Archived Premier League Tips (22nd September 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (22nd September 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 22nd to Sun 23rd September 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (22nd to 23rd Sep 2012)

Sat 12:45 Swansea v Everton
  After great starts to the season by both these sides, results haven't really gone their way over the last couple of weeks despite playing well. Both took 6 points from their opening 2 games but could only follow that up with a point from the last 2 matches. Swansea drew at home to Sunderland and lost at Villa Park whilst Everton lost at West Brom and were held at home by Newcastle. The Toffees started well against the Magpies with Baines and Pienaar causing all sorts of problems down the left-hand side but Pardew changed the game by bringing on Ba for the ineffective Marveaux. Everton had 2 second-half goals chalked off incorrectly but on balance of play the Magpies probably deserved a point. Jelavic is a slight doubt after colliding with a post early on and succumbing to some tough tackles before limping off approaching half-time. The Swans had their chances at Villa Park but defensive errors cost them. Not surprisingly their defence had an unfamiliar look to it with Tate coming in for the suspended Chico and Davies taking over from the injured Taylor. Both are likely to continue this weekend but the key will be the battle between Nathan Dyer and the irrepressible Baines. Everton are a tough nut to crack whilst Swansea are no mugs on their own patch. A draw looks to be the best value.
Draw 1-1
Sat 3:00 Chelsea v Stoke
  With Liverpool hosting United and Arsenal travelling to Eastlands, this represents a good opportunity for Chelsea to stretch their lead at the top of the table. After winning their opening 3 matches, this hasn't been such a good week for the Blues. They were held to a goalless draw at Loftus Road last weekend and were pegged back at home to Juventus after being 2 goals to the good. After coming off the bench on 2 previous occasions, this was Oscar's full home debut and if his 2nd goal is anything to go by Chelsea fans' mouths will be watering. He suffered a knock in the last quarter of the match and could be a doubt for the weekend. This is a completely different game for Di Matteo's side with the accent more likely on the physical. Stoke have drawn all 4 of their Premier League matches to date including great results at home to City and Arsenal. Everyone's aware that the Potters are strong at the Britannia but draws away at Reading and Wigan highlight their weakness on the road. Andy Wilkinson is suspended for 3 games after being charged with violent conduct following an incident with Balotelli. If Chelsea can avoid the slip-ups that cost them against Juventus, Stoke should be looking at their first defeat of the season.
Home Win 2-1
  Southampton v Aston Villa
  After opening the season with 2 defeats, it seems Paul Lambert's methods are finally paying off after drawing away at Newcastle and notching their first win of the season (at home to Swansea). It's been a tale of improvement with new players bedding in whilst more experienced players have been out injured. In last weekend's victory, the much-admired full-back, Matthew Lowton, scored a spectacular strike whilst new striker, Christian Benteke, scored on his debut after coming on with 20 minutes to go. However, Lambert is still having to make do without the likes of Albrighton, Dunne, Gardner and Petrov. They travel to bottom side Southampton who are still without a point after 4 games. It must be said that the fixture list hasn't been kind to the Saints pitting them against City, United and Arsenal in three of those opening matches. They showed plenty of grit against the two Manchester sides but weren't so good at home to Wigan and were taken apart at the Emirates. Nigel Adkins faces an uphill task restoring some of that lost confidence ahead of what he'll be pencilling in as a first positive result. Whilst Southampton have shown themselves perfectly capable of scoring, 14 goals shipped in 4 games underlines their weakness. That won't be helped if Jos Hooiveld fails to recover from a calf problem sustained against Arsenal. However, Villa were the away draw specialists last season with 10 from 19 and both sides will probably see a point as a positive.
Draw 2-2
  West Brom v Reading
  We expected last weekend's game at Craven Cottage to go better for West Brom but Odemwingie's stupid sending off didn't help with them falling to their first defeat of the season. Both home fixtures to date have resulted in wins over Liverpool and Everton without conceding and it looks like the Baggies will be difficult to beat at the Hawthorns this season. Lukaku came on for the second half against Fulham but could well start in Odemwingie's absence. They host a Reading side struggling near the foot of the table with just a single point although they've played a game less owing to the waterlogged pitch at Sunderland. Not surprisingly Federici was dropped for the home defeat to Spurs with Alex McCarthy replacing him. Left-back Harte was caught out a couple of times in that match and Steve Clarke will be looking to exploit any weakness. In Reading's only away fixture to date, they held on to a 2-1 lead for 40 minutes before being well beaten by Chelsea. The Royals will cause problems but West Brom should run out comfortable winners.
Home Win 2-0
  West Ham v Sunderland
  Sunderland's 3 matches to date have all ended level but trips to Arsenal and Swansea plus a home fixture against Liverpool were never going to be easy. O'Neill will undoubtedly be looking from a glass half-full perspective and should be especially pleased with new signing Steven Fletcher, scorer of all 3 Sunderland goals. Liverpool finished last weekend's game the stronger but the Black Cats dug in and held on for the point. They travel to Upton Park where West Ham have a 100% record so far this season, scoring 4 goals and still to concede. The only disappointment was their performance in the defeat at Swansea but they improved at Carrow Road last weekend and had to settle for a draw despite having chances to win the game. Had they had Andy Carroll available the Hammers could well have gone on to take all 3 points but the on-loan Liverpool striker's hamstring injury is likely to keep him out for several weeks. Don't expect too many goals as both sides play out a draw.
Draw 1-1
  Wigan v Fulham
  Wigan have so far failed to grind out the sort of result that kept them in the top flight at the end of last season. Early Chelsea goals cost them at home in their opening fixture whilst a good first-half at Old Trafford last weekend saw them fall apart in the second. Aside from that they've won at newly-promoted Southampton (perhaps when they'd not been expected to) and held Stoke at the DW to a 2-2 draw. Four points from 4 games isn't bad considering the Latics have played Chelsea and United but Martinez surely has the visit of Fulham marked down as a 'must win' match. Whilst Wigan are as unpredictable as they come, Fulham definitely fall into the category of 'great at home but poor away'. We thought they'd struggle without Dembele but they cruised to a 3-0 win over West Brom at Craven Cottage thanks to a debut brace from Dimitar Berbatov; that makes it 8 goals at home with none conceded. Their form on the road couldn't be more different having lost both at Old Trafford and Upton Park. They were awful against West Ham, possibly a hangover from earlier that week when they were beaten at Sheffield Wednesday in the 2nd round of the Capital One Cup. Petric didn't make the bench for the West Brom win and Rodallega could again be preferred to partner Berbatov against his old club. As stated before, picking Wigan for a win comes with it's own set of caveats but we're sticking our neck out... again!
Home Win 2-1
Sun 1:30 Liverpool v Man Utd
  With the Evra-Suarez handshake and certain chanting from both sides threatening to overshadow this match, most will be hoping for the Premier League spectacle that's expected from one of the highest profile football games beamed around the world. Currently poles apart with United in 2nd and Liverpool just above the bottom three on goal difference, neither side has set alight the top flight so far this season and United especially can count themselves to be lucky where they are. Ferguson's side opened their account with that defeat at Goodison but subsequently scraped wins over Fulham and Southampton. Last weekend Wigan held them until half-time before finally succumbing whilst this week's 1-0 win over Galatasaray was a nervous one. Whatever the starting line-up Ferguson can't afford to leave out Scholes and Van Persie. Their hosts, Liverpool, showed signs of improvement at Sunderland last week but Suarez (their only striker) needs too many chances whilst careless mistakes at the back have proven costly. However, they were poor on the opening day at the Hawthorns and again in the defeat at home to Arsenal. With United in mind, Rodgers has taken no chances and left Gerrard, Suarez, Reina, Allen, Johnson, Agger, Skrtel and Kelly all at home for the Europa League trip to Switzerland. Liverpool are still looking for their first victory and must get better whilst United aren't playing well themselves. For those reasons I can't see beyond the draw.
Draw 1-1
Sun 3:00 Newcastle v Norwich
  Newcastle, and especially Demba Ba, should've been euphoric after their comeback at Goodison to claim a point in what was a fantastic match. Instead Ba starting on the bench has turned into a war of words and once again the issue of his 7m buyout clause has reared it's ugly head. Regardless of that, both Ba and Cisse have been left behind for the trip to Portugal and both will probably start against Norwich in the hope that Cisse's game will also start firing again. The main point to note is that Marveaux was awful before being substituted at half-time in Monday's draw and Pardew will have to think again when resorting to 4-5-1. The Magpies haven't won since beating Spurs on the opening day and Norwich might feel the full force of Newcastle on home soil. The Canaries have recovered from their opening day hammering at Craven Cottage but they're still chasing their first victory. They're struggling to score with just 2 goals to their name in their opening 4 games and strikers Holt and Morison yet to get on the scoresheet. Signing Bassong has helped to shore things up at the back whilst Harry Kane showed good potential after coming on as a sub in the draw with West Ham. No doubt Norwich will give their all but this should be Newcastle's day.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 4:00 Man City v Arsenal
  What a cracker this promises to be! City have already dropped points this season and tasted their first defeat of their Champions League campaign in Madrid. To be leading 2-1 in the Bernabeu with 5 minutes to go and lose the game was criminal. Mancini has warned Hart over his post-match criticism but no pun intended, Joe Hart spoke from the heart and was perfectly right in saying that they had no-one to blame but themselves. The bottom line for City is that they're conceding far too often; 6 goals conceded in 4 Premier League matches and 3 at home against Southampton and QPR. A dangerous statistic going into a match against an Arsenal side that put 6 past Southampton at the Emirates last weekend. The Gunners had a slow start to their Premier League season but they're yet to taste defeat and have conceded just the once. Their Champions League campaign also got off to a flier with a 2-1 win at Montpellier. Whilst Podolski and Cazorla have been grabbing the headlines, Giroud is yet to score for the Gunners despite being their out-and-out striker and could be dropped to the bench. City could welcome back Sergio Aguero whilst Samir Nasri faces a couple of weeks out with a hamstring problem. This game could go either way but there's bound to be goals!
Draw 2-2
  Tottenham v QPR
  Spurs finally got a win under their belts to take the pressure off AVB and the 3 points at Reading were no more than their just desserts. So far they've only tasted defeat at Newcastle but draws at home to both West Brom and Norwich were thought by many not to be good enough. Defoe's 3rd goal in 4 starts show he still has the eye for it whilst Adebayor kicks his heels on the bench. AVB will still be in the firing line if he doesn't get a result at home to QPR and with that in mind Defoe, Friedel and Gallas are expected to be rested for the midweek game against Lazio. Rangers played out a creditable draw with Chelsea last weekend to claim only their 2nd point of the season leaving them in the bottom three. With so many players coming in during the transfer window, Hughes would've been fortunate for his side to hit the ground running but injuries don't help; Mbia, Johnson and Diakite are all out with Ferdinand and Fabio both doubts. Whilst Rangers are still looking for their first victory in the Premier League this season, they'll be keen to avoid defeat.
Home Win 2-0

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