Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:
Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.
Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.
Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.
Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 15th to Mon 17th December 2012.
|Sat 12:45||Newcastle v Man City|
|Newcastle suffered their 5th defeat in 6 Premier League matches last Monday night at Craven Cottage. They're slipping closer and closer to the relegation places and not surprisingly Alan Pardew is worried about their form. Coloccini was to blame for Fulham's winner after a lapse in concentration but the man they're really missing is Cabaye in the middle of the park; he's probably not due back until February after undergoing surgery. After this match the Magpies face QPR at home then United and Arsenal away so come the New Year, Newcastle could easily find themselves further down the table. Rumours that top scorer Ba will be sold to either Arsenal or Liverpool in the first week of the transfer window certainly won't help the manager. They host a Man City side anxious to make amends for their first Premier League defeat of the season. City now trail league leaders and local rivals United by 6 points after Van Persie netted an injury-time winner at Eastlands. Mancini's side have to bounce back if they're to hold on to their title and it looks like they'll be doing it without Balotelli who's tested the manager's patience once too often. Everyone will be looking for a reaction from City and on recent form they should prove too strong for Newcastle.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|Sat 15:00||Liverpool v Aston Villa|
|Liverpool are on a fantastic run of just one defeat in the last 11 Premier League matches. Spurs were responsible for that sole defeat but the Reds are now up to 10th and, along with a number of other clubs, just 4 points off a Champions League spot. The biggest surprise was that last weekend they were without Suarez at Upton Park and came from behind to beat West Ham scoring 3 times in the process. Suarez is obviously back for this one with Shelvey expected to drop out whilst Cole could be given a starting place after coming on for Enrique against West Ham and scoring the second; Enrique suffered a tight hamstring and Rodgers could well have a decision to make. They host a Villa side struggling at the wrong end of the table but they won comfortably at Carrow Road this week to make it through to the semi-finals of the Capital One Cup. However, in the top flight they've found goals hard to come by and had to rely on stalwart defending to pick up points. Darrent Bent actually started the game at Norwich but limped off after 35 minutes with a hamstring injury so expect Benteke to lead the line as Villa revert to a more familiar line-up. The league cup win could signify a turning point but the likelihood is that Liverpool will do enough.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Man Utd v Sunderland|
|Sunderland's comprehensive win over Reading at the Stadium of Light this week was enough to move the Mackems up the table 3 places and out of the drop zone. Martin O'Neill is under no illusions that his side are yet safe and appreciates that this season's relegation battle will be long and arduous with a number of clubs involved. The good news, apart from the win, is that Steven Fletcher lasted 90 minutes after returning from injury and capped his performance with a goal whilst McClean fired home his first Premier League strike of the season. Adam Johnson could be missing though after coming off just after half-time with a leg injury. This week's victory was only Sunderland's third of the season whilst their away record makes fairly grim reading with 3 defeats in the last 5. It'll be difficult for them to build on their most recent win as they travel to league leaders United. United are 6 points clear at the top of the table after beating local rivals City at the Etihad last weekend. Ferguson's side have already lost 3 matches this season, just 1 at Old Trafford, but they've not drawn a game which explains their table-topping position. It's rumoured that Vidic could return to the starting line-up on Saturday, a bonus given United's recent propensity to concede plus the fact that Evans is thought to be struggling with a hamstring problem. This looks like a nailed-on 3 points for United although it wouldn't be a surprise to see them ship a goal.|
|Home Win 3-1|
|Norwich v Wigan|
|Norwich's Capital One Cup defeat this week came as something akin to a bolt from the blue especially after their win at Swansea last weekend. They've gone 9 games undefeated in the Premier League although the goals have started leaking again especially in the second half. They conceded all 3 Swansea goals in the second 45 minutes despite holding on to win and after going into half-time at 1-1 with Villa ended up conceding another three in the last 11 minutes. Hughton must be grateful that Turner is once again fit after returning to the bench against Villa. They entertain a Wigan side that dropped back into the bottom three on goal difference thanks to Sunderland's midweek win over Reading. The Latics had a defensive crisis last weekend because of injuries and suspensions but still managed a draw against bottom side QPR. Aside from that, they've lost 4 of their 5 previous fixtures with the other a win over relegation rivals Reading. On the road they've been beaten in 5 of the last 6 with the other a win at Spurs, proof that they are capable on their day. The good news is that Figueroa returns from suspension although Caldwell has subsequently picked up a hamstring injury. We're assuming that the league cup defeat was just a blip and expect Norwich to return to winning ways especially with Turner partnering Bassong at the back.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|QPR v Fulham|
|We backed QPR to beat both Villa at home and Wigan away but they ended up drawing both games as well as Harry's first match in charge at Sunderland. Despite gaining nearly as many points from 3 games as Mark Hughes managed from the first 13, Rangers are still rooted to the bottom of the table on a measly 7 points. That leaves them 2 points behind second from bottom Reading and 8 points adrift of safety. What's more, QPR are still looking for their first Premier League win of the season with the halfway point fast approaching. They host a Fulham side not wanting to be QPR's first scalp in what should be a feisty West London derby. The Cottagers stopped the rot of 7 games without a win by overcoming Newcastle on Monday night and the return of Brede Hangeland to the centre of defence no doubt contributed. Kacaniklic was also back in the side although Bryan Ruiz is expected to be out for another 4 weeks after suffering a setback. Fulham have only won once on the road this season and coupled with QPR's recent form, a draw has to be the value bet.|
|Stoke v Everton|
|Everton's resilience was once again there for all to see last weekend as they came from a goal down to beat Spurs at Goodison in injury time. That moved them above the lilywhites on goal difference as they seek to nail down that Champions League spot. It also stretched their incredible run to just 1 defeat in the last 11 top flight matches. Jelavic got back on the scoring trail with his first goal in 5 matches, anything to take the pressure off top scorer Fellaini. The Toffees travel to the Britannia Stadium where scoring might be harder than usual. The Potters have only conceded twice on home soil this season and are yet to be beaten; in fact they've won 4 of their last 5 home matches. Ryan Shotton is suspended for this one after being rather harshly sent off in the goalless draw at Villa Park. With so much height in the Stoke side, Fellaini won't find it easy in the air and will probably find himself more employed at the the other end for set-pieces than usual. Goals will be at a premium but Everton have scored and conceded in every match since mid-September. That steers me to a score draw rather than a goalless one.|
|Sun 13:30||Tottenham v Swansea|
|Swansea travel to Spurs anxious to claim their second north London scalp in as many weeks. The Swans had been on a decent 6-game unbeaten run but then Norwich turned up with other ideas. The Canaries looked out of sight by half-time and despite a brave fightback by the home side, it always looked like being an away win from then on. Despite losing the match, Michu's brace leaves him as the out-and-out Premier League leading goalscorer on a massive 12 goals. On the road, Swansea have taken 7 points from the last 9 available and will pose problems for a Spurs side struggling to keep the back door shut during the closing stages of matches. Apparently if all Premier League games had ended after 80 minutes this season, Spurs would be top and if further proof were required just look at last weekend's match at Everton; a goal up with injury time just seconds away only to lose 2-1. That aside, Spurs won their previous 3 matches and have won 4 of the last 6 at White Hart Lane. Villas-Boas could start again with both Adebayor and Defoe up front although Bale is rumoured to be fit. Scott Parker's return can't be too far away either after getting some reserve team action. Anything's possible but Spurs should be at full strength and their pace could be telling.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Sun 16:00||West Brom v West Ham|
|A run of 3 defeats and the West Brom purple patch is over. To be fair, it's not the away defeats at Swansea and Arsenal that've surprised but more the home defeat to Stoke. The Baggies are a side that rely heavily on home form and any away points they pick up along the way are a bonus. They were unfortunate to go behind to a Cazorla dive at the Emirates, a penalty decision which changed the game in Arsenal's favour. Ridgewell was forced off after 6 minutes of that match so will likely be out for this one. Clarke's men have only failed to pick up maximum points at the Hawthorns on 2 occasions, a sequence which includes victories over Liverpool, Everton and Chelsea. They take on a West Ham side that lost at home to Liverpool last weekend after being 2-1 up with 15 minutes to go. It was a disappointing result for the Hammers especially as the Reds were without top scorer Suarez. Their away form has been mixed but they've suffered 4 defeats from 7 on the road, 3 of which have come in the last 4 away games. Losing Diame to a hamstring injury in the Liverpool defeat could be a huge blow as the industrious midfielder does so much good work. Allardyce expects him to be out for around 12 weeks whilst Andy Carroll is also likely to miss at least another month. On balance this looks like being a good opportunity for West Brom to rediscover that winning feeling.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Mon 20:00||Reading v Arsenal|
|Arsenal suffered a Capital One Cup exit this week at League 2 Bradford City as they went out on penalties. This was Arsenal's best hope of a trophy and Wenger must've thought likewise as he fielded a strong side but they weren't up to the job and even needed a late Vermaelen equaliser to take the tie to extra time. Wenger was obviously disappointed but refused to criticise his team, a stark contrast to the volume that came from the away dressing room at half-time. On the Premier League front, some blatant diving helped them to a 2-0 win over West Brom but the Gunners haven't won on the road in 4 matches. Less than 2 months ago, they played at the Madjeski in the 4th round of the Capital One Cup, a scoreline that showed 4-4 after 90 minutes but finished 7-5 to Arsenal after extra time. It's highly unlikely we'll see as many goals but Reading know how to score on their own patch. They knocked 3 past United despite losing in their last home fixture but were unbeaten in the preceding four including their first and only Premier League win this season (over Everton). Recently they've suffered 5 straight defeats but the fixture list hasn't been kind to them with 2 away fixtures either side of the United match. Confidence amongst the Royals could be low after their recent run and on paper Arsenal should win but McDermott will rally the troops and the draw's a real possibility.|