Archived Premier League Tips (26th November 2011)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (26th November 2011)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 26th to Sun 27th November 2011.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (26th to 27th Nov 2011)

Sat 12:45 Stoke v Blackburn
  Stoke's success in Europe has cost them domestically with their recent run of Premier League defeats now extended to four. They were hammered at Bolton, just after their win in Israel, but more surprising was losing at home to newly promoted QPR last weekend. The Potters were unfortunate not to be awarded a penalty in the dying minutes against Rangers, conversion of which would've likely given them a point. Their poor run of form has seen Stoke drop as far as 14th and only 3 points better off than third from bottom Bolton. They host a Blackburn side likewise struggling with a single point enough to keep them off the foot of the table. It seems that Venkys are sticking by Steve Kean but the fans are desperate to see him sacked. Rovers have just one victory to their name this season but 4 draws on the road means they've actually scored more points away from home. That said, they were mightily fortunate on several counts to leave the DW Stadium with a point last weekend. David Dunn is suspended after receiving 2 yellows in that match whilst doubts remain over centre halves Nelsen and Samba with full back Martin Olsson also 50/50. Stoke are traditionally a strong home side and they should be expected to return to form whilst Blackburn won't be helped by key players possibly absent.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 3:00 Bolton v Everton
  Bolton failed to build on their emphatic victory over Stoke and missed chances at West Brom meant they left with nothing. That Stoke victory stopped the rot of 5 straight Premier League home defeats but they need another win if they're to climb out of the bottom three. Coyle stuck with Davies and Klasnic up front but they need a goal return if they're to retain their places. Everton are the visitors to the Reebok and David Moyes will be hoping that at least one of the injured trio (Distin, Neville and Rodwell) that missed the win over Wolves will be fit to return. The Toffees have a very mixed record this season and as ever are relying on a strong work ethic to get them results. With that in mind, this match is unlikely to be one for the neutral. Assuming that Bolton have turned the corner following their disastrous start on home soil, a point apiece looks to be a fair result.
Draw 1-1
  Chelsea v Wolverhampton
  What is going on at Stamford Bridge? Chelsea have now lost 4 of their last 7 games in all competitions with 2 of those defeats coming at the Bridge to top four rivals Arsenal and Liverpool. Plus doubts now hang over their Champions League qualification from Group E and defeat at home to Valencia must be avoided. Over the last week back page headlines have ranged from how long Villas-Boas has left at the helm to whether or not John Terry should be replaced. Regardless of the tabloid talk the stand-out statistic is that Chelsea's defeat to Liverpool last weekend was the first time they've lost successive league matches at home in over 9 years. Confidence may be low but this weekend they host a Wolves side hovering just above the drop zone and stuggling for away form having lost their last 4 Premier League matches on the road. To make matters worse Mick McCarthy is without 3 influential players following last weekend's defeat at Everton. Both Stephen Hunt and Jamie O'Hara serve a 1 match suspension after picking up their 5th bookings of the season whilst Richard Stearman misses out with a broken wrist. Wolves will be out to take advantage of Chelsea's vulnerability but this represents a good chance for the Blues to stop the rot and get things back on track.
Home Win 2-0
  Man Utd v Newcastle
  2nd takes on 4th in a game that could see City stretch their lead at the top of the table. At first glance, most might consider this to be another straight forward United victory but that would seriously underestimate how far Newcastle have come this season. The Magpies were well beaten at the Etihad last weekend but prior to that they'd conceded just 3 goals on the road. Pardew's side is expected to be back at full strength for the trip to Old Trafford whilst United have looked out of sorts since they were humbled at home by a rampant City side. A series of three 1-0 victories in the Premier League has seen them hang on to 2nd spot but narrow margins over Everton, Sunderland and Swansea are hardly much to shout about. To make matters worse, a midweek draw at home against Benfica brings their Champions League qualification from Group C into doubt and United now need to take at least a point in Basel to qualify; even a win doesn't guarantee them finishing top. A number of players could return for United including Rooney and Welbeck but this game will be tight. Don't expect more than a couple of goals and Newcastle might just have enough to frustrate the home side.
Draw 1-1
  Norwich v QPR
  Both these newly promoted sides are doing themselves justice so far this season with only a couple of points separating them in mid-table. Norwich have suffered a couple of defeats recently (against Arsenal and at Villa Park) but they've failed to score on only 2 occasions this season. There's even been gossip that Liverpool are interested in Norwich winger, Anthony Pilkington, who's netted 4 times already. The visiting side, QPR, have had some poor results but they've also had some good ones; in some cases they've played really well without getting the reward. Notable scalps include Chelsea and Stoke, and they gave Man City a scare at Loftus Road. Though Warnock has developed the squad over the summer, there's still not much strength in depth and he faces the trip to Carrow Road without Joey Barton who serves a 1 match ban after picking up his 5th yellow card. He also faces a striker crisis with Bothroyd, Campbell and Helguson all doubtful plus Danny Gabbidon is struggling to get back to match fitness after being rushed back from injury. The good news is that Luke Young should be OK after being subbed off towards the end of the Stoke victory with a knee problem. Absences in the QPR side possibly pave the way for a Norwich victory but it's no foregone conclusion.
Home Win 2-1
  Sunderland v Wigan
  Not surprisingly, we saw a stalemate last weekend when Sunderland took on Fulham though both keepers came out of the game with some credit; especially rookie keeper, Kieren Westwood, who will likely start only his 3rd Premier League match given that Gordon and Mignolet are still out injured. Bruce knows a win over bottom side Wigan is crucial to avoid sinking closer to the drop zone. The Mackems have now gone 4 Premier League home games unbeaten and much of that is down to an improving back four. It has to be said that their opponents, Wigan, can feel hard done by after last weekend's draw at home to Blackburn. The Latics might've ended their run of 8 defeats but they face a mountain to climb with fixtures against Arsenal, West Brom, Chelsea, Liverpool and Man United coming up after this match. Martinez is without the suspended Alcaraz but just 6 points from 12 games leaves his side favourites for the drop. Sunderland must take advantage this weekend to give themselves some breathing space.
Home Win 1-0
  West Brom v Tottenham
  Spurs got just reward for their consistency since the Manchester defeats as they moved up to 3rd after a comfortable win over Villa. Villa set out to contain the home side and their plan backfired with Spurs coasting to victory. Redknapp's side have taken 25 points from the last 27 available with the dropped points coming at St James Park despite leading twice. A couple of factors have helped; improvement on the injury front and the familiarity that comes from playing a settled first eleven. They travel to the Hawthorns where the Baggies notched another important win over relegation candidates, Bolton, last weekend. West Brom's home fortunes have been mixed but they haven't fared well against the bigger sides having fallen to defeats against Man United, Liverpool and even Stoke. Hodgson could again be short of strikers with Odemwingie and possibly Long out. Dorrans and Scharner are also rated doubtful. One wonders how long Spurs' unbeaten run can continue but they'll be eyeing another victory at the Hawthorns.
Away Win 1-2
Sat 5:30 Arsenal v Fulham
  Wenger wasn't the only one shocked to see Arsenal the only Premier League side to qualify for the Champions League knockout stages with a game in hand. Not only that but they've won their group and who would've envisaged that after their disastrous start to the season. The Gunners have won their last 5 Premier League home matches and haven't been beaten in any competition since Spurs beat them at the beginning of October. Robin van Persie's goals have been largely responsible for their recent success and keeping him injury-free will be one of Wenger's prime concerns. They host a Fulham side that've enjoyed relative success on the road lately given that their away form is usually poor. The Cottagers have taken 5 points from their last 4 matches on their travels but the win did come at Wigan with draws at West Brom and Sunderland. Two recent home defeats has seen them drop to 16th in the table and Jol should be concerned. A win for Arsenal could see them take advantage of Liverpool's game with Man City and move up the table.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 1:30 Swansea v Aston Villa
  McLeish's decision to opt for a more defensive approach at White Hart Lane resulted in the expected consequences; they conceded large amounts of possession, had no out ball and ultimately succumbed to defeat. Villa may be up to 8th in the table but there's a 7 point gap betwen themselves and 7th placed Arsenal. They're yet to win on the road having drawn 4 of their 6 away matches. The draw specialists have drawn half of all their Premier League games this season and it's costing them. They travel to the Liberty Stadium where Swansea are proving a handful for most visiting sides. United narrowly won there last weekend but prior to that the Swans have won 3 times and drawn twice. Those 2 draws came early on in the campaign and as soon as they started to find the back the net, the results have come. Ironically they haven't scored in the last couple of fixtures (away at Anfield and at home to United) but still have a point against Liverpool to show for their efforts. Expect Villa to be a bit more forthcoming against Swansea but the home side might just have the final say.
Home Win 1-0
Sun 4:00 Liverpool v Man City
  Ahead of this expected classic, neither side has any serious injury concerns. Gerrard is understood to be progressing well after suffering an infected ankle but sources fail to indicate whether he'll feature at any point. Liverpool haven't lost at home this season but their last 3 home games have all ended level including draws against Norwich and Swansea. That said, they've won at the Emirates and most recently, only last weekend, at Stamford Bridge. The Reds hardly featured in the second half against Chelsea but Johnson stole in at the death to take the points. You can't write them off and neither can you City. However, for a side who's fans chant "We'll score when we want to!", it must have been alarming for them not to see their idols produce the goods in Naples. City now need to beat Bayern Munich to stand a chance of progressing to the Champions League knockout stages and they'll be doomed to the Europa League should Napoli beat Villarreal. However, on the domestic front all is well and City still retain a 5 point advantage over 2nd placed United. City have dropped just 2 points this season, at Fulham, and their domestic record points to another win. You can make a case for any result come 4pm on Sunday but Mancini is likely to tinker with his starting eleven following the Italian defeat and I think you'll see a response.
Away Win 1-2

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