Archived Premier League Tips (15th October 2011)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (15th October 2011)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 15th to Sun 16th October 2011.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (15th to 16th Oct 2011)

Sat 12:45 Liverpool v Man Utd
  Given the fierce rivalry between both these sides, it's no surprise to see the importance of this fixture being ramped up ahead of the game. United are on top, 6 points clear of Liverpool in 5th place. United have dropped just two points this season but weaknesses have been highlighted in recent matches against Basel and Norwich. Basel were a couple of goals down but stormed back in the second half only for Ashley Young to net an equaliser in the dying minutes. Against Norwich, United were sloppy at the back and could've thrown the game away had the Canaries brought their shooting boots with them. De Gea and Vidic will come back in for Lindegaard and Evans whilst Young will return after missing the win over Norwich. Ferdinand is also available but the only chink in United's defence is probably Valencia at right back. Liverpool are undefeated at home this season and have the bonus of bringing Gerrard back into the starting lineup. However, who he replaces remains open to speculation with much depending on where he plays. Will it be one of their midfield quartet or will he play behind Suarez? One likely scenario is that Carroll misses out with Kuyt and Gerrard vying for the supporting striker and right midfield roles. Both United and Liverpool have looked great at times whilst also showing their vulnerable side. An intriguing match in prospect but the value has to be the draw.
Draw 1-1
Sat 3:00 Man City v Aston Villa
  Carlos Tevez has returned to Manchester to see what fate awaits him but he's unlikely to feature again for City unless Mancini is prepared to swallow his pride. City have something of a striker crisis in that Aguero and Balotelli are both doubtful for Saturday's match leaving Dzeko to plough a lone furrow with Silva supporting. City have dropped points just the once this season, surprisingly only drawing at Fulham, and recently lost their Champions League fixture in Munich but their 100% home record is still intact. They host a Villa side also undefeated in the Premier League under McLeish but they're yet to play any top quality opposition and have drawn 5 of their 7 games including all 3 away fixtures. Collins is likely to be fit to partner Dunne at the back but Hutton is still a weak link defensively and he'll need to be at his best to keep Nasri quiet. McLeish and his players will be in reality check territory and whilst they'll be expected to lose, it shouldn't be by too many.
Home Win 2-0
  Norwich v Swansea
  Norwich might've lost at Old Trafford a couple of weeks ago but they emerged with an enormous amount of credit. The Canaries created a number of clear cut chances only for their finishing to let them down. Had it been better, United could well have been left with egg on their face. Norwich's results have been mixed but they won their last game at Carrow Road (against Sunderland). Steve Morison is expected to retain his place up front in place of Grant Holt with the Welsh striker expected to have the edge against his national team-mate, Ashley Williams. They host a Swansea side that've secured all of their 8 points at the Liberty Stadium and lost all 3 of their away fixtures. Having said that, the Swans' away games have come at Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea where they've conceded a total of 9 goals and scored just the once. At the Emirates Swansea were unlucky to lose after a Michel Vorm mistake let Arshavin in to score the winner from an acute angle. I still see this as a Norwich victory but Swansea shouldn't be underestimated having taken their performances into account.
Home Win 2-1
  QPR v Blackburn
  Last time out QPR suffered a humiliating defeat at Fulham going down by 6 clear goals. What made the beating at Craven Cottage all the more surprising was that Warnock's side appeared to have bounced back from their opening day home defeat to Bolton. The absence of Gabbidon appears to have been a major factor but also the switch of Young to left back. Gabbidon remains doubtful for the clash against Blackburn although Traore could return after suspension meaning Young would switch back to his preferred side. Taarabt is also expected to retain his place despite leaving Craven Cottage at half-time after being substituted. Blackburn have lost 5 of 7 Premier League matches this season and lie just a point clear of the foot of the table; somehow Steve Kean remains in charge despite fan pressure. A draw at Fulham is responsible for Rovers' only away point of the season and they're unlikely to get anything at Loftus Road if Rangers play to the same tempo that they have done on occasions. QPR fans are anxious for their first home win of the season and they might just be rewarded.
Home Win 2-1
  Stoke v Fulham
  Fulham scored 6 of the best when they swatted QPR aside a couple of weeks ago but they won't be so naive as to expect similar opposition at the Britannia Stadium. Zamora and Johnson both scored against Fulham with the latter netting a hat-trick and both should be expected to start together at Stoke. However, Fulham's away record continues to frustrate and they've taken just a single point from 3 matches with defeats at Newcastle and Wolves and a draw at West Brom. Stoke have their own problems on the road but they're a force to be reckoned with at home; most consider the Britannia something of a fortress nowadays. They remain undefeated at home in the Premier League this season although they've only taken 5 points from 3 matches. However the Potters have drawn against Chelsea and United and beaten Liverpool. Outside of the Premier League they knocked Spurs out of the Carling Cup and recently beat Besiktas in the Europa League. Anything for Fulham from this game will represent real improvement but it's likely to be Stoke's day.
Home Win 2-1
  Wigan v Bolton
  Difficult to see the DW Stadium being sold out for this one. Two poor sides battling it out in what could be considered a 6 pointer should their respective woes continue. Wigan are on the end of 5 successive defeats in all competitions whilst Bolton have suffered 6 Premier League defeats on the trot. The Trotters will point to their Carling Cup victory at Villa Park as a possible source of comfort but the reality is that they're bottom of the table and Wigan are only a couple of points and places above them. Both sides have a couple of strong players missing; Rodallega is out for the Latics whilst Bolton are without Holden and Lee but the respective managers can't really blame injuries for their demise. No idea which way this one will go but both sides would probably be happy with a point given that it would mark an end to a significant run of defeats.
Draw 1-1
Sat 5:30 Chelsea v Everton
  Chelsea are keeping tabs on the top two despite having already been beaten at Old Trafford this season. The Blues have a 100% home record and enjoyed a particularly emphatic victory at the Reebok last time out with Frank Lampard claiming the match ball after starting the previous game against Swansea on the bench. Torres continues to serve his suspension and Villas-Boas could start again with a front three of Sturridge, Drogba and Mata. They host an Everton side that have enjoyed something of a hoodoo over their counterparts recently. The Toffees are unbeaten in their last 5 Premier League visits to Stamford Bridge and will be counting on their grit and determination to get a result. Rodwell's red card at Anfield has been rightly rescinded but reports suggest he's currently struggling with a groin strain after missing England's U21 victory over Norway. Other than that Moyes has no major injury concerns and Saha could well start his second succesive game with Cahill supporting. Everton won't lie down but Chelsea should have too much quality.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 12:00 West Brom v Wolverhampton
  Both sides have very few injuries ahead of this derby fixture but a result is crucial if they're to gather some momentum. Wolves started the season with great promise but that form has dissipated into a run of 4 successive Premier League defeats. McCarthy's side have played some great football and dominated games whilst other times they haven't turned up, as evidenced by the home defeat to QPR. In stark contrast to Wolves, West Brom took nothing from their opening three games (against United, Chelsea and Stoke) despite playing well. Since then their results have been mixed but 2 successive draws (at home to Fulham and away at Sunderland) will likely see them back in positive mood. Except for Peter Odemwingie who was booed off when substituted in Nigeria's draw with Guinea, a result that saw the Super Eagles' hopes of qualifying for the African Cup of Nations ended. Roy Hodgson will have a job picking up his star striker and will likely start him alongside Shane Long. You could stake a claim for either side winning this one but I can't really see beyond a draw given that it's a derby.
Draw 1-1
Sun 1:30 Arsenal v Sunderland
  Only a point and a place separates these two sides after both suffered disappointing starts to the current campaign. Arsenal lost to Liverpool at the Emirates but their other two home games (against Swansea and Bolton) yielded 6 points. Their defence has been largely to blame for the poor start and their problems have worsened with Sagna expected to be out for a minimum 3 months after sustaining an ankle injury in the defeat at White Hart Lane. Their saving grace is their attack remains spearheaded by van Persie with Walcott, Ramsey and Gervinho all supporting; a case of we'll score more than you. The Gunners host a Sunderland side that've won just a single game this season, especially disappointing given the money that Bruce spent during the summer. The Mackems are without some key players; Bramble's suspended by the club, Bardsley serves the last of his 4-match suspension whilst Bendtner is ineligible to play against his parent club. It'll be interesting to see whether Cattermole retains his place in the starting lineup given that he seems unable to get through a game without at least picking up a booking. Arsenal to keep a clean sheet might be beyond expectations but they should do enough against a weakened Sunderland side.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 4:00 Newcastle v Tottenham
  Spurs have roared to 4 successive victories after opening their campaign with defeats at United and at home to City. Ledley King has started all 4 of those wins and the lynchpin at the heart of the Spurs' defence deserves credit with him set to start his 5th successive Premier League match. There is some doubt over the fitness of Adebayor but if he fails to make it, expect Van der Vaart to come in from the right flank to support Defoe despite the Dutchman's outspoken comments regarding his substitution in the win over Arsenal. They travel to St James Park where Newcastle have made the most pound for pound impressive start of any Premier League club, especially considering that their squad is weaker than it was at the start of the season. Their success has been founded on a solid defence that has shipped just 4 goals in 7 games. Arguably they've not played anyone decent yet with the exception of Arsenal on the opening day, but then look at the Gunners' campaign so far. Expect this match to be tight but Spurs have the midfield players and forward line to unlock the Newcastle door and they might just sneak it.
Away Win 0-1

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