Archived Premier League Tips (29th December 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (29th December 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 29th to Sun 30th December 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (29th to 30th Dec 2012)

Sat 12:45 Sunderland v Tottenham
  Tottenham are up to fourth after putting 4 past Villa without reply at Villa Park this week. They completely dominated the first half and punished their opponents in the second when the Villans ventured forward. That allowed AVB to rest the likes of Bale and Dembele towards the end of the game although the Belgian midfielder was limping when substituted. Therefore expect changes with Parker now fit enough to start and some possible rotation at the back though the one thing that won't be missing is pace. Spurs have taken 16 of the last 21 points available and are looking more of a threat away from home where their pace can be used on the counter. Sunderland also have a couple of wingers in Johnson and McClean that've improved as the season has progressed. Johnson netted Sunderland's surprise winner against City this week, a result that lifted them up to 13th and gives them a massive 7 points breathing space between themselves and the bottom three. It was the Mackems' first back-to-back wins of the season after victory at St Marys last weekend. O'Shea missed the win over City through illness and O'Neill will have to decide whether Kilgallon keeps his place if O'Shea is passed fit. One player the manager will be without is Danny Rose who's ineligible to play against his parent club, a big miss as the full back has done well at the Stadium of Light. On balance you'd have to say Spurs as they look to build on what they'll hope is a 4th successive clean sheet.
Away Win 0-1
Sat 15:00 Aston Villa v Wigan
  Villa suffered another beating this week at home to Spurs taking their goals conceded tally to 12 in their last 2 fixtures. It's been a miserable festive season for Paul Lambert's side and it doesn't look like getting any better. They set out to contain Spurs in the first half but were so under pressure that Lambert decided to change things when centre-half Baker was forced off just before half-time with a hamstring injury. On came Ireland and Albrighton was introduced after the break which gave Villa some impetus but 2 quick goals for Spurs ensured there was only going to be one winner. Lambert has to go for the more adventurous approach against Wigan but it will leave them vulnerable at the back whilst they've little option other than Benteke up front who's increasingly being caught offside. The Latics have taken just a single point from the last 18 available and are entrenched in the relegation zone but a win would see them move out of it and above their opponents on goal difference. However, Wigan have suffered 7 defeats on the road this season winning just twice, the last of which was a single goal victory at White Hart Lane. If Martinez's side can cut out the defensive mistakes, they've shown plenty of times this season that they possess the quality but haven't necessarily got the result. Villa's confidence must be rock bottom and they're there for the taking.
Away Win 1-2
  Fulham v Swansea
  Dimitar Berbatov's first goal after going 7 matches without scoring should've secured the 3 points for Fulham but late pressure from Southampton finally told as they snatched a point with a late penalty. However, it was an improvement after the 4-goal hammering at Anfield last weekend and the return of midfielder Sidwell added a much-needed injection of grit and determination. Another player that came back into the fray was Bryan Ruiz who came on at half-time and gives Martin Jol some extra options up front. Fulham's recent record isn't good though with just a single win in their last 11 matches; at least at home they've only been beaten 3 times. They host a Swansea side expected to win at Reading but they could only play out a goalless draw. However, the Swans have stopped the rot of 2 defeats with a couple of draws, the other one a creditable point against United. Laudrup will be worried about the extent of top scorer Michu's ankle injury but the prognosis isn't too bad and he'll be assessed prior to the match. Other players still looking doubtful on the injury front are Rangel and Hernandez who didn't even make the bench for the Reading game. Very difficult to pick a winner on current form so settling for the draw.
Draw 1-1
  Man Utd v West Brom
  Once again this season United came from behind to beat Newcastle at Old Trafford and lift themselves 7 points clear at the top of the table after City succumbed to defeat at the Stadium of Light. Three times the Magpies took the lead but United came back every time with Hernandez netting the winner as late as the 90th minute. Vidic was missing from the starting line-up but he could well return against West Brom although it looks like there'll be no place for Rooney who's damaged knee ligaments in training. Welbeck could provide cover on the bench if he recovers from illness. They host a West Brom side who've bounced back from a run of 3 defeats by taking 7 points from the last possible 9. However, the Baggies were fortunate to taste victory at Loftus Road after a goal was wrongly allowed to stand and Rangers were denied a late penalty appeal for handball. Regardless of that West Brom are 6th, level on points with 4th-placed Spurs, and challenging for Europe at the very least. The win over QPR didn't come without it's problems and Steve Clarke faces going to Old Trafford without Popov who suffered a hamstring injury, and possibly Mulumbu and Olsson who were both limping at the end. It appears that United's strategy this season relies heavily on outscoring opponents and this one looks like being no different!
Home Win 2-1
  Norwich v Man City
  City's first away defeat of the season leaves them trailing league leaders United by 7 points at the halfway stage. It was only 3 weeks ago that City were undefeated in the Premier League but losing at their fiercest rivals plus again at Sunderland this week leaves them with a mountain to climb. It also gives the clubs below them like Chelsea, Spurs, Everton and Arsenal that extra incentive to push on. Whilst City pressured hard early on, the criticism is that it all comes through the middle and is easier to defend against. With Nasri injured, it was surprising not to see Sinclair allowed to try something different from the bench. Expect much of the same at Carrow Road where Norwich have already proven themselves adept against the bigger sides by beating Arsenal, United and Stoke. They narrowly lost out to Chelsea this week but they were far from outclassed and only Juan Mata rescued what otherwise would've been a goalless draw. Grant Holt was deemed fit to start that match so the Canaries go into this one with a strong line-up and only Ruddy, Surman and Whittaker out. Two narrow defeats might've burst Norwich's 10-match unbeaten bubble but they'll be up for it and will sense no better time to take on City. Sticking our necks out for another shock City defeat.
Home Win 1-0
  Reading v West Ham
  A goalless draw at home to Swansea put an end to a run of 7 successive defeats as Reading moved back above QPR albeit on goal difference. The Swans definitely had the better of the first half but failed to convert whilst Reading staged a late rally towards the end of the game. Le Fondre nearly got away with fisting one into the net but the goal was disallowed. The Royals' tally of 10 points has largely come at home after securing a win (their only one of the season) and 5 draws from 9 games played. They've only lost 3 Premier League home matches but opponents West Ham didn't play Boxing Day and have had the luxury of one less game over this busy period. The Hammers' season has been fairly patchy with 3 defeats in their last 5 away matches. True, they've had to go to places like Spurs and United but they managed to win at Newcastle and drew at West Brom. However, they've scored just 5 times on the road, the lowest goals tally of any top-flight away side this season. Carlton Cole won his appeal against his recent red card so continues up front in the absence of the injured Carroll and Vaz Te. A case could be made for any outcome between these two but we're sticking with the draw.
Draw 1-1
  Stoke v Southampton
  Stoke's great home form continued with a convincing win over Liverpool lifting them up to 8th in the table. The Potters have conceded just 4 goals at the Britannia this season and are on a run of 9 Premier League matches undefeated both home and away. However, yellow cards dished out to defenders Shawcross and Cameron mean both are suspended for this match after reaching 5 yellows for the campaign so far. That could see Shotton start at the back with Upson also possibly coming in. They host a Southampton side still picking up points, the most recent coming in a draw at Craven Cottage. Again the Saints conceded just a single goal, a remarkable turnaround considering the amount of goals they let in earlier on in the season. They remain just above the drop zone, albeit only a point better off, with next-placed Villa now having just a 2-point advantage. Nigel Adkins is unlikely to have captain Adam Lallana back before the new year although the team are relatively injury-free at the moment. Difficult to see Southampton getting anything at the Britannia but if they can keep Stoke down to one then they'll have done better than some of their Premier League counterparts.
Home Win 1-0
Sat 17:30 Arsenal v Newcastle
  Arsenal slipped down to 7th in the table after not playing on Boxing Day owing to tube strikes in central London. They'd have probably preferred to play but a rest during such a hectic part of the season is always welcome. The Gunners have won their last 3 Premier League matches after losing at home to Swansea although the performances haven't always been the most convincing. The low point was obviously exiting the Capital One Cup on penalties at Bradford but they've picked themselves up and next up are Newcastle at the Emirates. The Magpies faced disappointment after taking the game to United at Old Trafford on Boxing Day. They had the lead 3 times but a late winner from Javier Hernandez saw them leave with nothing. Newcastle have now suffered 7 defeats in the their last 9 Premier League matches leaving them just 3 places and 5 points above the drop zone. The other 2 results in that sequence have been home victories over QPR and Wigan but QPR looked like getting a point until a great strike from Ameobi whilst Figueroa's early sending off gifted them the points against Wigan. Their record on the road isn't great either with no win yet to their name. The usual suspects are still injured but it's emerged that both Gutierrez and Anita will miss this match with knee and ankle injuries respectively plus Williamson is suspended. This has to go down as a Gunners win but expect Newcastle to show some pluck.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 13:30 Everton v Chelsea
  Just a couple of points and places separates these 2 sides in the top five although Chelsea do have a game in hand. Since their defeat at Upton Park at the beginning of the month the Blues have won 6 of 7 games in all competitions, the exception being their single goal defeat in the FIFA World Club Cup final. A powerhouse performance saw them net 8 without reply against Villa at Stamford Bridge last weekend and they followed that up with a narrow win at Carrow Road. You under-estimate Norwich at your peril but once again a moment of magic from Juan Mata was enough to seal the 3 points. Their opponents, Everton, continue to do enough to beat teams and remain undefeated at Goodison having won 5 and drawn 4 of their 9 home fixtures. They're unbeaten in 7 top-flight matches and are guaranteed to give 100%. Their good start to the season and continued progress has afforded them the luxury of contemplating European football and the visit of Chelsea will provide a stern test. Fellaini serves the last match of his suspension though Darren Gibson will be available after winning his appeal. Very difficult to pick between these two and the draw beckons.
Draw 1-1
Sun 16:00 QPR v Liverpool
  QPR certainly didn't get the rub of the green, no pun intended, in the Boxing Day defeat to West Brom at Loftus Road. A second goal from the Baggies shouldn't have been allowed to stand after a foul on Rob Green whilst a penalty appeal at the other end went unheeded. It was Rangers' second successive defeat since Redknapp took over and sent them back to the foot of the table albeit on goal difference. QPR have improved under their new manager but have still won just a single game all season, the home victory over Fulham a couple of weeks ago. They host a Liverpool side enjoying mixed fortunes this season. The Reds bounced back from defeat at home to Villa with an emphatic win over Fulham but failed to maintain any momentum at the Britannia as they crashed to a 3-1 defeat. Inconsistency has been the story of Liverpool's season and the reason why they finish the year in mid-table. Apparently there's a doubt over Suarez's fitness leading to speculation as to who will lead the line if he is indeed absent. Ryan Nelsen missed the West Brom defeat through illness and he's likely to return in place of Ferdinand. Liverpool will get more freedom to play than they did against Stoke whilst confidence will be low at Loftus Road after the recent 2 defeats. Redknapp's side need to show a reaction though the suspicion is that this will be Liverpool's day.
Away Win 1-2

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