Premiership football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:
Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.
Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.
Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.
Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sun 7th May 2006.
|Sun 3:00||Arsenal v Wigan|
|As expected Arsenal have now closed the gap on Spurs to just 1 point and with only 1 game to go Arsenal could possibly snatch 4th place. Two successive away wins, although admittedly against weaker teams, has given them some confidence on the road which will be especially important come the Champions League final. The Gunners have won 13 of 18 home games this season and Wigan should be expected to roll over, although Wigan did manage to knock them out of the Carling Cup at Highbury. With the pressure on Arsenal and it being the last game at Highbury, a home win looks inevitable.|
|Home Win 2-0|
|Aston Villa v Sunderland|
|Villa have had their worst season in the Premiership and should Portsmouth beat Liverpool and Villa only draw or worse against Sunderland then Villa will finish 17th; a poor season's performance for a 'big' club. They have had their injuries but it appears the bell could have tolled for O'Leary. Their home record has actually been worse than Portsmouth and Birmingham; both sides currently below them. Their opponents, Sunderland, will have been buoyed by getting their first home win of the season against Fulham but they will end up relegated with the lowest Premiership points tally ever. On the road they have managed to secure a total of 8 points so anything at Villa Park looks unlikely. As poor as Villa are, they should get a result against Sunderland at home to conclude an abject season.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Blackburn v Man City|
|Somewhat surprisingly, City managed to win their last away game at Villa Park; a statistic which interrupts an alarming run of successive defeats. After a good start to the season City have slipped further and further down the Premiership table and though they weren't really involved in relegation, their season has just petered out. Sixth place and a UEFA Cup spot are now guaranteed for Blackburn which is a massive improvement for the Lancashire club after finishing 15th last season; something to do with Souness for Hughes maybe. Rovers have 4 wins from their last 6 fixtures at Ewood Park and given City's awful away form, a Blackburn victory looks on the cards.|
|Home Win 2-0|
|Bolton v Birmingham|
|Both managers will have been disappointed with recent events; Allardyce with losing out on the England job to McLaren whilst Bruce with the harder hitting reality of relegation. Bolton are not finishing the season too well and a UEFA Cup place seems to be beyond their grasp but if results go their way they could still be competing in Europe next season. It's only been 3 defeats for Bolton at the Reebok and Birmingham should pose little problem, but the Blues have taken 2 points from their last 3 away fixtures; admittedly this was while they were fighting relegation and staying up remained a possibility. Birmingham could find it difficult getting motivated for this one; if it had been at St Andrews then no problem but with players already rumoured to be looking elsewhere for one reason or another, it's going to be a difficult end to the season for Bruce.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Everton v West Brom|
|West Brom have only won 1 away game and all season and with relegation already finalised a win at Goodison looks out of the question. It's difficult enough motivating players for home games once relegation is a cert but getting them up for away fixtures once the reality of the Championship next season sinks in becomes even more difficult. Everton are finishing the season in mid-table mediocrity but this isn't too bad after probably their worst ever start to a Premiership season. They've only lost once in the last 6 home games and although they haven't won in the last 3, they're probaly due a win.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Fulham v Middlesbrough|
|Fulham's home form has kept them in the Premiership; 12 wins from 18 games is impressive for a side in the bottom half of the table. Usually Fulham would be expected to take all 3 points against Boro but Boro have defied predictions recently by getting 2 draws from games that were down as away defeats; 2 points at United and Bolton is not bad considering this was ther 3rd and 4th games in 7 days. They've had a bit more of a break before their last Premiership fixture but McLaren has been otherwise engaged with the little known matter of the England job; 75% of the official England supporters club are rumoured as not happy with the appointment. McLaren also has the UEFA Cup final still to play and a victory would end his Boro career on an extremely successful note. Given that Boro have been rotating their team recently with some success, a third successive draw looks like a good bet.|
|Man Utd v Charlton|
|If United do not win this vital game they could be pipped to 2nd place by Liverpool and the implications could be drastic. Finishing 3rd will mean having to qualify for the Champions League and subsequently starting the season earlier. Similarly for England, the absence of Rooney has been strongly felt and had United been playing a stronger side than Charlton then victory may have been in doubt. United have only lost once at home this season and host a Charlton side that face an uncertain future with it being Curbishley's last game at the helm. Charlton have only won 5 games away from the Valley this season and these victories came in the season's early stages when confidence was high and a good season looked to be on the cards, but as ever their season has faltered and once again they are to finish lower than expected. United to finish on a high.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Newcastle v Chelsea|
|Chelsea's away form has been indifferent since they were eliminated from the Champions League. They may be the Premiership champions for a second successive season but on the road the Blackburn defeat just emphasises that their season is over and they are just playing out the remaining games as Mourinho rotates his squad. Newcastle still have a UEFA Cup spot to play for and despite Shearer missing out, they will want to put on a performance for his last game at St James Park; currently there is no bigger scalp than Chelsea's. Newcastle have won 5 of their last 6 at home and have had no problems scoring but things should be tighter against Chelsea's defence and a share of the spoils looks likely.|
|Draw 1 -1|
|Portsmouth v Liverpool|
|Now that Pompey are safe expect there to be a party atmosphere at Fratton Park come Sunday afternoon; unfortunately they are playing third placed Liverpool who will probably spoil the occasion. Liverpool will want to take advantage of any slip up by United in the chase for 2nd place and the last automatic Champions League spot; they may even place more emphasis on this than next weekend's FA Cup final so are unlikely to rest players. The Reds away form has improved significantly since the beginning of the season and they've won 5 of their last 6 away fixtures. Portsmouth's home form isn't bad either with only 1 defeat in their last 6 home games but Liverpool just have the edge in terms of what's at stake.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|West Ham v Tottenham|
|The key to this game lies in whether or not Pardew decides to rest any players ahead of next weekend's FA Cup final; regardless of his decision, it looks like Ashton and Etherington will not be available. The Hammers will be aware of how much Spurs need to win this game to ensure that 4th place remains theirs rather than choking in the last game of the season and relinquishing their prize to the dreaded Arsenal. The problem for Spurs is that they could have key players missing in Carrick, Keane, Mido and Stalteri; Carrick and Keane in particular pull the strings and will be sorely missed. If they are available Spurs could possibly take all 3 points but without them a draw may be the best they can achieve; a point is unlikely to be enough to keep the Arsenal at bay.|