Archived Premier League Tips (3rd October 2009)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (3rd October 2009)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 3rd to Mon 5th October 2009.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (3rd to 5th Oct 2009)

Sat 3:00 Bolton v Tottenham
  Spurs recovered from defeats at home to United and away at Stamford Bridge with a five goal demolition of Burnley, a game in which Robbie Keane managed to notch four. In the previous Carling Cup fixture it was Peter Crouch who managed to score a hat-trick and they look the striking partnership for the trip to the Reebok because of a hand injury to Defoe and an Achilles tear suffered by Pavlyuchenko. Tottenham need to win these games if they're to mount a serious challenge to the big four but it all depends on how they handle Kevin Davies and Bolton's set pieces. Recently, Gary Cahill has been getting the plaudits for his defensive performances and even England manager, Capello, snubbed the big four to see Bolton win at St Andrews. The Trotters have improved after a poor start to the season but they've still not won at home and maybe Spurs will outscore them.
Away Win 1-2
  Burnley v Birmingham
  Burnley got bashed at White Hart Lane but they've won all three of their home fixtures including victories over United and Everton. Some schools of thought suggest that you can't stay up on home form alone but Stoke proved that theory wrong last season and if Burnley can continue their winning streak at Turf Moor then why not? Burnley are still without Paterson and McCann but Caldwell played an hour for the reserves during the week and could start. Birmingham's last victory came at the KC Stadium a couple of weeks ago and that was their only points in over a month, since the draw at Stoke to be exact. The Blues switched off in the home defeat to Bolton after getting themselves back in the game and it was the players that let rip in the dressing room saving McLeish dishing out a rollicking. On form, Burnley look the bet but it's bound to be tight.
Home Win 1-0
  Hull v Wigan
  The Tigers weren't very tigerish at Anfield last weekend; they were dire and deserved to be hit for six. Hull are second from bottom with a terrible goal difference at such an early stage of the season and Brown must be worried about his job although he supposedly has the backing of chairman Paul Duffen. They have managed a solitary win this season (at home to Bolton) but they won't find it easy against a Wigan side five points and nine places above them. The Latics haven't been the most consistent side this season but wins at home against West Ham and Chelsea and victory at Villa mean they're more than capable of beating Hull. They outfought and outplayed Chelsea after responding to Martinez's demand that they get tough against the big teams but can they stick to those instructions against the lightweights?
Away Win 1-2
  Wolverhampton v Portsmouth
  Wolves hadn't let themselves down to date but that changed when they visited the Stadium of Light where they conceded five. To be fair, they fell behind to a controversial penalty but got back into the game only to succumb to the quality of Sunderland's free-scoring forward line. Wolves have only beaten Fulham at Molineux this season but they face a rock-bottom Portsmouth side with nil points from seven matches. Pompey haven't been playing as badly as the Premier league table suggests but luck has certainly not been on their side. They narrowly lost at home to Everton last weekend and the result could have been different had Portsmouth not had several efforts cleared off the Toffees' line. It seems when things are going badly they only get worse; some of the Pompey players weren't paid earlier in the week and although the financial situation looks like it'll be resolved soon, they might not feel too motivated when Saturday comes.
Home Win 1-0
Sat 5:30 Man Utd v Sunderland
  The summer proved a revelation for Sunderland with a new manager and a resultant influx of better quality playing staff; as expected their home form has been good with only a defeat to Chelsea representing any dropped points. On the road, however, the confidence isn't quite there and they've lost at Stoke and Burnley. Bruce will be anxious that they give a good account of themselves at his old stamping ground though he might not have to worry about penalty takers as not too many away sides get them at Old Trafford. Their hosts, United, are back on top of the table after Chelsea slipped up at Wigan last weekend. Since their defeat at Turf Moor, United have won every game making it eight successive victories in all competitions. Giggs is playing as well as he ever has and both he and Rooney are benefitting from Ronaldo's departure. As much as Bruce would love to put one over his old manager, Fergie is more than likely to be the happier man at the end of the day.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 1:30 Arsenal v Blackburn
  Arsenal may be lagging six points behind the league leaders but they've played a game less and only played two of their six matches at the Emirates. In those two fixtures, against Portsmouth and Wigan, they've scored eight and conceded just the once. Wenger's squad is young but Vermaelen looks to have been a great addition; the only worry is that key players such as Fabregas can stay fit over the course of the season. They entertain a Blackburn side that once again look like they're going to struggle although their home win over Villa was somewhat unexpected. Rovers have lost both their away games this season and they're not going to have an easy time of it at the Emirates.
Home Win 3-0
Sun 3:00 Everton v Stoke
  Everton have won their last five games in all competitions without conceding just the once and scoring a grand total of fourteen. The win at Fratton Park was somewhat fortuitous as Pompey fought back strongly after going behind and only a couple of clearances off the Everton line salvaged maximum points for the Toffees. Pienaar remains a doubt after injuring his knee but having two fit strikers in Saha and Yakubu is something of a luxury for David Moyes. Their opponents, Stoke, will be relying on tried and trusted home form to keep them in the Premier league despite losing at the Britannia recently to both United and Chelsea; I'm sure the Potters won't be beating themselves up too much about those results. However, they've still not won on the road, and against lesser opponents than Everton, leading to the inevitable conclusion that this looks like a home win.
Home Win 1-0
  West Ham v Fulham
  The Hammers haven't had the best start and find themselves langiushing in the bottom three and already adrift of safety by a couple of points. They've lost both their home games but faced decent opposition in Spurs and Liverpool and lost by a single goal margin in both cases. Zola still has major injury concerns over a number of players although Upson and Behrami could give the manager a welcome boost as they both look fit to start. They host a Fulham side just one place and two points above that don't look the same Roy Hodgson side that finished in seventh place last season. Finishing that high and qualifying for the Europa league has probably been responsible for their drop in form this season and if anything, it looks like they over-achieved last time around. On the road the Cottagers have lost at Eastlands and Molineux although (like everyone else) they've won at Fratton Park. Fulham's midweek clash with Basle could play into West Ham's hands and the Hammers should be looking for a much needed win.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 4:00 Chelsea v Liverpool
  Undoubtedly the game of the weekend, both sides have been on the wrong end of upsets over the last week. Chelsea went down by three goals to one at Wigan but recovered away at Apoel Nicosia whilst Liverpool couldn't live with Fiorentina in Florence. Rafa blasted his players after their worst European display under his stewardship despite fielding a full strength Liverpool side excepting an injured Mascherano. The Reds have already lost at Spurs this season although they managed to win at both Bolton and West Ham despite conceding two goals on each occasion. Chelsea's only blemish this season has been the defeat at the DW Stadium; a game in which Cech was dismissed meaning he'll miss this fixture and Ashley Cole was stretchered off although the full back has since recovered and played the full ninety minutes in Cyprus. Liverpool haven't impressed on their travels and for that reason a defeat looks on the cards.
Home Win 2-1
Mon 8:00 Aston Villa v Man City
  After Villa's disappointing opening day defeat at home to Wigan, it looked like they were back on track with four straight Premier league victories but they were undone last weekend by a late David Dunn penalty. Whether or not Agbonlahor starts alone up front he always seems to score and looks Villa's most potent weapon. He'll need to be at his best against a rejuvenated City side that are disappointing all those who've been waiting for them to fail. All their strikers look capable of scoring and Hughes has a dilemma up front with Adebayor back from suspension, Santa Cruz back from injury and Bellamy and Tevez in scoring form. City have lost just the once (at Old Trafford in that 4-3 thriller) and look the real deal when it comes to breaking up the big four. That said, Villa shouldn't be a pushover and City might have to settle for a point. This could be a rare Premier league draw!
Draw 1-1

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