Archived Premier League Tips (3rd March 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (3rd March 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 3rd to Sun 4th March 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (3rd to 4th Mar 2012)

Sat 12:45 Liverpool v Arsenal
  These high-profile matches are almost impossible to predict at the moment given that the top sides seem to be playing such open football i.e. not defending properly. Spurs were guilty of letting Arsenal off the hook last weekend but the Gunners turned it round in such emphatic style that you saw both sides of Arsenal and what they're capable of. Likewise, Liverpool made hard work of a Carling Cup final date with Cardiff and can count themselves lucky to have won a trophy and secured European football for next season. Arsenal's away form is mixed but the one sure statistic to look at is that Liverpool haven't yet lost a Premier League match at Anfield this season; the fact is that they've drawn too many (8 from 12). The Reds have been hit with 2 big injuries (Gerrard and Agger) but that doesn't compare to the lengthy list awaiting treatment at the Emirates. That said, even without Ramsey against Spurs, the Gunners seemed to manage; van Persie was outstanding and even Walcott got going in the 2nd half. Anything could happen here but the draw looks attractive.
Draw 1-1
Sat 3:00 Blackburn v Aston Villa
  Blackburn's 3-0 defeat at Eastlands coupled with Wolves' draw at Newcastle means Rovers once again find themselves back in the bottom three. Subsequently it should be no surprise that Blackburn fans are planning their biggest protest yet ahead of this match. Despite being a demonstrators' target, Steve Kean has managed 2 victories from Blackburn's last 3 home matches. However, they've managed only 4 wins, no draws and a massive 9 defeats from their 13 home games. Losing Samba could still be a big blow to their survival hopes whilst Lowe and Givet serve the last match of their respective suspensions. They host a Villa side just 3 places above them in the table although the gap is a massive 8 points. Villa are the awayday draw specialists having drawn 7 of their 13 Premier League away fixtures. However, injuries have hit the Villans hard over the last week or two with Bent likely out for the rest of the season, Dunne out for a significant period and Robbie Keane now returned to Los Angeles. Petrov and Hutton are also doubts though may return. Given Villa's propensity to draw this sort of match, I was tempted to plump for the draw but Rovers are likely to throw the kitchen sink at them; it's all or nothing for Blackburn!
Home Win 2-1
  Man City v Bolton
  City's winning formula at Eastlands continues with no let-up. Last weekend's comprehensive victory over Blackburn was their 13th of the campaign with goals for and against telling the story; on home soil City have scored a massive 40 times whilst conceding on just 6 occasions. Mancini has been very fortunate with regard to injuries this season and he goes into this game with Bolton with no injury concerns or suspended players. The Trotters however travel to Eastlands on the back of a heavy defeat at Stamford Bridge and doubts over the fitness of both Kevin and Mark Davies. Bolton have lost their last 3 Premier League matches on the road and are in the midst of a relegation dogfight with the bottom five separated by just 2 points. Their goal difference is bad enough but Coyle will be hoping that his side can at least keep the scoreline down to a respectable defeat.
Home Win 3-0
  QPR v Everton
  QPR have lost their last 3 games and goal difference is currently keeping them out of the bottom three. Those 3 defeats came against mediocre opposition but more importantly 2 of them came at Loftus Road. Mark Hughes's track record would look much better if he could keep 11 players on the pitch. Diakite was sent off for 2 yellows against Fulham whilst Cisse was red-carded against Wolves meaning that both players are suspended for the visit of Everton. The Toffees didn't play last weekend as they were due to play Liverpool who were otherwise engaged at Wembley, so David Moyes's side should be well rested. That said, key players like Jagielka, Osman and Rodwell are still on the road to recovery although Jelavic should've recovered from a muscle problem. Everton's most recent Premier League victory was a surprise one over Chelsea, not only because they won but also because it was the first time they'd managed more than a single goal in a Premier League fixture since their win at Bolton in late November. The bottom line about Everton is that they're solid, and they're capable of nicking this one.
Away Win 0-1
  Stoke v Norwich
  Norwich gave it their all last weekend at home to United but an injury-time goal from old-timer Ryan Giggs undid all their hard work. However, Norwich's recent away form is very good with 4 wins from their last 5 in all competitions, the exception being a 3-0 defeat at Sunderland. The trip to Stoke promises to be a very physical game and for that reason Lambert may well prefer to partner Grant Holt up top with Steve Morison. The Potters finally got back to winning ways in the Premier League with a home win over Swansea after suffering 4 straight defeats. The Britannia Stadium hasn't been the fortress it's been in seasons past but Stoke have still only lost 4 Premier League matches there this season. Robert Huth returns from suspension but it remains to be seen whether he can displace any of the current back four. A tight game in which Norwich will have their say but Stoke are likely to come out on top.
Home Win 2-1
  West Brom v Chelsea
  What a difference a couple of games can make! The Baggies had been poor at home for some time but their 5-1 victory at local rivals paved the way for a resounding 4-0 win over a highly-rated Sunderland side. These were a couple of much-needed results and give Roy Hodgson's side some breathing space. Another win at the weekend could see West Brom move into the top half, so close are the sides in mid-table. They host a Chelsea side who's form on the road isn't what it once was. They were beaten in Naples and at Everton last month with their last Premier League away victory coming at Wolves just after the turn of the year. John Terry's knee injury has been well publicised but Drogba had to come off in their 3-0 win over Bolton whilst Daniel Sturridge limped off the Wembley pitch earlier this week. The injuries could hand another chance to Fernando Torres to stake a claim for both his Chelsea and Spain places. The Blues look good on paper but can't seem to get it together on the road and this one could swing the way of West Brom.
Home Win 2-1
  Wigan v Swansea
  Wigan have now gone 11 Premier League matches at home without a win and that no doubt goes some way to explaining why they're bottom of the table. There is hope for them though as there are 4 other sides within 2 points and a win could conceivably lift them out of the drop zone. Martinez can't even blame injuries for his side's predicament and they just have to concentrate on playing their way out of trouble. They host a Swansea side who's home form has kept them in mid-table but they've been a bit shaky away from the Liberty. However, they've won 3 times on the road in all competitions since the turn of the year and were the better side at Stoke last weekend despite succumbing to the Potters' well-practised set pieces. Both of these sides like to play football and that could actually play into Swansea's hands. Vorm is expected to resume his role between the sticks after missing the Stoke defeat through illness. If Swansea are allowed to pass the ball like they can, they're a good bet for taking maximum points.
Away Win 0-1
Sun 12:00 Newcastle v Sunderland
  These 2 sides are a lot closer now than they were several months ago. Sunderland have improved dramatically whilst Newcastle have maintained a healthy challenge for a European place. However, both sides will have been disappointed with last weekend's results; Sunderland were hammered at West Brom whilst Newcastle threw away a 2-goal lead to let Wolves in for a share of the spoils. One thing O'Neill will have learned from the Baggies defeat is that Sessegnon's best position isn't as a lone striker; he'll surely start on the wing against Newcastle given that Campbell and Bendtner are both fit. Bardsley is the latest concern after pulling out of the Scotland squad with a suspected muscle tear. In both the draw with Wolves and the heavy defeat at White Hart Lane, Newcastle were missing the combative element that has served them so well earlier this season. The prospect of a derby fixture should see their fighting spirit return. No doubt Sunderland will be seeking revenge for recent derby defeats and maybe a draw at St James Park will be enough to satisfy them.
Draw 1-1
Sun 2:05 Fulham v Wolves
  Wolves staged a magnificent comeback last weekend to level the game at St James Park. After a dodgy opening 20 minutes they dominated the game and it was the response new manager Terry Connor was looking for after their capitulation at home to local rivals West Brom. That point was enough to drag Wolves out of the bottom three but their situation remains precarious. However, they've not lost away from home since early December when they were heavily beaten at Old Trafford. Doyle, Edwards and Hennessey pulled out of midweek international friendlies making them doubtful for this weekend although striker Steven Fletcher should've recovered from a virus. They travel to Craven Cottage where Fulham haven't been beaten since just before Christmas, again heavily by United. New striker Pavel Pogrebnyak has settled in quickly with 2 goals from 2 starts and now looks Fulham's biggest threat. Stephen Kelly is a doubt for Jol after missing Ireland's friendly with a thigh problem. Going on recent form a draw might look the likely outcome but I fancy Fulham to win this one.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 4:10 Tottenham v Man Utd
  Third plays second at White Hart Lane but realistically Spurs have little chance of catching United after their 5-2 humiliation at the Emirates last weekend. The gap between the 2 sides is now 8 points and Spurs will just be trying to avoid a repeat. Spurs have only lost 1 Premier League match at home this season (to City) although they'll have to make do without Scott Parker after his dismissal at the Emirates last weekend. The most likely replacements are either Sandro or Livermore but with Lennon available again, Redknapp may see fit to switch Bale back to the wing with van der Vaart supporting Adebayor. United continue to hang on to City's coat tails after Giggs's injury-time winner at Carrow Road with the gap still 2 points. Ferguson's side have lost just a single Premier League away fixture this season (at Newcastle) but the manager's becoming ever reliant on old boys like Giggs and Scholes. Rooney should be back for the Champions but Smalling is unlikely to play any part after a nasty collision with Huntelaar this week. An exciting game that could go either way but Spurs will probably be the happier with a draw.
Draw 1-1

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