Archived Premier League Tips (29th September 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (29th September 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:


 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.


 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.


 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.

Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 29th September to Mon 1st October 2012.

Archived Premier League football betting tips (29th Sep to 1st Oct 2012)

Sat 12:45 Arsenal v Chelsea
  The weekend action kicks off with two sides expected to contend for the title. Chelsea are leading the way having won all their games with the exception of 2 dropped points at QPR. That said, the fixture list has been kind to the Blues and this match represents their first big test of the season away from home. They were lucky to snatch all 3 points against Stoke last weekend and David Luiz can count himself even more fortunate to escape a red card after a wreckless challenge on Jon Walters. Sturridge is out injured leaving Torres as the main man but he's ably supported by Chelsea's potent midfield. They play an Arsenal side, currently 5th, yet to lose this season in any competition. The Gunners started slowly but the new signings have gradually found their mark and can count some scalps already. They've drawn at Stoke and Man City, won at Liverpool and Montpellier plus they hammered Southampton in their last Premier League home fixture. Vermaelen is expected to recover from illness and could force out either Koscielny or Mertesacker. Both Arsenal and Chelsea enjoyed resounding Capital One Cup victories at home to Coventry and Wolves respectively so both clubs will be high on confidence. However, Arsenal look the better side at the moment and home advantage should count in their favour.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 3:00 Everton v Southampton
  Everton's best start for some years sees them sitting 3rd in the table just 3 points behind league leaders Chelsea. With 3 wins and a draw from their opening 5 fixtures, the Capital One Cup encounter at Elland Road looked to be an away banker but Moyes fielded a weaker side and the Toffees couldn't rescue the game despite Neville, Pienaar and Jelavic coming on in the 2nd half. Expect the likes of Howard, Baines, Jagielka and Osman to return to the side for the visit of Southampton. The Saints finally got off the bottom of the table with a great win over Villa at St Marys thanks to a spirited 2nd half performance. The 3 points were their first of the season and all the more impressive considering they were hammered 6-1 at the Emirates the weekend before. It relieved the pressure on Southampton manager Nigel Adkins and rightly so; he shouldn't have felt under the cosh given that 3 of their 4 opening fixtures were against City, United and Arsenal. The Saints will progress from here on but a trip to Goodison is proving even tough for the likes of United nowadays.
Home Win 2-1
  Fulham v Man City
  Sixth plays 7th with both on 9 points. Not only is it surprising to see Fulham up that high but also how poorly City have begun the season. As ever, Fulham are proving strong at home with 2 wins from 2, 8 goals scored and none conceded. Last weekend they also managed a rare away maximum (at Wigan), a result which was well-deserved. Berbatov's brace on his home debut was a dream start and his partnership with Rodallega appears to be thriving, to the extent that Petric has had to settle for a place on the bench. City's defence has been at the root of their problems this season having conceded 16 goals in 8 competitive matches. 7 of those have been conceded in the Premier League effectively costing Mancini's side 6 points. City are still yet to lose but drawing games won't be enough if they wish to retain their title. The left-back spot is proving a problem with Richards and Maicon both injured but Zabaleta is more than capable and should really be getting in the side ahead of the Brazilian. Aguero is the only certainty to start up front with one of Dzeko, Tevez or Balotelli to partner him. Given City's poor defence and Fulham's strength at home, the Cottagers should be backed to at least get a point.
Draw 1-1
  Norwich v Liverpool
  Only a point separates these 2 sides at the wrong end of the table. Both are without a Premier League win this season although Liverpool did notch a victory over Premier League West Brom in the Capital One Cup this week. In Liverpool's defence they've played well at times this season but mistakes at the back and glaring misses up front have cost them. They've drawn against City and Sunderland whilst they were unlucky not to get a point against United last weekend. That game proved costly in other ways with Shelvey red-carded plus Borini, Kelly and Agger all injured. Agger could possibly return at Norwich and Sahin could replace Shelvey but Suarez needs to start converting chances. With the exception of Norwich's opening day defeat at Craven Cottage, the Canaries haven't looked too bad but their problem is scoring goals. Holt and Morison have still not yet netted for the club this season whilst the club as a whole have only scored twice in the top flight. What's more they could only beat League 1 Doncaster by a single goal this week thanks to Alex Tettey on his debut. Both Bassong and Kane are doubtful after suffering knocks although Pilkington is once again available. For me, this comes down to goals; Liverpool are scoring but not as many as they should whilst Norwich are struggling full stop.
Away Win 0-1
  Reading v Newcastle
  Reading find themselves bottom of the pile having picked up just a single point from their opening 4 Premier League matches, a draw at home to Stoke on the opening day. The waterlogged pitch at Sunderland means they've played a game less than most and goes some way to explaining why they've perhaps not been at their best. That changed this week when they beat Premier League opponents QPR in the Capital One Cup and McDermott will be wanting to carry that level of performance through to the top flight. Bringing in Shorey for Ian Harte is definitely a step in the right direction. However they host a strong Newcastle side that haven't quite hit the heights this season but seem to be doing just enough. Their only Premier League defeat came at Stamford Bridge whilst this week they were beaten at Old Trafford in the Capital One Cup. There was a silver lining for the Magpies however when Cisse came off the bench to score within a minute after going 10 games without a goal. Demba Ba's goals have proved even more important in recent games and if Pardew can get both players scoring in tandem, they'll pose a serious threat to any defence. After Coloccini's return this week, he's likely to partner Steven Taylor in place of Williamson. I can see Newcastle standing firm and pinching this one.
Away Win 0-1
  Stoke v Swansea
  Stoke had the luxury of a free week whilst most other Premier League sides were battling it out in the Captital One Cup; there are positives to exiting the competition in the 2nd round. The Potters are yet to register a victory this season but that doesn't tell the whole story. They've drawn 4 of their 5 Premier League matches and were unfortunate not to get something at Stamford Bridge last weekend. The Britannia is a fortress for Stoke and they've held Arsenal and Man City in both their home fixtures to date. Andy Wilkinson misses out after being red-carded in the City draw but Tony Pulis has adequate cover at the back. They host a Swansea side who's results have been mixed since their opening day bonanza at Loftus Road. Their last 3 Premier League matches have yielded just a single point with the latest a 3-goal hammering at the Liberty. A late winner from Garry Monk saw the Swans scrape through to the 4th round of the Capital One Cup at Crawley. Chico has served his 3-match ban and could return in place of Alan Tate. Swansea's possession football doesn't quite seem at the same level that it was last season whilst Stoke are playing well enough to get that first win under their belts.
Home Win 2-0
  Sunderland v Wigan
  Four games played and 4 points on the board for Sunderland after drawing all their opening fixtures. Their 2 victories this season have come in the Capital One Cup against lower league opposition. Once again Lee Cattermole hit the headlines for all the wrong reasons when he was dismissed for the 5th time in his career; this time for a reckless tackle on MK Dons' Adam Chicksen. Cattermole misses the next 3 matches but hopefully Adam Johnson will be considered fit enough to start after coming on for the last 5 minutes at Milton Keynes. Steven Fletcher was rested for the League Cup match but there's no doubt he's the danger man after scoring all of Sunderland's 4 Premier League goals this season. They host a Wigan side holding true to their unpredictable qualities. The Latics are still seeking their first home victory and we thought they'd get it last weekend but Fulham managed a rare win on the road. In true unpredictable fashion, Wigan then go to Upton Park and hammer West Ham in the Capital One Cup. Martinez made changes and they worked but how many will he keep for the trip to the Stadium of Light. Di Santo is a doubt after missing the Fulham defeat with a calf problem. Anything could happen in this match but we're backing the Mackems to register their first Premier League victory of the season.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 5:30 Man Utd v Tottenham
  This game usually throws up plenty of controversy, in the main going against the away side. Spurs haven't won at Old Trafford since 1989 with phantom goals and refereeing decisions going against them. Whether or not Spurs are playing well enough at the moment to get anything at Old Trafford remains to be seen but United are definitely riding their luck in terms of getting results. After being beaten on the opening day at Goodison, United have won all their matches since, thanks in the main to goals from Robin van Persie. Ferguson's side is further boosted by the return of Wayne Rooney although their defensive problems continue with Vidic ruled out for a couple of months with another knee injury. Tottenham have finally found the winning touch after losing at Newcastle and drawing at home against West Brom and Norwich; victories at Reading and at home to QPR have lifted them up to 8th. Goalscoring duties look to have been entrusted to Defoe and he's responded well but the most impressive player has been Vertonghen at the back who's looking like a great replacement for King. Spurs need a result against a top side to boost their credentials but I just can't see it happening at Old Trafford.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 4:00 Aston Villa v West Brom
  After their opening 2 defeats, Villa bounced back in the Capital One Cup against Tranmere and they repeated the same after losing at St Marys then coming through at Man City after extra time. Sometimes the League Cup provides an option for players to give everyone a reminder of what they're about and both Agbonlahor and N'Zogbia did just that. Both scored against last season's champions with Albrighton making a 2nd-half substitute appearance. The bonus for Lambert, apart from winning the match, is that he now has more options in the attacking third especially with Ireland ruled out with a broken wrist. Last time at home, Villa were comfortable winners over Swansea but neighbours West Brom are 4th in the table on the back of some good results. It has to be said that 9 of their 10 points have come at the Hawthorns whilst last time on the road, they were well beaten at Craven Cottage. Goalkeeper Foster was also heavily criticised after Liverpool knocked them out of the Capital One Cup this week. The Baggies are still without banned Odemwingie whilst Morrison and Ridgewell are both doubtful. This one's bound to be close and the draw beckons but Villa might just be boosted along by that win at Eastlands.
Home Win 2-1
Mon 8:00 QPR v West Ham
  QPR aren't quite rock bottom but they're yet to win a Premier League match this season. Just a couple of draws to their name plus bottom club Reading knocked them out of the Capital One Cup at Loftus Road. Things aren't going well for Rangers but Mark Hughes blames a lack of continuity at the back; that theme continues with Fabio, Ferdinand, Traore and Bosingwa all likely unavailable. At least QPR have recovered from that opening day hammering by Swansea; their most recent Premier League home result was a goalless draw with Chelsea. They host a West Ham side faring much better than their newly-promoted rivals although the Hammers have only picked up a single point on the road. They were well beaten at Swansea but held on for a point at Carrow Road. Allardyce will be wanting to put this week's Capital One Cup nightmare against Wigan behind him but it's safe to say that no fringe players will be featuring at Loftus Road. Carroll will once again be missing as he recovers from a hamstring problem. There's not a lot to separate these 2 sides and West Ham will probably be strong enough for a point.
Draw 1-1