Archived Premier League Tips (30th December 2011)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (30th December 2011)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the New Year fixtures Fri 30th December 2011 to Sun 1st January 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (30th Dec 2011 to 1st Jan 2012)

Fri 7:45 Liverpool v Newcastle
  Liverpool's disappointing Boxing Day draw at home to Blackburn was their 5th in the last 6 matches at Anfield with a mix of inspired goalkeeping, poor finishing and misfortune conspiring to keep the Reds at bay. With Newcastle just a point and a place below them in the table, both sides will view this as a 'must win' game if they're to challenge for a top four spot. Liverpool still haven't lost on home soil this season but will have to make do without Suarez who received a 1-match ban for his offensive gesture in the defeat at Craven Cottage. That leaves the way open for Andy Carroll to start against his old club and with Suarez's 8-match suspension looming, Carroll could finally get a good run in the side but will feel pressured to prove his worth. Gerrard is also likely to feature after coming on for the last 20 minutes against Rovers. Their opponents, Newcastle, have dropped away in recent weeks but they ran out winners at the Reebok as almost everyone does. Apparently Demba Ba sustained a slight knock in that game and there seems to be some doubt over the Magpies' top scorer though it's unlikely to be enough to stop him from starting. With the exception of Steven Taylor, Newcastle have the same side that battled so well in the first 3 months of this season and they could be worth a point against a Liverpool side struggling to beat sides at home.
Draw 1-1
Sat 12:45 Man Utd v Blackburn
  Blackburn remain bottom of the pile despite their heroics in snatching a draw at Anfield. Stand-in keeper Mark Bunn repaid Kean's faith with an inspiring performance but with Paul Robinson close to a return, we'll have to see if Bunn's efforts were enough to see him retain his place. Rovers' defence is still ravaged by injuries and Pedersen's unfamiliar role at left back is sure to be tested at Old Trafford. Rovers still haven't won on the road and that statistic is likely to remain unchanged despite United suffering injury problems of their own. Jonny Evans is the latest United casualty and looks to be sidelined for a couple of weeks with a calf injury although Ferguson will be hoping that Jones and Smalling will be ruled fit after missing the 5-0 win over Wigan through illness. That heavy victory, coupled with City's draw at West Brom, means United drew level with City on points although they still have a 5 goal deficit to make up. It seems that Blackburn's players are fully behind their manager but anything at Old Trafford looks beyond their capabilities.
Home Win 2-0
Sat 3:00 Arsenal v QPR
  Despite numerous defensive injuries, Arsenal appear to have steadied the ship after some horrendous results in the early part of the season. The problem now appears to be at the other end of the pitch where Robin van Persie has proved their only consistent goal threat. They failed to beat Wolves at the Emirates despite playing against 10 men for the last 15 minutes and rumour has it that Wenger is tempted to re-sign Thierry Henry for a couple of months. Only time will tell if that serves to be a wise decision but Gervinho and Chamakh look far from the finished article. They host a QPR side that halted a run of 3 defeats with a point at Swansea. None of the bottom 4 winning over the Boxing Day period was great news for Rangers but they're sinking closer to the relegation places and Warnock may be optimistic if he thinks January signings are sufficient to solve the problem. No results are foregone conclusions around the festive period but this is one that should go the way of the home side.
Home Win 1-0
  Bolton v Wolverhampton
  Owen Coyle has labelled this match as their biggest of the season but only a couple of weeks ago it was the game at Ewood Park. They manged to beat Blackburn away but failed to build on that result against Newcastle at home. The Trotters' home record is absolutely abysmal this season with 8 defeats from 9 games and a massive 23 goals conceded. Their lack of a goal threat is one thing but if they sell Gary Cahill in the next week or two as expected, then surely they'll be reinstated as favourites for the drop. They host a Wolves side just 2 places and 4 points better off making it a 'must win' game for both sides. However, Wolves will feel more confident after holding out for a point at the Emirates earlier this week but Milijas is facing a 3-match ban after being sent off in that game. Wolves will appeal the decision but it's likely to hinge on the referee admitting he got it wrong. It's a massive match but it's almost impossible to back Bolton at home; don't expect too many goals with Wolves possibly sneaking it.
Away Win 0-1
  Chelsea v Aston Villa
  Since their monumentous win over City at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have seen their title hopes go up in smoke after 3 successive draws. They're now 11 points behind the league leaders and a place in the top four must be their sole focus, anything else is a bonus. Ivanovic's injury meant that Villas-Boas had to start with Luiz against Fulham and explains why they're keen to cement the deal with Gary Cahill. Torres played the whole match against the Cottagers and once again failed to find the back of the net. Drogba come on for Sturridge with 20 minutes to go and Villas-Boas admitted that maybe he should've played the Drog from the start. They host a Villa side that put defeats at home to Liverpool and Arsenal behind them with a valuable draw at Stoke. However, the game was a poor one and missing some quality in the final third. Heskey was substituted after sustaining an achilles injury whilst Darren Bent remains touch and go for the visit to Stamford Bridge. Villa have won just a single Premier League away fixture this season though they've only lost twice. Chelsea will no doubt huff and puff but a single goal could be enough to give them a much needed victory.
Home Win 1-0
  Norwich v Fulham
  Norwich put in a brave performance against Spurs but in the end the quality told and they slipped to their 3rd home defeat of the season. That said, they defended very well as a unit and the combination of Morison and Holt always posed a threat. Lambert will probably start the same against Fulham as the Canaries look to climb back into the top half of the table. Fulham have won just a single Premier League away fixture this season but they have drawn 3 of the last 4 on the road, the most recent being that draw at Chelsea and a great way to bounce back after the mauling by United at Craven Cottage. Stockdale was in great form deputising for the injured Schwarzer whilst the likes of Duff, Johnson and Zamora all have niggles going into the Norwich game. Fulham are yet to put together a convincing sequence of results this season but a draw at Stamford Bridge is always a good place to start. However, Norwich look a good side at Carrow Road; the emphasis is on teamwork and they'll always threaten at set pieces. This'll be another tough away day for Fulham.
Home Win 2-1
  Stoke v Wigan
  The harsh dismissal of Conor Sammon at Old Trafford means some disruption to Martinez's 3-5-2 that has been so successful over the last few weeks. Sammon's physique and hold-up play would've fitted the bill against Stoke but Martinez will be forced to partner Moses with Di Santo. United always looked like beating Wigan at Old Trafford regardless of the sending-off but prior to that defeat the Latics had taken 9 points from the previous 6 matches including draws against Chelsea and Liverpool. How they'll fare against a Stoke side that'll challenge them physically remains to be seen. The Potters were disappointing in the draw with Villa and Tony Pulis will be anxious that his side start better against Wigan with Crouch probably back to lead the line. Stoke are up to 8th and have recovered from being beaten at home in November by Newcastle and QPR. The Britannia has always been something of a fortress and those have been their only home defeats of the current campaign. They showed their resilience in subsequent wins over Blackburn and Spurs; the latter a game in which they started well catching Spurs on the back foot. Wigan can't be taken for granted of late but this is a home game that Stoke will have marked down for maximum points.
Home Win 2-1
  Swansea v Tottenham
  Swansea have conceded the least number of times on home soil, just 3 top flight goals at the Liberty this season but they're without an away win and have won just 1 of their last 8 matches. They've 5 points breathing space between themselves and those in the bottom three but their next 3 home fixtures are against Spurs, Arsenal and Chelsea; after that we'll get a truer picture of where Swansea really are. The visitors, Spurs, took advantage of the festive draws and closed the gap on league leaders City to 7 points with a game in hand. More importantly, they stretched their lead over rivals Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool. Spurs were being held at Carrow Road despite dominating possession until an unrestricted Gareth Bale finally cut them to shreds. Bale was given freedom of the park and along with Kyle Walker represented Spurs' best hopes of breaching the Norwich defence. Redknapp will likely start the same way against the Swans unless King or Defoe are fit enough to force their way back in. Spurs have won as many away fixtures as home matches this season and that statistic underlines their progress. Swansea will be hard to break down but Spurs look like they might have the answer.
Away Win 0-1
Sun 12:30 West Brom v Everton
  Howard Webb came to the Stadium of Light bearing gifts for Everton on Boxing Day. His penalty decision was one of the most farcical all season after Leon Osman went tumbling after kicking the ground. Moyes was honest enough to admit the penalty should never have been but the point will be most welcome especially when Everton are struggling to find the back of the net; they've scored just 8 times in the last 9 Premier League matches. Funds are bound to be in short supply at Goodison but a decent striker could work wonders. They travel to the Hawthorns where West Brom have propelled themselves into the top half of the table after taking 7 points from their last 3 games including wins at Blackburn and Newcastle. Their latest and most impressive result was a goalless draw at home to league leaders City. The Baggies are the first side to shut City out this season and were close to taking all 3 points themselves. It represents a turnaround for Roy Hodgson's side after they were beaten at home only 4 weeks ago by lowly Wigan. Assuming Everton aren't given any more late Christmas presents, this could be a valuable win for West Brom.
Home Win 1-0
Sun 3:00 Sunderland v Man City
  Sunderland were on the wrong end of Howard Webb's ludicrous penalty decision and Martin O'Neill was quite rightly miffed. The Mackems have been going well under their new manager with 2 wins and a draw from his first 4 matches in charge. They may still be just 4 points above the relegation places but their general trend is upward and mid-table is more than achievable. However, Bramble and Bardsley are both doubts for the visit of City after being replaced because of injuries sustained against Everton. Sunderland will be sorely tested defensively against City especially after the league leaders were held at West Brom and stopped from scoring in the Premier League for the first time this season. That result coupled with United's heavy win over Wigan leaves City with no clear advantage at the top of the table and just goal difference separating the 2 Manchester clubs. City's away form appears to be faltering after taking just 2 points from their last 3 away fixtures and that 90 point target is looking further away than it was several weeks ago. Though City have had their problems, I expect them to bounce back against a Sunderland side that'll find it difficult with first choice defenders likely to be out.
Away Win 0-2

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