Premiership football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:
Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.
Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.
Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.
Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 11th to Sun 12th November 2006.
|Sat 12:45||Man City v Newcastle|
|City may have lost at Charlton in a game that could have gone either way but their home form is keeping their heads above water; they might be finding scoring a little difficult with only 7 goals this season but they've yet to concede at Eastlands. The Magpies travel to City this weekend on the back of an awful league run in which they've only taken 2 points from their last 7 games. They're currently second from bottom and whether or not Roeder keeps his job, they have a mountain to climb to avoid relegation. Surprisingly, Newcastle managed an away win in the UEFA Cup at Palermo who are second in Serie A; they must be able to take some inspiration from that win and turn things around. Unfortunately for the manger, they've had more than their fair share of injuries, the fans are unhappy and the sparkle seems to have vanished. Another loss could force the chairman's hand.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Sat 3:00||Chelsea v Watford|
|After 16 years of travelling to White Hart Lane and coming away with something, Chelsea finally had to settle for nil points; additionally, Terry will be unavailable after being dismissed for 2 bookables as they struggled to claw their way back into the game. Not to do any disservice to Spurs, Chelsea were a trifle unlucky with a Drogba effort chalked off for something innocuous and Robben hitting the post, but they did lose to a side that played with plenty of passion and quality. Chelsea may be 3 points behind United but they host Watford at Stamford Bridge where they've only dropped 2 points this season, but Watford have just grabbed their first Premiership win. King is out for the rest of the season but Young and Bouazza are acquitting themselves well and they've now climbed out of the relegation places on goal difference. Boothroyd will want back to back wins but the Bridge is always a difficult place to go; let alone when you're up against a Chelsea side licking their wounds.|
|Home Win 3-0|
|Everton v Aston Villa|
|The Toffees still remain undefeated at home but tend to rely too heavily on Tim Cahill and Andy Johnson to supply the goals. Neville believes Johnson's reputation has gone before him and referees have been reluctant to blow for penalties after hearing other managers constantly refer to his diving but Everton need to create from open play rather than rely on any penalty decisions. Everton average 2 goals a game at home but the visit of Villa won't be a walk in the park; the Villa have only lost 1 in 5 away games which was the defeat at Anfield; the 4 away fixtures previous to that all finished level. Villa still haven't won on the road this season and are likely to start defensively; Everton play defensively at home with just Johnson up front and this looks to have a draw written all over it.|
|Middlesbrough v West Ham|
|Inconsistent Boro have lost their last 2 away games to weaker teams in Man City and Watford. The most alarming factor for Southgate is that his team just haven't applied themselves against the less fancied sides that fight for every ball. Their squad is better than their results suggest; individually, Woodgate's form has dipped after impressive games early in the season and as a key player he needs to be consistently good week in week out. The Hammers travel to the Riverside on the back of a great win over Arsenal and the game that could be responsible for turning West Ham's season around, a win at home to Blackburn. Unfortunately their away form is dire with only 1 point from 5 games; the last 4 all being defeats. If Pardew has struck gold and rescued West Ham's season then they could easily go to Boro and win, but you never know with Boro; they're bound to put a spanner in the works. West Ham's first away win but don't bet on it.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|Portsmouth v Fulham|
|Against difficult opponents Pompey have found it tough on the road of late but Fratton Park is a hellish place for anyone to go and 4 wins from 5 home games spells out clearly the task facing Fulham. Portsmouth are well placed in fourth and have conceded just the 2 goals at home; Harry will be well pleased with 19 points on the board at this stage of the season but he won't settle until the possibility of relegation is far from reality. Fulham have been doing their best to dispel the myth that they are awful away from the Cottage and their only away defeat came on the opening day of the season at Old Trafford. Their last 3 away fixtures have all resulted in draws and they are becoming more resilient and showing a bit more nous. The way Fulham are playing there's little likelihood they'll be involved in the relgation battle though Portsmouth should be fancied at home.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Sheffield Utd v Bolton|
|United surprised most with their first away win of the season at St James Park last weekend but has it given them the self-belief and confidence to fight their way out of the drop zone? At Bramall Lane the Blades have only lost 2 from 5 and should not be underestimated; there's no doubt that Warnock will be scrapping for everything but coming up against Bolton they may well have met their match in that department. Bolton welcome back Kevin Nolan after suspension and it's no coincidence that they've lost 2 home games; the Bolton captain brings organisation, steel and drive to the midfield which was lacking especially against Wigan. Bolton still have their problems with Diouf involved in off the field issues and Anelka still to get on the scoresheet but Bolton have won the last 3 on the road and shoud prove too strong for United.|
|Away Win 0-1|
|Wigan v Charlton|
|Wigan are on a great run of form having won their last 3 matches; away at Bolton and Fulham and at home to Man City. If the Latics keep going like this, Jewell won't have to stay up too late on a Saturday night to see his boys' performance on Match of the Day. Both the Reebok and Craven Cottage are diffcult places to go and to come away with a maximum 6 points is some achievement. The manager will want to continue this success with a win against a Charlton side that have really struggled this season. There are signs that Dowie is making headway after they beat City at the Valley, but truth be told the game could have gone either way and they are still bottom. With a 4th successive clean sheet (excluding the latest Carling Cup episode) they are making themselves hard to beat but rely too much on Darren Bent for their goals as he grabbed his 7th league goal last weekend. Charlton have only secured 1 point on the road and this looks like another good win for Wigan.|
|Home Win 2-0|
|Sat 5:15||Blackburn v Man Utd|
|Hughes might well argue about penalty decisions but the fact is that Blackbun have had their fair share this season and squandered most of them; ironically, Villa seem to have had more. Rovers went through a period where they won a couple of games but they're starting to get back the losing habit and only 2 home Premiership wins doesn't set them up at all well for the visit of United. Fergie's lads are absolutely rampant at the moment with Rooney and Ronaldo in scintillating form, scoring goals for fun and conceding very little at the back. Only 2 points dropped away from home and just 3 goals against shows their level of confidence. As they open up a 3 point gap at the top of the table, much talk has been made of the fact they have several 'old heads' that will see them right at the business end of the season when the likes of Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool come knocking. United to continue their marauding run.|
|Away Win 0-2|
|Sun 1:30||Reading v Tottenham|
|Reading may have lost their last 4 matches but they've been tricky games with Arsenal and Chelsea at home and Liverpool and Portsmouth away. The reality of the Premiership is that you can't expect to get points from every game but Reading have done well in the early stages of the season although they are now starting to slip down the table. They face a Spurs side that have only taken 2 points on the road; from their last 2 away fixtures in fact. Spurs should have bags of confidence after their superb win over Chelsea at the Lane but it was nail-biting stuff at the end and they dug in well to hang on for the first 3 points against the Blues in 16 years. Jol has had to rotate his squad a bit this season to cope with the extra games in the UEFA and Carling Cups, so it's unlikely to be the same side that beat Chelsea that take on Reading. If Spurs were a bit more clinical in front of goal then they could take the 3 points at the Madjeski, but in all likelihood will have to settle for a draw.|
|Sun 4:00||Arsenal v Liverpool|
|Both these sides will be desperate for a win; only 1 point separates them but they are 10 and 11 points respectively behind United and the Premiership is looking like a 2 horse race between the current leaders and Chelsea. Arsenal have been playing with plenty of flair in recent games but have a very poor ratio in terms of goals to chances. The loss at Upton Park underlines the problem; they paid the ultimate price after squandering numerous chances when Harewood scored at the death. However, the Gunners do remain unbeaten at home and should pose problems for a Liverpool side that have only managed to secure 1 point away from the safety of Anfield. Benitez looks to be finalising his best 11 but that's still to be tested on the road; if he sticks to his guns it will be Crouch and Kuyt up front but the suspicion is that he may well go for a more defensive approach and change the lineup once again. Arsenal are unlikely to lose this and given Liverpool's away form, should win it if they can be more clinical.|
|Home Win 1-0|