Archived Premier League Tips (27th October 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (27th October 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 27th to Sun 28th October 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (27th to 28th Oct 2012)

Sat 12:45 Aston Villa v Norwich
  It's been a slow start to the season for Norwich and Grant Holt but the Canaries striker notched his 3rd goal in 3 games to secure their first win of the season at home to Arsenal last weekend. Holt may have scored the winner but it was the central midfield partnership of Tettey and Johnson that put the stop on Arsenal's play. That result lifted Norwich out of the bottom three leaving Reading as the bookies' favourite to be relegated. Bassong and Turner are likely to continue as the centre-half pairing this weekend when the Canaries travel to Villa Park. Paul Lambert's job will be to lift his players ahead of his old club's visit after they succumbed to a single goal defeat at Craven Cottage. Villa are struggling at the wrong end of the table and like their opponents have only a single win to their name this season but are a point worse off after 8 games played. Bent started for the first time since Villa's defeat at Southampton but it remains to be seen whether Lambert will opt for Benteke instead. Both sides are desperate for points but this looks like ending level.
Draw 1-1
Sat 3:00 Arsenal v QPR
  A key match for Arsenal if they're to regroup after suffering a couple of defeats. Last weekend Norwich were disciplined without the ball and the Gunners lacked any real threat eventually losing to a first-half strike from Grant Holt. This week proved just as bad when they were exposed by Schalke at the Emirates and again lost to 2 late goals. Arsenal are now 10 points behind league leaders Chelsea in 9th but one good result could see them move into the top five. In a bid to get his Gunners firing, Wenger may well resort to changes with Gibbs back for the ineffective Santos, Sagna in for Jenkinson and Jack Wilshere could be recalled in midfield. All these changes are injury-permitting but it looks like the game will come too soon for Walcott and Oxlade-Chamberlain. Bottom side QPR visit the Emirates with Mark Hughes confident that they can survive despite failing to register their first Premier League victory. The draw at home to Everton ended a run of 3 successive defeats but Rangers have only taken a single point on the road this season; ironically a draw at Carrow Road. Apparently Kieron Dyer could be in contention for a return after a calf injury but Fabio remains sidelined whilst Johnson has been ruled out for the rest of the season with ligament damage. Questions will no doubt be asked at Arsenal's AGM about their lack of recent success but failure to beat QPR will only amplify the demands for answers. Home win for me!
Home Win 2-0
  Reading v Fulham
  Had Liverpool been more clinical in their finishing, they could've been out of sight at Anfield last weekend but their lack of composure only served to build Reading's confidence and the Royals might've got something from the game. That said, Reading are yet to win a Premier League fixture this season with 2 of their 3 points coming at the Madjeski (draws against Newcastle and Stoke). They were well beaten at home by Spurs and only goal difference is keeping them off the foot of the table. With relegation rivals Norwich beating Arsenal last weekend, Reading have now been installed as the bookies' favourite for the drop. However, they've a ray of hope this weekend when Fulham visit. The Cottagers aren't renowned for their exploits on the road though they did sneak a win at Wigan. Their only other point came at Southampton in a 2-2 draw but defeats at United and West Ham saw them concede 6 goals in all. Jol will hope to have Duff back from illness meaning Petric could drop to the bench whilst it remains to be seen whether Baird continues in his new midfield role despite the return of Diarra to full fitness. Cases can be made for either side taking the points but the value has to be the draw.
Draw 1-1
  Stoke v Sunderland
  On paper these 2 sides couldn't be more closely matched. Thirteenth and fourteenth in the table respectively, just one goal separates them. The only notable difference is that Stoke have played a game more resulting in an extra defeat on the road. Other than that their home and away records are identical; 1 win and 2 draws at home, 3 draws and a defeat on their travels. The big factor to take into consideration though is that Stoke are at home and their 5 points have come against Arsenal, Man City and Swansea; not a bad return. Sunderland haven't been too bad on their travels with draws at Arsenal, Swansea and West Ham but they were well beaten at Eastlands only recently. The Mackems can also count themselves fortunate to snatch an 85th-minute equaliser at home to Newcastle last weekend despite playing the majority of the game against 10 men. Neither side has major injury concerns but Stoke at home are a force to be reckoned with whilst Sunderland aren't quite hitting the right notes.
Home Win 2-0
  Wigan v West Ham
  Wigan are once again flirting with relegation and haven't won in the top flight since taking 3 points at Southampton back in late August. Unfortunately a perfectly good Kone header was incorrectly ruled offside last weekend at Swansea and denied the Latics a share of the spoils. Wigan's last win in any competition was actually a month ago in the Capital One Cup at Upton Park. Martinez's men ran out surprise 4-1 winners but Allardyce put that down to some very poor defending. Of that back four, only McCartney is likely to start although Tomkins could feature if Demel hasn't recovered sufficiently from a thigh problem. The Hammers ran out convincing winners last weekend at home to Southampton but their away form has been mixed. That said, this West Ham side is gradually adopting a more familiar Allardyce look, no doubt helped by the return of Andy Carroll. The Geordie striker was unplayable against the Saints despite not getting on the scoresheet and is likely to prove a thorn in Wigan's side. West Ham are up to 7th in the table, level on points with 5th-placed Spurs and look like they're heading in the right direction on the road; their last away result was a 2-1 win at Loftus Road. Wigan have already lost at home to 2 London teams (Chelsea and Fulham) and whilst it'll be tight, maybe the Hammers are worth backing for a London hat-trick.
Away Win 1-2
Sat 5:30 Man City v Swansea
  Man City's Champions League hopes suffered a major blow this week when they lost at Ajax despite being a goal to the good. The Dutch side ran out deserved winners but it leaves City bottom of the group of death with a miracle required if they're to qualify. On the domestic front they had to rely on 2 late goals from substitute Edin Dzeko at West Brom last weekend after Milner had been sent off mid-way through the first half. That resilience was missing in Amsterdam but they'll need it in bundles if they're to hang on to their Premier League title. City have avoided defeat in the top flight this season and they've dropped just 2 points at Eastlands leaving them level with United and trailing Chelsea by 4. They host a Swansea side that managed their first Premier League win since late August by beating Wigan at the weekend. However, it was a tight game and those 3 points could prove crucial ahead of this fixture and next weekend's at home to Chelsea. The only points on the road for the Swans came at QPR on the opening day and whilst they trounced Rangers by 5 clear goals, there's been no repeat of that, losing at both Villa and Stoke without scoring. A win for City to lift the mood.
Home Win 3-0
Sun 1:30 Everton v Liverpool
  Liverpool finally secured their first win at Anfield this season by narrowly beating Reading last weekend by a single goal. Whilst it was great for Raheem Sterling to get his first for the club, Luis Suarez once again proved wasteful and the lack of strength in depth is leaving Rodgers's hands tied. Tonight they face tough Russian opponents Anzhi in the Europa League and the likelihood is that Rodgers will field a strong side with a win required. That may impact on his selection for Sunday but the good news is that keeper Reina should've recovered from a hamstring problem by then. Everton don't have the distraction of European football and are up to 4th in the table on the back of a very good Premier League season to date. The Toffees have suffered just 1 defeat in 8 games and dropped just 2 points at Goodison. That draw was a game in which Newcastle twice came from behind with the second equaliser coming close to the final whistle. Pienaar sits this one out after receiving 2 yellows in the draw at Loftus Road last weekend but Moyes is hopeful that Fellaini, Gibson and Hibbert will all be back in contention. No doubt this will be a close contest but I expect the home side to have the edge and nick it by the odd goal.
Home Win 1-0
Sun 3:00 Newcastle v West Brom
  West Brom have made a promising start to the season and are up to 6th in the table but they're yet to win on the road. That said, they've only been beaten once away from home (at Fulham) and have managed draws at both Villa and Spurs. Man City left it late before taking all 3 points at the Hawthorns last weekend but the Baggies were playing against 10 men for three quarters of the game and should've wrapped up the points after going in front. Steve Clarke has no new injuries leaving him a selection dilemma across midfield with Lukaku and Odemwingie bidding for a starting berth. Their hosts, Newcastle, took a point at Sunderland last weekend but it could well have been more had Tiote not been sent from the field for serious foul play halfway through the first half. We haven't seen the best of the Magpies this season but the signs are there with players returning from injury like Krul, Coloccini and Steven Taylor. Cisse could also return to the starting line-up alongside strike partner Ba but Tiote serves the first of a 3-match ban. Newcastle's results have been mixed but this could be a much-needed win.
Home Win 2-1
  Southampton v Tottenham
  Gareth Bale is not only expected to return to the starting lineup after becoming a father but he also returns to his professional football roots. Much has changed for the Spurs winger since those days but his return will be welcome after missing the home defeat to Chelsea. Spurs actually came from behind to lead at one point which shows the character of the side but defensive lapses cost them dear. Apart from Bale's return, AVB will be hoping that Dembele is fit again after suffering a hip injury on international duty with Belgium. The Chelsea defeat was Spurs' first in 10 games in all competitions whilst not forgetting that they won at Old Trafford only a couple of weeks ago. Southampton find themselves back in the bottom three after being well beaten at Upton Park. So far the Saints' only points have come at St Marys courtesy of a win over Villa and a draw with Fulham. Neither of those sides are great on the road and that's definitely an area where Spurs are improving. Southampton are still without Ramirez but it's their back line that'll be under pressure after not managing a clean sheet in the top flight this season. Goals and an away win for Spurs!
Away Win 1-3
Sun 4:00 Chelsea v Man Utd
  A glance at the top of the table tells us all we need to know about how important this fixture is for both clubs. Chelsea and United are top and second respectively but the gap is 4 points and would leave United adrift by 7 should Chelsea win this crucial encounter. The Blues go into this match on the back of a Champions League defeat in Ukraine but on the domestic front they've dropped just 2 points from their opening 8 games. A couple of weeks ago it looked like they'd not been really tested but recent victories at the Emirates and White Hart Lane have seen sceptics sit up and take notice. Such is their strength in depth that the suspended Terry and injured Lampard should not be missed. United have already lost twice this season, away at Everton and at home to Spurs, and had to come from 2 goals behind at home to Braga this week. The fact that they won that game is testament to their self-belief but conceding goals is becoming a problem and they've kept just 3 clean sheets in all competitions this season. Rio Ferdinand will probably return to the heart of the defence in place of Carrick who'll shift to his more usual midfield position. With so many match-winners on the pitch there's bound to be goals but Juan Mata looks the pick of them at the moment. Chelsea to edge it!
Home Win 2-1

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