Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:
Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.
Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.
Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.
Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures for Sat 10th to Sun 11th November 2012.
|Sat 15:00||Arsenal v Fulham|
|There's little to separate these 2 sides going into the match at the Emirates; only goal difference splits them in 7th and 8th with Arsenal having the edge. Obviously all games come down to goals but the stats here are worth looking at in more detail. The Gunners have the best defensive record in the top flight with just 8 goals conceded in 10 Premier League fixtures. Fulham on the other hand have conceded 12 times in 5 away matches. Another intriguing stat is goals scored/conceded in the last 10 minutes plus injury time. Arsenal have scored 5 times without conceding whilst the Cottagers have scored 6 but conceded 5. It's by no means a guarantor to the outcome of the game but expect goals with 10 minutes to go. Wilshere is banned after being sent off in the defeat at Old Trafford whilst Ramsey, Oxlade-Chamberlain and Gibbs are all injury doubts. Fulham are likely to start as they were for the draw at home to Everton. Tough one to call but Arsenal shade it on the stats.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Everton v Sunderland|
|The defeat by Aston Villa at the Stadium of Light was a new low for Martin O'Neill's Sunderland side and now all the talk is about possible relegation as they slip to 16th. The goals have not only dried up for Steven Fletcher but also for the whole side; the Newcastle own goal apart, Sunderland haven't scored since September. They've done well to get beat just twice in the Premier League but the signs are desperate if you're not scoring goals. Drawing 6 of their opening 10 fixtures explains why they're not further down the table. The Toffees have only been beaten once this season and are up to fourth although their last 4 matches have all ended in draws. Everton used to be a side that struggled for goals but this season has shown that's no longer the case with contributions from all over the field. Breaking down Sunderland will be hard work given they have what it takes defensively but Moyes's side are more than capable of getting the 3 points.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Reading v Norwich|
|Reading must've been happier with the point at Loftus Road than QPR but they're still to get that all important first Premier League win of the season. After Rangers equalised, the Royals still had chances to win the game with substitute Jimmy Kebe most threatening but QPR also came very close and a draw was probably a fair result. That draw leaves Reading third from bottom and 4 points adrift of safety, although 4 draws from their last 5 top-flight matches indicates some improvement. They host a Norwich side that look to have turned the corner about 3 weeks ago with that single goal victory over Arsenal at Carrow Road. Since then they've drawn at Villa Park, knocked Spurs out of the Capital One Cup and added Stoke to their list of scalps. The side has a more settled look about it but more importantly, they've tightened up at the back. I can't see the Canaries losing this one but on the road they're yet to win and with Reading also in the same boat, a draw looks the stand-out bet!|
|Southampton v Swansea|
|Another defeat for Southampton, this time at West Brom, saw the Saints move back to the bottom of the table. Ironically, they're the only side in the bottom three to have actually won a Premier League fixture but rumour has it this could be Nigel Adkins's last game in charge. Conceding far too many goals has underlined Southampton's failures this season with 28 conceded in 10 matches, 10 of those in 5 home games. They take on a Swansea side that haven't scored on the road in the top flight since they smashed 5 goals past QPR at Loftus Road on the opening day. As a result they've lost their last 3 away fixtures but there were signs of improvement at Eastlands in their last Premier League away match and they can count themselves unfortunate to have lost by a single goal. Further signs of growing confidence include the Capital One Cup win at Anfield and the draw at home to Chelsea last weekend. Whilst Southampton always look capable of scoring, Swansea have the players to take advantage of lax defending and the Swans might just edge an end-to-end game.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|Stoke v QPR|
|A draw at home to Reading was enough to move QPR off the bottom of the table albeit on goal difference. Whilst it may not have been the result that many at Loftus Road would've wanted, Tony Fernandes continues to back Mark Hughes. However, Rangers now have no win in 10 games equalling their worst start to a top-flight season. After such a poor start, the odds are stacked against QPR avoiding the drop. Taking their away form on its own makes even less palatable reading; they've taken just a single point on the road, a draw at Norwich in their first away fixture and the 4 subsequent matches have all been defeats. Mbia, Park, Fabio and Johnson are all out for the trip to the Britannia. There is hope for Rangers after Stoke were beaten at Carrow Road but their home support is good and they're unbeaten at the Britannia this season. That said, the Potters have just a solitary win to their name (against Swansea) although they've held the likes of City and Liverpool. Don't anticipate any changes from Tony Pulis as his side set their targets on only their second top-flight victory.|
|Home Win 2-0|
|Wigan v West Brom|
|We've had our fair share of Wigan disasters and usually as soon as we start to back them, they revert to type. However, they've been receiving plaudits for their style of football and more importantly, they've started getting the results to go with them. They beat West Ham at the DW only the other weekend and last weekend they deserved their single goal victory at White Hart Lane. That said, they're up against a vastly improved West Brom side. The Baggies are up to 5th in the table and despite 15 of their 17 points coming at home, they've drawn at Spurs and Villa and were desperately unlucky not to get a point at Newcastle. Steve Clarke is doing a sterling job but the expectation levels are high and they need to maintain the momentum after geting back on track with a home win over Southampton. McArthur and Miyaichi are doubts for Wigan whilst Morrison and Thomas should be back in contention for the Baggies. Very difficult to pick a winner here.|
|Sat 17:30||Aston Villa v Man Utd|
|United took advantage of Chelsea's slip-up at Swansea to move to the top of the table with a win over Arsenal and they're looking more and more like Champions material. They've won 8 of their last 9 Premier League fixtures (just that defeat at home to Spurs) as well as winning all 4 of their Champions League group matches to date. They might've ridden their luck on a couple of occasions but look very strong going forward. Defensively they've not been so great but Smalling played the full 90 minutes in Braga giving some flexibility without Carrick dropping into the back four. They travel to Villa Park where Villa have won just a single top flight game this season. The only decent side they've played there has been Everton and they were comfortably beaten. After surprisingly winning by a single goal at the Stadium of Light last weekend, Villa remain fourth from bottom but they join Stoke and Sunderland on 9 points. Several players including Bent, Lichaj and N'Zogbia amongst others are ruled out but it's difficult to see their young squad getting much change out of United.|
|Away Win 0-2|
|Sun 13:30||Man City v Tottenham|
|Man City seem a shadow of the side they were last season but they're just about managing to hold on to their domestic form. Whilst their Champions League campaign has fallen apart, Mancini's side remain unbeaten in the Premier League. They've dropped just 2 points at home (a draw with Arsenal) but they were fairly fortunate to beat Swansea by a single goal recently. Rodwell and Richards are out injured whilst Lescott and Milner are doubts but their biggest miss is David Silva who could possibly be in line for a return this weekend. Despite the negatives, City are still 3rd in the table and only a couple of points behind league leaders United. Spurs are the visitors to Eastlands on the back of a couple of not so good results. They were knocked out of the Capital One Cup at Carrow Road and then surprisingly lost at home to Wigan. AVB's decisions to replace a striker with a striker after going behind left many scratching their heads and patience could be wearing thin at White Hart Lane. Spurs have been beaten just once on the road in the top flight this season, on the opening day at St James Park, but 3 victories have followed including that infamous win at Old Trafford. Spurs need to win to close the gap on the top three but it's difficult to see City losing.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Sun 15:00||Newcastle v West Ham|
|One or two characters in West Ham's lineup will need little encouragement to strut their stuff at St James Park this weekend. Carroll, Noble and Allardyce all have history with the club whilst the former is Geordie born and bred. The Hammers manged to shut out City at Upton Park last weekend, the first time a side has managed to do that since April although Carroll has had his own scoring problems with his last goal coming against Sweden at Euro 2012. On the road West Ham's form has been mixed with defeats at Swansea and Wigan, a draw at Norwich and a win at QPR. Their opponents, Newcastle, held on for a point last weekend at Anfield but they've lacked some of the spark their front pairing appeared to have in abundance last season. Injuries have cost the Magpies continuity in their defence and no sooner does Coloccini return from injury than he misses 3 matches after being sent off against Liverpool. Cheik Tiote also serves the last match of his ban, again for dangerous foul play. So Alan Pardew has a few changes to make but it's difficult to see Newcastle losing this one and I expect a narrow win.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Sun 16:00||Chelsea v Liverpool|
|John Terry's in line for a return from his 4-match ban this weekend and Di Matteo nearly paid the price for leaving him out against Shakhtar Donetsk. Thanks to Victor Moses's late winner, Chelsea moved level on points with Shakhtar but their progression to the knockout stages remains in the balance. Last weekend they slipped up at Swansea and as a result were leapfrogged by United so the centre-half could be brought back in to help shackle Suarez. The Blues only defeat this season came recently at the Bridge against United but opponents Liverpool are no longer in that class. The Reds are 12th in the table and have won just 2 of 10 Premier League matches this season. That said, there has been an improvement and they've managed to avoid defeat in their last five. Liverpool are effectively taking a second string to play Anzhi this week but it's unlikely to affect the outcome at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are without Lampard and possibly Cole whilst Liverpool are again struggling with full-backs. This has to go down as a home win.|
|Home Win 2-1|