Archived Premier League Tips (19th January 2013)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (19th January 2013)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 19th to Mon 21st January 2013.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (19th to 21st Jan 2013)

Sat 15:00 Liverpool v Norwich
  It was less than a month ago that these 2 sides were level on points in mid-table but since then Liverpool have kicked on whilst opponents Norwich have slipped further down after taking just 1 point from their last 5 matches. Norwich have missed the injured Grant Holt but he came off the bench for the remaining 22 minutes in the goalless draw with Newcastle last weekend. Hughton is reluctant to rush Holt back but may be forced to without the injured Steve Morison to fall back on. The Canaries have lost their last 2 top flight away matches (at West Ham and West Brom) but as often seems to be the case, they only lost by the odd goal. Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5 matches, not surprisingly losing at Stoke and Old Trafford, and they've lost just 1 of the last 5 at Anfield, that shock defeat to Villa. Rodgers has strengthened his attacking line-up by taking Sturridge from Chelsea and the young English striker came on to partner Suarez in the second half at Old Trafford, picking up a consolation goal. That's in addition to his strike at Mansfield in the FA Cup and the pairing are likely to start together on home soil. Enrique is expected to miss a couple more weeks with a hamstring problem whilst Sahin's loan deal has been cut short. Expect this to be a tight game but Liverpool now have more options and should edge it.
Home Win 2-1
  Man City v Fulham
  If City want to retain their Premier League title then the pressure is on them to close the 7-point gap on league leaders United. Since the single-goal defeat at the Stadium of Light they've done just that by winning all 3 matches. However, United are showing no signs of relinquishing their advantage. City's most recent victory (at the Emirates) was fairly straight forward after Koscielny was sent off after just 10 minutes but there was a sting in the tail with Kompany dismissed from the field after slide-tackling Wilshere. City have since successfully appealed that red card leaving Kompany available to play. They're already missing Yaya and Kolo Toure to the African Cup of Nations but Aguero could play some part if he recovers from a hamstring injury. They host a Fulham side in danger of slipping closer to the relegation places. The Cottagers have picked up recently with a win at the Hawthorns and a draw at home to Wigan but overall their performances have been below standard. Statistically, they're generally poor on the road although they've only lost 5 of 11 away fixtures so far this season. Ruiz missed the FA Cup extra-time victory at Blackpool and is a doubt along with Sidwell and Senderos. As a United old boy, Berbatov will be keen to do well at Eastlands but it's difficult to see beyond a home victory.
Home Win 3-0
  Newcastle v Reading
  Newcastle are sliding ever closer to the drop zone and are now only 2 points clear of the relegation places. With Reading currently occupying one of those drop slots but picking up points, this has become a 'must win' game for both sides. The Royals are yet to pick up a Premier League away win this season and have notched just 2 points from 11 away fixtures. They've lost their last 6 on the road and must be hoping that resurgent home form will be enough to keep them up. Brian McDermott has strengthened during the transfer window with signings Stephen Kelly, Daniel Carrico and Hope Akpan but Jason Roberts remains sidelined with a hip injury. Despite recent disappointment in the league and an FA Cup exit at Brighton, Newcastle picked up a point at Norwich; only their 4th point in 7 matches. Top scorer Ba has departed for pastures new at Stamford Bridge and is banging them in whilst Coloccini wishes to return to Argentina. The phrase 'sinking ship' comes to mind especially considering Remy chose QPR over the Magpies. However, Pardew has managed to bring in defender Debuchy and Cabaye is fit again. Home advantage is going to be very important for both clubs this season and that's why we're picking Newcastle to edge it.
Home Win 1-0
  Swansea v Stoke
  Only a point separates these 2 sides in mid-table with Swansea having the advantage. The Swans are undefeated in the last 5 Premier League matches and have enjoyed a successful run in the Capital One Cup. Currently they're 2-0 up from the 1st leg at Stamford Bridge with the 2nd leg to be played next week. The FA Cup wasn't as kind to them with Arsenal notching a late winner to go through in the replay at the Emirates. The Swans have only been beaten once (by Norwich) in the last 8 Premier League matches at the Liberty including draws against United and Chelsea. Laudrup admits that transfer speculation surrounding players is inevitable but expect him to field a strong line-up against Stoke. The Potters recovered from successive Premier League defeats at Eastlands and at home to Chelsea by putting Palace to bed in the FA Cup replay at the Britannia but extra time was needed. It was a happy ending for Jon Walters who scored an extra-time brace making up for the pair of own goals scored for the Blues last weekend. On the road Stoke have won just the once but as results suggest are more than capable of grabbing a draw. This looks like being either Swansea or the draw and am tempted towards a home win.
Home Win 1-0
  West Ham v QPR
  Bottom side QPR are giving themselves a fighting chance of survival after taking 4 points from their last 2 games; a win at Chelsea plus a draw at home to Tottenham. They also won the FA Cup replay at the Hawthorns although it has to be said that they were up against a weakened West Brom side. Rangers are now just 5 points shy of safety with Redknapp keen to bring in reinforcements during the transfer window. Striker Loic Remy has already arrived and at the time of writing the QPR boss is trying to convince midfielder Yann M'Vila to make the move from Rennes. The one thing you have to say for Rangers is that they look very solid of late and a result at West Ham depends on how ambitious they want to be. The Hammers are in mid-table but have only won 1 of their last 6 Premier League matches and were knocked out of the FA Cup in the replay at Old Trafford after coming so close to winning the game against United at Upton Park. They've had mixed results at home in the last month or two; namely wins over Norwich and Chelsea but defeats to Liverpool and Everton. Allardyce should have Noble back but Collins will miss out with a hamstring injury. It's very difficult to rate where QPR are at the moment but expect the Hammers to pick themselves up for this home game.
Home Win 1-0
  Wigan v Sunderland
  Sunderland's comfortable win at home to West Ham took them 6 points clear of Wigan and the relegation places but the Mackems aren't great on the road having won just 2 of 11 away fixtures. In the FA Cup they could only draw at the Reebok and this week the Trotters knocked them out in the replay at the Stadium of Light despite O'Neill naming a fairly strong line-up. Cuellar and Rose are out injured, Fletcher and O'Shea are doubtful but Lee Cattermole did manage 14 minutes from the bench in his comeback against Bolton. O'Neill is all too aware that his side need to get some consistency from game to game so what better place to go than the DW where predictablity goes out the window. The Latics are hovering just above the relegation places on goal difference and have won just 2 of 11 home fixtures this season. However, they've recently picked up 4 points on the road with an emphatic win at Villa Park and a draw at Craven Cottage. Not surprisingly they were soundly beaten at home by United but are still in the FA Cup after a replay win with a weakened side at Bournemouth. Martinez has a few concerns with Ramis added to the injury list after sustaining a suspected cruciate ligament injury and top Premier League scorer Kone away on African Cup of Nations duty. Sticking our neck out but if Wigan can get their game together, they should have enough to take maximum points.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 17:30 West Brom v Aston Villa
  West Brom haven't won a match since Boxing Day when they ran out 2-1 winners at Loftus Road. QPR have since had their revenge with a single goal win in the FA Cup replay at the Hawthorns and the Baggies have suffered other surprise defeats at Reading and at home to Fulham. Fortunately they've only dropped to 7th after that run of 3 successive Premier League losses. Steve Clarke has suffered injuries to key players during that disappointing sequence but hopes to bring back the likes of Olsson, Reid, Long, Odemwingie and Brunt for the derby clash with Villa. The Villans themselves are on a terrible run of just 1 point from the last 15 available courtesy of a 2-2 draw at Swansea. This weekend they found themselves in the drop zone after they were beaten at home by Southampton and relegation rivals Wigan managed a draw at Fulham. They're also trailing in the Capital One Cup after losing the first leg 3-1 at Valley Parade with the 2nd leg to come at home next week. Though Villa aren't conceding as many goals as they did over the Christmas period, they haven't kept a clean sheet since the goalless draw with Stoke in early December. With that in mind, Lambert will be pleased to see Dunne return to training but Albrighton, Bent, Herd and El Ahmadi are all likely to be unavailable. Villa are expecting their luck to turn but the same can be said of the home side; a win for the Baggies.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 13:30 Chelsea v Arsenal
  Chelsea's grip on 3rd place is looking tenuous after dodgy home form once again cost them this week when Southampton rescued a point after coming from 2 goals behind. The Blues have actually only won 1 of their last 7 Premier League matches at Stamford Bridge and that's not including the 2-goal defeat to Swansea in the 1st leg of the Capital One Cup. The biggest surprise was the single-goal defeat to bottom side QPR just after the turn of the year. Missed opportunities are costing them points; a surprise given the strength in depth of their squad, especially considering only Mikel and Moses are out injured. They host an Arsenal side also struggling for a decent run of form. The Gunners were comfortably beaten at home by City last weekend after Koscielny saw red early and could only draw at Southampton in their previous away fixture. However, Arsenal are undefeated in 5 Premier League matches on the road even though the victories came away at Reading and Wigan. Koscielny served his suspension in the 1-0 FA Cup replay win over Swansea but Mertesacker should be expected to keep his place in the starting line-up. Arteta remains their biggest injury concern with a calf problem whilst Gervinho is away at the African Cup of Nations. A tight game but it's difficult to see Arsenal losing it, not sure they have enough to win it though.
Draw 1-1
Sun 16:00 Tottenham v Man Utd
  This top four clash sees arguably the two most in-form sides going head-to-head at White Hart Lane. United will be looking for revenge after Spurs beat them at Old Trafford, the only side to take points off them at home this season. Pace on the counter undid United that day but I don't think Ferguson will give them the same sort of freedom this time around otherwise it'll become a game of outscoring each other. United are on an impressive run of 9 wins and a draw from their last 10 Premier League matches and still have that never-say-die spirit as they've shown so often this season. Tottenham go into this game on the back of a disappointing draw at Loftus Road but they're on a run of 6 games unbeaten in the top flight. Sandro has undergone surgery on a knee injury sustained in that game so Scott Parker fills in whilst Clint Dempsey is the likely replacement for African-bound Adebayor. Gallas is also doubtful with a calf problem leaving Dawson as the likely centre-half partner for Vertonghen. Teams sit back a bit more at White Hart Lane restricting the options for Bale and Lennon but with so much quality on both sides there should be goals. Picking a winner is tough and the game could go either way leaving the draw as the value bet.
Draw 1-1
Mon 20:00 Southampton v Everton
  Southampton picked up an invaluable point at Stamford Bridge after coming back from 2 goals down. It was their 5th successive Premier League match where they've taken something from the game and sees them move up to 15th, 3 points clear of the drop zone. Whilst 1 or 2 bad weeks could see them right back in it, it's the consistency since Christmas that could see them survive if they maintain it. Injuries to key players Fonte and Lallana haven't helped but Adkins is trying to bring in Norwegian defender Forren. They host an Everton side having a fantastic season. The Toffees are currently 5th in the table and have tasted defeat just the once in their last 10 top-flight matches when they were beaten 2-1 at home by Chelsea. Their propensity to draw games, 10 of the 22 played, has undoubtedly cost them points but they don't give up as evidenced by their injury-time comeback at home to Spurs. David Moyes has very few injury concerns and will be able to field his strongest eleven. Everton are strong but Southampton have improved and the Saints might just be worth a point.
Draw 1-1

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