Archived Premier League Tips (15th September 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (15th September 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 15th to Mon 17th September 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (15th to 17th Sep 2012)

Sat 12:45 Norwich v West Ham
  Norwich bounced back from their 5-0 opening day humiliation at Craven Cottage with deserved points at home to QPR and away at Tottenham. Both Chris Hughton and Sebastien Bassong wanted to do well at the Lane for obvious reasons and they didn't leave disappointed. Norwich's direct approach and superior work rate paid off as Snodgrass hit an equaliser with 5 minutes to go. Had Friedel not been at his best, the Canaries could easily have left with all three points. They host a West Ham side that've improved with the signing of Andy Carroll. Allardyce knew exactly what he was getting and the Hammers now have the personnel to play to those strengths. They weren't great in either the narrow home win over Villa or the defeat at Swansea but the improvement showed in the comprehensive victory over Fulham. However, Carroll and Jarvis are both doubts with injuries and Collins's fitness is questionable after he was forced off in the Fulham win. If the Hammers are at full strength they're more than capable of getting something at Carrow Road but given the potential absentees, it should be Norwich who go into this looking for their first maximum of the season.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 3:00 Arsenal v Southampton
  Bacary Sagna's comments regarding Arsenal's transfer policy probably echo what half the Gunners' dressing room is thinking but their consummate performance at Anfield has surely lifted the gloom. Goals from new signings Podolski and Cazorla ended their goal drought whilst another clean sheet means the Gunners' defence is still to concede this season; no doubt Steve Bould will be accepting some of the plaudits for Arsenal's miserly start. Diaby, who was so influential at Anfield, and Walcott are both doubts after missing midweek internationals for their respective countries. Bottom side Southampton are the visitors to the Emirates still waiting to get their first point on the board. However the table doesn't tell the whole story with the Saints leading against both Man City and United before eventually losing. Against United they were 2-1 up with 3 minutes to go before Van Persie completed his hat-trick to leave Southampton with nothing to show for their efforts. The Saints need to tighten up at the back but their early matches have shown that they pose a real threat on the counter. Wenger will have no excuses for not knowing what Southampton are about and Arsenal should prevail although their defence will have to work hard to secure another clean sheet.
Home Win 2-1
  Aston Villa v Swansea
  Swansea remain unbeaten after 3 matches having scored a massive 10 goals on their way to 7 points. Disappointingly they could only draw at home to Sunderland in their most recent match but it was the defensive fall-out from that game that'll cause more concern. Chico was sent off with a straight red meaning he misses the next 3 matches whilst Neil Taylor is thought to have suffered a broken ankle. Kyle Bartley and Garry Monk are unlikely to be able to provide defensive cover leaving Alan Tate and new signing Dwight Tiendalli to fill in. They travel to Villa Park having already scored 5 at Loftus Road on the opening day without conceding. The Villans have injury problems of their own with Albrighton and Dunne still out but there was a marked improvement in their 1-1 draw at St James Park. How much of that was down to Newcastle's poor showing remains debateable but there are signs that the defeats to West Ham and Everton are behind them. Paul Lambert's decision to replace Shay Given with Brad Guzan already looks a wise one. Whilst I can't see Villa winning this, Swansea's defensive crisis may play into their hands and they could be worth a share of the spoils.
Draw 1-1
  Fulham v West Brom
  Fulham opened their account with a 5-goal hammering of Norwich but their next 3 matches have all come on the road and ended in defeat, including that Capital One Cup loss at Sheffield Wednesday. They gave a good account of themselves at United (when they had Dembele) but were absolutely awful at West Ham. Losing both Dembele and Dempsey leaves Jol with a problem and the signing of Berbatov doesn't really answer the question. At the end of the day, Fulham's track record on the road has never been good whilst home form has always been enough; whether it is without Dempsey who scored 17 Premier League goals last season or architect Dembele remains to be seen. The Cottagers will be tested by an in-form West Brom side under new manger Steve Clarke. The Baggies lie 3rd in the table and remain unbeaten after seeing off both Liverpool and Everton at the Hawthorns and drawing at Tottenham. They've also conceded just the once whilst netting on 6 occasions. Lukaku's introduction at White Hart Lane was instrumental in West Brom getting a point from the game and he's set to start after missing the win over Everton with an ankle problem. The only question-mark on this game is how Fulham handle the absence of Dembele but given that they're at home, a draw looks a likely outcome.
Draw 1-1
  Man Utd v Wigan
  Robin van Persie's hat-trick came to United's rescue at St Marys but it was the 62nd minute introduction of Paul Scholes that changed the game in United's favour. The 37-year old midfielder still has what it takes at the top level and could start in place of the misfiring Cleverley. United haven't started the season in convincing fashion with a defeat to Everton followed by nervy wins over both Fulham and Southampton. Van Persie and Kagawa are injury doubts following the World Cup qualifiers but with Rooney and Young already out, it'll be interesting to see who Ferguson turns to. Their opponents, Wigan, have had a mixed start with a defeat to Chelsea, a win at Southampton and a draw at home to Stoke. Ali Al-Habsi was instrumental in the Latics holding on to a point against the Potters despite leading twice through Maloney and Di Santo. Martinez ensures his side plays with character but they remain unpredicatable at the best of times. They'll cause United problems but I expect the home side to avoid the banana skin and scrape through.
Home Win 1-0
  QPR v Chelsea
  Given the alleged racist incident that occurred during this fixture last season, it may be to everyone's benefit that the main protagonists could be absent through injury especially with the FA investigation due to begin in a little over a week. Cole and Terry could both be out after missing England's draw with Ukraine, with Cahill and Bertrand ready-made replacements whilst Anton Ferdinand is doubtful after sustaining a shoulder injury in the defeat at Eastlands. Chelsea have had a relatively easy start to the season which goes some way to explaining their 2-point lead at the top of the table. However, they were brought down to earth with a bump in the UEFA Super Cup when they were spanked by Atletico Madrid. QPR's solitary point at Norwich keeps them off the foot of the table but it was their heavy home defeat to Swansea on the opening day that prompted Hughes into further transfer activity. Cesar will likely replace Green in goal whilst Stephane Mbia could play some part. There's no doubt that Rangers have a stronger squad than last season but a lack of familiarity between players probably hands the advantage to Chelsea.
Away Win 1-2
  Stoke v Man City
  Stoke face a successive tough second home fixture, this time against City. They drew against Arsenal in a goalless affair and have in fact drawn all 3 of their opening matches; even their Capital One Cup tie against Swindon was level after 90 minutes only for the Potters to lose out in extra time. You know what you're going to get with Stoke and that's a battle. However, they've strengthened in midfield with the signing of Charlie Adam who's not only good at set-pieces but doesn't mind a tackle either. Their opponents, City, haven't found the start of the season as easy-going as perhaps the fixture list promised. Although they remain unbeaten they've looked shaky in defence having already conceded 5 times in 3 matches. They laboured to victories over Southampton and QPR at Eastlands whilst slip-ups from Liverpool at Anfield let them back into the game. The good news for City is that Aguero is back in training though whether he'll fit enough to feature at the Britannia remains to be seen. There are also doubts over the fitness of Balotelli, Barry and Rodwell. No side relishes a trip to Stoke and I'd expect it to finish much the same as last season i.e. a 1-1 draw.
Draw 1-1
Sat 5:30 Sunderland v Liverpool
  Liverpool have suffered a torrid start to life under Brendan Rodgers and find themselves in the bottom three after 3 games played. They imploded on the opening day at the Hawthorns, recovered at home to City to take a point despite giving some silly goals away and were then comfortably beaten at home by Arsenal. Letting West Ham take Carroll on loan was a stupid decision leaving Suarez as their only headline striker. On the evidence so far this season, the Uruguayan needs far too many chances to score despite being well serviced with good players like Allen, Sterling and Gerrard. The fixture list hasn't been kind and it won't be any easier up at Sunderland where the Mackems are yet to play their first home fixture of the new campaign. They've managed creditable draws at both Arsenal and Swansea with new striker Steven Fletcher grabbing both Sunderland goals to date. Their emphasis is firmly on the front foot with Adam Johnson supplementing an attacking line-up. Liverpool are a side under pressure and Sunderland will be looking to take advantage.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 4:00 Reading v Tottenham
  Spurs's start to the season has been an ominous one and whilst they've played some good football, it's been their failure to put the ball in the back of the net that's cost them. Late goals for Newcastle, West Brom and Norwich have all cost Tottenham points with the end result that they're in the bottom half of the table with a measly 2 points from a possible 9, not forgetting that they've played 2 relatively straight forward home fixtures. Not surprisingly, AVB will probably stick with Defoe alone up front but why ignore what was so successful last season and not play him alongside Adebayor. It could be stubbornness given that he prefers to partner Vertonghen with Gallas (in Kaboul's absence) rather than play Dawson. They travel to the Madjeski with Reading a point worse off having played a game less. The Royals managed a late equaliser at home to Stoke and were leading at Stamford Bridge before Chelsea stepped on the gas but keeper Federici has looked culpable on a couple of occasions. Both sides are seeking their first Premier League win of the season but this could swing Spurs's way if they can get an early goal.
Away Win 1-2
Mon 8:00 Everton v Newcastle
  After a cracking start to the season with victories at home to United and away at Villa, it was a shock to see Everton lose at the Hawthorns. The Toffees had their chances but it was West Brom who ran out deserved winners. Mirallas came on in the 62nd minute when the score was still 0-0 but failed to affect the game. However, it shows Moyes's determination to continue their good start and play on the front foot. Gibson and Pienaar are both expected to recover from knocks as they host a Newcastle side struggling to match the expectations of last season. By all accounts they were awful in the home draw with Villa and only a piece of magic from Ben Arfa got them back into the game. Cisse and Ba have failed to spark up front this season whilst Pardew faces a defensive crisis with Coloccini, Krul, Perch, Simpson and Ryan Taylor all out injured or at least doubtful. Obviously the Magpies are more than capable on their day but all the evidence points to an Everton win.
Home Win 2-0

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