Archived Premier League Tips (16th March 2013)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (16th March 2013)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 16th to Sun 17th March 2013.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (16th to 17th Mar 2013)

Sat 12:45 Everton v Man City
  Both of these clubs featured in last weekend's FA Cup quarter-finals but the outcomes couldn't have been more different. Everton were humbled at home 3-0 by an unpredicatble Wigan side whilst City ran out comfortable 5-0 winners against Barnsley at Eastlands. Realistically the FA Cup represents City's only chance of silverware but first they'll have to get past the winners of the Chelsea/United replay. Whilst the play on in hope that United will capitulate in the title run-in, the Premier League is out of City's hands whichever way they look at it. However, City bounced back from the disappointing defeat at Southampton by winning all 4 matches sinces, one of which was a single goal away win at Villa Park. Kompany is rumoured to be fit soon although Rodwell is out again, this time with a hamstring injury sustained in the Villa win. Their hosts, Everton, are starting to lose sight of a European place after Liverpool leapfrogged them with a win over Spurs. Their Merseyside rivals might've played a game more but recent results for the Toffees haven't been great. Their most recent Premier League match was a win over Reading but as well as the afore-mentioned Wigan defeat, they also lost recently at Carrow Road and Old Trafford. Both Howard and Jagielka are out with back and ankle injuries respectively leaving Mucha and Heitinga to deputise. Form suggests this is a nickable win for City.
Away Win 0-1
Sat 15:00 Aston Villa v QPR
  This is a massive relegation battle at Villa Park between bottom side QPR and a Villa side 3 points and a place above the drop zone. For the first time this season QPR have managed back-to-back wins with victories at Southampton and at home to Sunderland. They've given themselves a great chance of escaping the drop if only they can keep this winning sequence going. Currently bottom on goal difference, a win could lift them above relegation rivals Reading and Wigan if results go their way and drag Villa closer to the bottom three. On the other hand a win for the home side could see Villa move further up the table and would at least give them some much-needed breathing space. On the road Rangers have had mixed results of late but have been picking up points on a regular basis where as Villa's recent home form is abysmal with 5 defeats in their last 6 top flight matches at Villa Park. However, they won last weekend's hugely important game at Reading and also beat West Ham recently. Other recent results have included narrow defeats at home to City and away at Arsenal. Delph is still suspended but Sylla deputised well enough last weekend whilst Redknapp could possibly field the same side that beat Sunderland. No question that both sides need the points but on balance a draw doesn't look a bad bet, a result that would surely please Rangers fans more.
Draw 1-1
  Southampton v Liverpool
  Liverpool's dramatic win over Spurs after leading initially before going behind lifted them above their Merseyside rivals on goal difference though they've played a game more. It's a result that gives the Reds fresh impetus after a woeful start to their campaign. They've now won their last 4 matches in all competitions scoring an average of over 3 goals per game. Suarez appears to be on a one-man mission to rescue Liverpool's season and is now 2 ahead of RVP at the top of the Premier League scoring charts as well as pushing Bale hard to be named player of the year. Obviously European football next year is an outside chance but they'll be looking to profit should any of the sides immediately above them slip up. They travel to St Mary's where Southampton are sliding closer to relegation danger. Back in mid-February the Saints comfortably beat Man City but they've only taken a point from 3 games since including a crucial home defeat to bottom side QPR. Last weekend they were fortunate to avoid defeat at Carrow Road after keeper Artur Boruc saved an injury-time penalty from Grant Holt. Not quite sure what you're going to get from Southampton at the moment but the way Liverpool are playing, the Reds surely have to be backed to win this one.
Away Win 1-2
  Stoke v West Brom
  Stoke are on a miserable run of just a single victory in their last 10 Premier League matches and that was a narrow 2-1 win at home over lowly Reading. Last weekend they were a goal up at St James's Park with 23 minutes to go only for Newcastle to come from behind and deservedly net an injury-time winner. However, the real kick in the teeth came the weekend before then they suffered a shock defeat at home to West Ham. Most sides hate going to the Britannia but it doesn't seem to be the fortress it once was. Robert Huth serves the last of his 3-match suspension with Wilkinson most likely deputising. They host a West Brom side finally over the string of poor results that began just before the turn of the year. The Baggies leapfrogged Swansea into 8th after their 2-1 win over them last weekend making it 3 wins in the last four. Lukaku has been scoring regularly and it's worth noting that he wasn't eligible for their only defeat in the last month, a narrow 1-0 loss at Stamford Bridge. Key to West Brom's improved performances has been the return from injury of midfielder Yacob and Shane Long's not too far away from full fitness after missing the Swansea win with an ankle problem. Given that Stoke have been below par for some time, it's not inconceivable that the Baggies can get something from this game.
Draw 1-1
  Swansea v Arsenal
  An 8th season without silverware for the Gunners after they crashed out of Europe in Munich despite a gutsy performance in the Allianz Arena. Arsenal defended well eventually winning 2-0 but it wasn't enough to overcome the 3-1 first leg home defeat and they went out on away goals. It was a proud victory especially after having lost at arch-rivals Tottenham in their most recent Premier League fixture. Prior to that defeat Arsenal had taken 13 points from a possible 15 so it's not entirely unrealistic that they can make up the 5-point deficit on 4th-placed Chelsea and qualify for next season's Champions League. They travel to Swansea without Wilshere and Sagna although Podolski could recover in time from an ankle injury. The Swans lie 7 points and 4 places below their opponents but their 40-point tally will undoubtedly be enough to see them safe. They already have the League Cup to their name and it's probably worth emphasising again that that's more trophies then the Gunners have had in the last 8 years. Recent results have tended towards victories at home and defeats on the road with that 5-0 loss at Anfield a particularly poor result. The Jacks are already without centre-half Chico and both Britton and Moore are doubts after sustaining recent injuries. Swansea are playing for pride whilst Arsenal need a result similar to their midweek win if they're to maintain pressure on the top four.
Away Win 1-2
Sat 17:30 Man Utd v Reading
  The last week or so hasn't been the greatest of weeks for United at Old Trafford. First they were dumped out of the Champions League by Real Madrid after seeing Nani controvertially dismissed for a high tackle. Then last weekend they were 2 goals to the good at home to Chelsea in their FA Cup quarter-final before being pegged back by the Blues in a rousing second half in which only a late save from De Gea deprived Chelsea of victory. However, they're 12 points clear at the top of the table and look nailed on to wrest their Premier League title back from neighbours Man City. At Old Trafford, Ferguson's side have won 13 of their 14 top flight fixtures and there only looks to be one outcome against a Reading side that suffered a major setback last weekend. The Royals were beaten at home by relegation rivals Aston Villa making it their 4th defeat on the bounce. Consequently Brian McDermott left his job this week and Reading are on the hunt for a new manager. What compounded the situation was QPR's win over Sunderland with only goals scored keeping the Royals off the bottom of the table. Still no Pogrebnyak or Kebe, not that they'd influence the result too much, and things look like they can only get worse for Reading.
Home Win 3-0
Sun 13:30 Sunderland v Norwich
  Despite the 3 points separating them, Norwich and Sunderland lie 14th and 15th respectively making this an important game for both sides if they're to avoid getting caught up in the relegation battle playing out below them. The Mackems are now on a run of 6 games without a win and their last 3 home results read a draw with Fulham, defeat to Arsenal and a draw with Swansea. Goals have been in short supply but Steven Fletcher was back on target in last weekend's defeat at Loftus Road. Danny Graham is yet to score for the club despite starting their last 3 matches but has been substituted in the last two. Their opponents, Norwich, have fared better in recent weeks despite only winning once, a last gasp victory over Everton at Carrow Road. Crucially though, they've only lost 1 of the last 6 (a 4-goal defeat at Old Trafford) with 4 of those games ending level. Goals have been at a premium for the Canaries also with just 2 scored in the last 5 matches, both in the win over Everton, whilst 3 of the other 4 games have ended goalless. Grant Holt even failed to convert an injury-time penalty against Southampton, the perfect opportunity to snatch all 3 points at the death. The main injury news is that Norwich are likely to be without winger Pilkington who sustained a hamstring injury during that game. With both sides struggling to score and not much success to shout about, another bore draw looks on the cards.
Draw 0-0
Sun 15:00 Tottenham v Fulham
  Spurs' fine run of 12 Premier League games unbeaten came to an end last weekend at Anfield. Ironically they came from behind to lead 2-1 after 53 minutes courtesy of a Vertonghen brace but poor defensive decisions let Liverpool back into the game and a Gerrard penalty sealed their victory. Given that Tottenham were the only top 5 side to play in the Premier League last weekend, they hold on to 3rd place but Chelsea will leapfrog them should they win their game in hand and Arsenal will have fresh incentive to fight for a top four place. Lennon missed the Liverpool defeat with a hamstring problem and is unlikely to make Sunday's match with Fulham. The Cottagers are mid-table but would prefer some more points on the board going into the final quarter of the season. Their away record has improved recently with a win and 2 draws in their last 4 top flight away fixtures; draws at Sunderland and Norwich, and a win at West Brom but they were comfortably beaten at Eastlands whilst United ran out easy winners at home to Fulham in the FA Cup. It seems Martin Jol will be able to field a strong side but I'm not sure they'll be strong enough to take on Spurs at the Lane. That is, as long as the home side don't shoot themselves in the foot with sloppy defensive errors.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 16:00 Chelsea v West Ham
  Chelsea's fightback in the FA Cup at Old Trafford means that they and United face a fixture pile-up in the season's closing stages. The replay has been set for the 1st April (a foolish decision no doubt) meaning that both parties face 2 matches in 3 days. Meanwhile Spurs' defeat at Liverpool gives the Blues renewed hope that they can overcome the 2-point gap with a game in hand and finish 3rd. Chelsea's recent record has been littered with disappointing results but they've won their last 3 Premier League matches at Stamford Bridge including a crucial 2-1 win over top four rivals Arsenal. They've lost just 2 top flight home matches this season, to United and astonishingly to QPR. The visitors this weekend are a West Ham side fresh from a narrow away victory at Stoke although they didn't play last weekend. It was a deserved win but the Hammers hadn't won on the road in the Premier League since a similarly narrow victory at Newcastle in mid-November. West Ham are one of four sides on 33 points and they need just a few more just to ensure they don't get dragged into any relegation concerns. Nolan is still out with a toe problem although Mark Noble and Joe Cole mightn't be too far away from full fitness. Chelsea are at full strength and this should be a victory for the home side.
Home Win 2-0
  Wigan v Newcastle
  Wigan remain as unpredictable as ever and that was again emphasised last weekend when they comfortably beat Everton 3-0 at Goodison to make it through to the FA Cup semi-finals for the first time. They scored all 3 goals in a 4-minute spell midway through the first half but this relative success could detract from their bid for Premier League survival. Currently they lie third from bottom and are 3 points shy of safety. Whilst their away form has kept them in with a shouting chance of avoiding the drop, their home form has been awful with just 2 Premier League victories at the DW all season. Most recently they were hammered there 4-0 by Liverpool and they've not won on home soil since they beat Reading 3-2 back in November. They host a Newcastle side up to 13th after their last gasp winner at home to Stoke. That was the Magpies' 4th victory in 6 top flight matches and Pardew's French invasion are coming to the fore in lieu of injuries to key players like Coloccini and Ameobi. Keeper Elliot has started the last 4 games with injuries keeping out both Krul and Harper. Given Wigan's poor home form, this must be a game Newcastle are capable of edging.
Away Win 0-1

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