work but are Fulham up to the task? Fulham have very good home form with 9 wins from 13 games but they will need to be very organised and will have to concentrate for 90 minutes if they are to thwart Arsenal. The Gunners still have the equivalent of a whole back four out and have lost 8 times on the road this season; they tend to overplay and don't always take chances when they first present themselves, the flip side being a serious winning margin if everything comes off. It's always dangerous to stick your neck out but Fulham's home form could carry the day.
Home Win 2-1
  Middlesbrough v Birmingham
  Boro face a successive six pointer after a good win at West Brom and are enjoying a good run of form after the drubbing that Villa gave them at the Riverside; let's not forget the comprehensive win over Chelsea and success in Europe, probably down to players returning from the treatment table and Hasselbaink now starting games. Birmingham also came out on top last weekend in their own six pointer against bottom placed Sunderland but the win was a narrow one and Birmingham were hanging on at the end. Birmingham have only taken 1 point from their last 6 away games and will struggle against a Boro side playing with a new found confidence.
Home Win 2-0
  Newcastle v Bolton
  Newcastle have a very strong midfield and Roeder pulled a master stroke in playing 5 across the midfield against Everton; it's true that this was probably forced on him as Everton play that way and with a lack of strikers he had little option but it was the Newcastle midfield that was the difference. This game against Bolton will be very much the same in that Bolton will pressurise the Newcastle midfield, although they do tend to play 4-4-2. Much will depend on the fitness of Shearer but I expect the Magpies to start the same as they did against Everton. Bolton are now out of Europe after a good run but are still challenging for a European place in this season's Premiership. They will bombard Newcastle at every opportunity so Boumsong et al will have to remain strong (Bramble's absence may help). Bolton have mediocre form on their travels and have only registered 1 win in the last 6. Given Roeder's unbeaten record since taking over a home win over Bolton looks a good bet.
Home Win 2-1
  West Ham v Everton
  West Ham haven't been beaten in any competition since Chelsea beat them at Upton Park on 2nd January; additionally they have won every one of those subsequent games with the exception of the draw the weekend before last at the Reebok. This sort of form explains their climb up the Premiership table and they must be seriously contemplating the possibility of European football next season. Everton have also turned things around after a miserable first half of the season but their away form hasn't been that impressive with only 2 wins from their last six. No doubt they will play Beattie alone up front with Cahill supporting from midfield but scoring goals has been their problem all season; the majority of their winning margins have been by a solitary goal, but it is unlikely that will be enough against a confident West Ham. The Toffees lost away at St James Park last weekend and it looks like another defeat on the road.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 5:15 Liverpool v Charlton
  It was only several weeks ago that Charlton beat Liverpool at the Valley but Liverpool have been on a good run of form since then with single goal victories over Wigan, Arsenal, United and City. Sissoko's well pubicised eye injury means he is out for the rest of the season but Hamann is more than an adequate replacement. There has also been much publicity over the number of the games Liverpool have played this season, given their Champions League qualification and the World Club Championships; sooner or later they are bound to feel the pace. Charlton's away form has dipped considerably since a purple patch at the start of the season and they have only taken 2 points from their last 6 away games; Darren Bent seems to be their only serious goal threat and with nothing to really play for this season the shock of a double over Liverpool remains unlikely. Liverpool to win by a single goal.
Home Win 1-0
Sun 1:30 Man City v Sunderland
  City may lack confidence away from home but they have a good record at Eastlands with 8 wins from 14 games, 4 of those coming in the last 6. Joey Barton will miss this one after his irrational display at Liverpool but Vassell could return in place of Samaras or Sibierski. You can tell by the way they play that their opponents, Sunderland, haven't given up hope of avoiding the drop but they haven't always had the rub of the green this season and at other times they have simply looked devoid of inspiration. 11 losses from 13 away games tells its own story and another loss on the road looks inevitable.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 4:00 Tottenham v Blackburn
  Due to Spurs' early exit from both cups they have only played 3 games in 4 weeks but they have only taken 5 points from a possible 9; despite the lack of wins they should be well rested and will be looking to consolidate the last Champions League spot in 4th place. Blackburn are right behind them and a 3 point gap means this game should be fiercely contested. Blackburn have more about them when it comes to scrapping for a result and have lost their last two away. Spurs however need to learn to kill off teams when they're ahead as they have dropped points too often towards the end of games. With only one loss at White Hart Lane, Spurs should start favourites but beware the last 10 minutes if they are not at least 2 goals ahead because this is where they have looked vulnerable this season. Spurs to edge what should be an exciting match.
Home Win 1-0
Mon 8:00 Wigan v Man Utd
  A re-run of the Carling Cup final at the JJB is unlikely to produce a dissimilar result. Wigan have shown that they have not been out of their depth at the highest level but two 4-0 beatings by United already this season will have the Wigan faithful looking forward to this with some trepidation. The players will be hurting after the final loss and the suspicion is that Wigan will set out primarily to stop United playing but sometimes this can work to your detriment; players like Rooney can usually find space whatever the opposition. Saha faced the Latics at Cardiff but van Nistelrooy is likely to replace him for the Premiership rematch. Chelsea apart, United have the best away form in the Premiership with 8 wins from 14 games and are sure to start favourites.
Away Win 0-2

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