Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:
Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.
Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.
Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.
Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 22nd to Sun 23rd December 2012.
|Sat 12:45||Wigan v Arsenal|
|Much has been made of the supposed crisis at the Emirates but the reality is that Arsenal lie 5th in the table, just 2 points behind 3rd-placed Chelsea and 4th-placed Spurs. Admittedly, they'd have been disappointed to go out of the Capital One Cup at Bradford after fielding a strong side but they bounced back with a goal fest at the Madjeski. They were in control for most of the game although a dodgy 5-minute spell saw them concede twice. That makes it a run of 3 top-flight games on the road undefeated for the Gunners and Walcott may again start in his favoured striker's role after netting Arsenal's fifth at Reading; a factor that will prove crucial if Wenger finally gets him to sign on the dotted line. They travel to the DW Stadium where Wigan once again go into a Christmas campaign in the bottom three. However, only goal difference lies between them and safety with a number of teams above them teetering on the verge. The Latics have had mixed fortunes at home but have only won twice, the most recent match ended in a draw against then bottom side QPR. They've a number of injury concerns, especially defensively, with Watson and Piscu both out whilst Caldwell, McCarthy and Ramis are all doubtful. If Arsenal pick up where they left off at the Madjeski, there should only be one winner.|
|Away Win 1-3|
|Sat 15:00||Man City v Reading|
|City remain 6 points behind league leaders United after their 3-1 victory at St James Park last weekend. It was a fairly comprehensive win and exactly the right response after losing the recent Manchester derby at Eastlands. That defeat was City's first domestic loss of the season and with their European challenge now over, their sole concentration will be on retaining the Premier League title. Nasri and Kolarov are both doubts after sustaining injuries at Newcastle and will join the likes of Kompany, Milner, Richards and Rodwell in the treatment room. They host a Reading side now bottom of the pile after they lost at home to Arsenal and QPR won their first game of the season. Reading themselves have won only a single Premier League fixture this campaign whilst their away record makes fairly grim reading. The Royals have salvaged just 2 points from 9 games on the road making it the worst in the top flight. That plus the fact that they're on a run of 6 straight defeats makes this a 'dead cert' on anyone's accumulator. Comfortable win for City!|
|Home Win 3-0|
|Newcastle v QPR|
|Newcastle's miserable run of 1 win and 6 defeats from their last 7 Premier League matches has seen them slump to 15th in the table and just 2 points above the drop zone. It should be noted that their solitary win in that barren sequence came against 10-man Wigan after Figueroa was harshly sent off as early as the 12th minute. The only player matching the level of last season is Demba Ba who's managed 11 top flight goals this season but he could be gone in January if the rumours are true. The player they're really missing is Cabaye in the middle of the park whilst another of their creative midfielders, Ben Arfa, is expected to be out until the New Year with a hamstring injury. They host a QPR side who managed to get off the bottom of the table just before Christmas thanks to a home win over neighbours Fulham, their first maximum points of the season. They're now only 5 points shy of safety but Redknapp's still not lost a game since taking the job. Draws away at Sunderland and Wigan plus another at home to Villa have steadied the ship with their recent win giving Rangers renewed hope of survival. A successive win, especially away from home, is probably too much to ask of QPR at the moment but they're probably worthy of a draw.|
|Southampton v Sunderland|
|Only a point separates these 2 sides just above the relegation places underlining just how important a win would be for both clubs. Sunderland have managed only a single win from their last 6 matches and that came against Reading who are awful away from home. Prior to that they managed to win handsomely at Craven Cottage but the dismissal of Hangeland after 30 minutes proved the turning point of the game and the result might've been very different had Fulham kept their full quota of players on the pitch. O'Neill has a few concerns with Fletcher and Rose but in all honesty they can be expected to start the game. Southampton have had a 2-week break so should be raring to go. Ramirez should start after starting on the bench against Reading due to jetlagged fatigue although Lallana could miss out with a knee injury sustained in that game. The Saints' recent run has been impressive with just 1 defeat in their last 6. They were beaten by a solitary goal at Liverpool but they've tightened up defensively and conceded only 4 goals in those last 6 matches. The fact that they're on a decent run and had a timely rest before such a crucial part of the season should give Southampton the edge.|
|Home Win 2-1|
|Tottenham v Stoke|
|Tottenham are back in that all-important last remaining Champions League spot and on level points with 3rd-placed Chelsea after their win over Swansea. It was Spurs' fifth win in six in all competitions, 4 of them coming at White Hart Lane. They had to work hard for their win over the Swans but their were plenty of positives to take from the game, namely a clean sheet and no goal conceded in the last 10 minutes. Spurs lead the way on that front with a massive 9 conceded in the last 10 minutes plus injury time yet none scored. Expect Villas-Boas to again go with 2 up top as Adebayor's height will be a bonus on defensive set-pieces, though both Bale and Parker could be in the frame especially with the hectic festive fixtures ahead. They host a Stoke side that haven't lost in 7 although they've won just the once on the road. As good as their defensive record is at the Britannia, away from home it's not so bad either with just over 1 goal conceded per game. However, they don't score too many but set-pieces will obviously be a threat. The Potters will want at least a draw although the patience Spurs played with against Swansea could serve them well here. Tottenham to win the match but it'll be tight!|
|Home Win 2-1|
|West Brom v Norwich|
|Norwich are up to 8th after their win at the Liberty last weekend but perhaps we shouldn't be too surprised given the Canaries' 10-match unbeaten run in the Premier League. They were surprisingly knocked out of the Carling Cup by Villa at Carrow Road but they bounced back with a 2-1 win over Wigan last weekend. That game saw striker Grant Holt leave the field with a suspected hamstring problem and the likelihood is that he joins Ruddy and Surman on the injury list. The win at Swansea was Norwich's first away victory of the season after drawing the 4 previous away fixtures. They travel to the Hawthorns where West Brom ended their run of 3 defeats by drawing with West Ham last Sunday. The Baggies are still 7th and there's only a couple of points difference between the 2 sides. That draw didn't completely allay any fears that the West Brom bubble has burst but it at least stops the rot. Clarke will be without Mulumbu who's suspended for 1 match after picking up a 5th yellow card whilst injuries will probably keep out Ridgewell and Yacob. If Norwich can convert their chances they could take the 3 points but the draw looks a better bet.|
|West Ham v Everton|
|West Ham's performances have been very mixed which goes some way to explaining their mid-table position. They ended a run of 2 defeats with a surprise win over Chelsea at Upton Park but they failed to build on that result and lost at home to a Liverpool side without Suarez after leading 2-1. The draw at the Hawthorns was fairly uninspiring but at least the Hammers took something from the game. Carlton Cole will lead the line in Carroll's absence whilst Diame and McCartney could miss out with respective hamstring and knee injuries. Their opponents, Everton, are without top scorer Fellaini after he was retrospectively handed a 3-match ban for violent conduct in the draw at Stoke. The Toffees aren't finding goals easy to come by so someone will have to step up ot the plate in Fellaini's absence. Everton may be up to 6th in the table and have only lost 1 of their last 14 Premier League matches but they've drawn 4 of the last 5 and taken a single point on 9 occasions this season. The other surprising statistic is that in the Toffees' last 12 top flight games both sides have scored but there's never been more than 4 goals. The value bet has to be a score draw.|
|Sat 17:30||Liverpool v Fulham|
|These two are locked together in mid-table although Liverpool currently have a 2-point advantage. Last weekend Fulham suffered the embarassment of being the first side to lose to QPR this season. It was a typical Cottagers away performance in that they failed to produce any sustained threat whilst their midfield was often caught in possession and slow to react. Fulham haven't won on the road since mid-September when they ran out 2-1 winners at Wigan and have lost 2 of their last 3 away matches. Liverpool have also had their own problems but looked to have turned the corner with the win over Southampton. Subsequent victories in Udinese and at Upton Park seemed to back up that theory but the home defeat to Villa, one in which they were comfortably beaten, came as something of a shock. Suarez was back in the attack after a 1-match suspension but it's no secret that Rodgers has his eye on signing Sturridge from Chelsea in a couple of weeks time. The Reds need options as well as healthy competition amongst their bigger names. I couldn't see Villa winning at Anfield last weekend and for what it's worth, it'd be another big upset were Fulham to repeat that feat.|
|Home Win 1-0|
|Sun 13:30||Swansea v Man Utd|
|United travel to Swansea on the back of a 5-match Premier League winning sequence. Their last domestic defeat was just over a month ago at Norwich and before that on the road they were last beaten at Everton on the opening day. Currently they've a 6-point advantage over neighbours City, and with City entertaining bottom side Reading, United will almost certainly have to win if they're to maintain that 6-point gap. Vidic returned from injury in the win over Sunderland coming on for the last 22 minutes and he could start, though whether it's in place of or alongside Ferdinand remains to be seen. Carrick is the latest injury doubt after being subbed off in the same game with a hamstring problem. The Swans gave a brave account of themselves last weekend at White Hart Lane but it was a second defeat in a row for Laudrup's side after going 6 matches unbeaten. At the Liberty, Swansea are more likely to settle into their posession passing game but Norwich showed the way to beat them in so far as making sure you convert any chances at goal. The only change likely is to see Angel Rangel returning at full-back for Tiendalli after serving a 1-match suspension. Though you could make a case for all 3 outcomes and Swansea won't fail to give their all, United have too much quality and the likelihood is an away victory.|
|Away Win 1-2|
|Sun 16:00||Chelsea v Aston Villa|
|Chelsea's sojourn to the Far East saw them come back empty-handed after losing 1-0 to Corinthians in the Club World Cup final. Missed opportunities by Fernando Torres once again has the jury out on whether he can score when it matters but the bottom line is that the Spanish striker now has 6 goals in his last 5 starts in all competitions. This week the thinking was that Leeds might have a chance at home after all Chelsea's travelling but aside from a breakaway goal, the Blues were very much in charge running out 5-1 winners. David Luiz was once again responsible for what turned out to be the Leeds consolation after losing the ball upfield; Benitez may have some choice words for the centre-half. Chelsea have drawn their last 3 Premier League home fixtures and will be without Mikel, Terry, Sturridge and possibly Bertrand. They host a Villa side that moved up the table to 14th after surprisingly winning at Anfield last weekend. It was Villa's second shock win on the bounce after knocking Norwich out of the Capital One Cup at Carrow Road by 4 goals to 1. Whether Villa can make it a hat-trick of victories remains to be seen but they did win 3-1 at Stamford Bridge last season. Expect Lambert to start with the same line-up that beat Liverpool making it a very young side looking for another win over Chelsea. However, Villa have yet to convince me and this should be a win for the home side.|
|Home Win 2-1|