Archived Premier League Tips (6th October 2012)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (6th October 2012)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 6th to Sun 7th October 2012.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (6th to 7th Oct 2012)

Sat 12:45 Man City v Sunderland
  Man City are showing signs of being there or thereabouts this season but the solidity that was there last season appears to have vanished. Currently fourth in the table, they're in touch with the main challengers for their title but the one telling statistic is that they've conceded in every one of their 9 competitive matches this season. Mancini will have been even less pleased to see Javi Garcia hobble off against Dortmund especially since his replacement, Jack Rodwell, was at fault for Dortmund's goal. That could pave the way for Barry to start this match after starting at Craven Cottage for City's win over Fulham. Sunderland are the side travelling to Eastlands hoping to go one better than they did last season when they were 3-1 up only for late goals from Balotelli and Kolarov enough to steal a draw. The Black Cats finally got their first Premier League win of the season under their belts thanks to a single goal victory over Wigan. Once again it was that man Steven Fletcher who proved the difference notching his 5th goal in 4 Premier League starts for the Mackems. It should be noted that Sunderland haven't yet lost this season although City are under pressure to win with a clean sheet intact. City to win but Fletcher to score.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 3:00 Chelsea v Norwich
  Chelsea's win at the Emirates last weekend finally made us sit up and take notice. The Blues have only dropped points at QPR this season and have a 3-point lead at the top of the table. For all their intricate passing in midfield it was their industriousness without the ball and superiority at set pieces that earned them a valuable victory over Arsenal. That was their first game against one of the big sides and should have them brimming with confidence ahead of the game with Norwich. The pressure builds again though with a trip to Spurs and a home fixture against United before the end of the month. The Canaries find themselves in the bottom three after conceding 5 goals for the second time this season, this time at home to Liverpool. Searching for a silver lining, you could say that at least Holt and Morison both managed to get on the scoresheet for the first time this campaign. Norwich will be hoping for Bassong's return to shore things up at the back but the centre-half is only 50/50 after sustaining a knock in the defeat at Newcastle. They're still looking for their first Premier League win of the season and it's highly unlikely to come at the Bridge.
Home Win 3-0
  Swansea v Reading
  After Swansea's cracking start to the season (2 emphatic wins), a recent run of 3 defeats without scoring has put things in perspective. Plus they haven't been as effective at the Liberty as last season and just 4 points from their 3 home fixtures to date leaves them in mid-table. How much of that is down to losing key central midfielders Allen and Sigurdsson remains to be seen but the Swans need to tighten up at the back and take their chances at the other end. Sergio Garcia flew in this week fresh from Ryder Cup glory to give the players a boost. Their opponents, Reading, are just about managing to stay off the foot of the table albeit on goal difference. The Royals have played just 2 Premier League away fixtures so far, losing them both, but they did manage to knock QPR out of the Capital One Cup at Loftus Road; ironically Rangers are the only club beneath Reading in the top flight. However, Reading are no strangers to goals having scored in 6 of their 7 matches in all competitions this season. A close call but Reading's poor away form swings it in Swansea's favour.
Home Win 2-1
  West Brom v QPR
  West Brom are steadily going about their business this season and are up to 6th on the back of some creditable performances. They've a 100% Premier League home record after beating Liverpool, Everton and Reading; all without conceding a single goal. Liverpool did get their revenge only last week by knocking them out of the Capital One Cup though. Last weekend the Baggies were held to a draw at Villa Park despite going ahead through Shane Long. However success sometimes comes at a cost and injuries are starting to threaten; McAuley and Ridgewell are slight doubts at the back. They host bottom side QPR whose ill-discipline once again cost them last weekend at home to West Ham. Rangers were already 2-0 down when Diakite was subbed-on in the second-half only to see him sent from the field 20 minutes later. However, QPR were far from the better side and Mark Hughes must be feeling the pressure after so many summer signings despite receiving the chairman's backing. Hughes has blamed defensive injuries and once again he's without 4 defenders plus Diakite who's suspended. Rangers will pose a goal threat but this should be meat and drink for the Baggies.
Home Win 2-0
  Wigan v Everton
  Predicting Wigan games is like pulling teeth but it looks again like this season could be a struggle for them. Last season they saved themselves with a dramatic run of results over the last dozen or so matches but that could prove a bridge too far this time around unless they start picking up points earlier in the campaign. The Latics have lost their last 3 Premier League games and their only top flight victory this season has come at Southampton. Martinez has recently been fined for speaking his mind but there was some good news with Gomez's red card rescinded by the FA. That means Martinez could keep with the same starting line-up against Everton. The Toffees are flying high in second having won 4 of their opening 6 fixtures. The only negatives have been a 2-goal defeat at the Hawthorns and twice letting Newcastle back into the game at Goodison. Taken out of context, Moyes's recent comments that 'he'd pay to watch Everton play' might sound a bit smug but that would deny how well the Toffees are playing when they're on song. More misery for the home fans.
Away Win 0-2
Sat 5:30 West Ham v Arsenal
  A tricky London derby in which West Ham will likely endeavour to pressure Arsenal all over the park. In true Allardyce fashion, tackles will be committed ones whilst the likes of Nolan and Cole will aim to make the Gunners' defence as uncomfortable as possible. If only Carroll was fit to start although he may get more than the 18 minutes allotted in West Ham's Capital One Cup victory at Loftus Road. Speaking of that game, 8 yellow cards were dished out to the Hammers and though Allardyce says that the ref nearly spoilt the game, you couldn't accuse them of being shrinking violets. They've lost just 1 Premier League match this season and dropped just 2 points at Upton Park; it might surprise most to see them 2 points above their north London counterparts. Arsenal started the season slow and we expected them to kick on after a win at Liverpool and a draw at City but they were surprsingly beaten at home last weekend by a hard-working Chelsea side. Conceding 2 goals at set pieces won't have gone down well with the Arsenal management but that can be the consequence of zonal marking unless you get it right. Diaby is missing after sustaining a thigh injury whilst the preferred option up front looks to be converted winger Gervinho who now has 5 goals in all competitions this season. A match that could go either way; the value has to be the draw.
Draw 1-1
Sun 1:30 Southampton v Fulham
  Southampton couldn't follow up with another win at Everton last weekend after notching their first Premier League victory only the weekend before after coming back from 1-0 down to smash Villa 4-1. That sole victory is currently enough to keep the Saints out of the bottom three albeit on goal difference. Nigel Adkins praised his side for their togetherness in turning over Villa but they'll need to show that united front again when they host Fulham. The Cottagers aren't traditionally great on the road but they recently won away at Wigan. However they failed to beat Man City at Craven Cottage last weekend with Berbatov absent with a hip injury. The Bulgarian looks to be out for a couple of weeks but Jol seems to prefer the partnership of Rodallega and Ruiz leaving Petric possibly warming the bench. We're sticking with our theory that Fulham aren't great on the road whilst Southampton probably deserve more than they've got so far. There's bound to be goals and we're backing the home side to score the most.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 3:00 Liverpool v Stoke
  This is not the sort of game Liverpool will fancy at the moment given their start to the season. Fair enough, they hammered Norwich last weekend but they still conceded twice. At least Suarez appears to have found his shooting boots but he won't get the freedom against Stoke he so enjoyed at Carrow Road. That victory was Liverpool's first in the Premier League this season having already lost away at West Brom and at home to Arsenal and United. As a consequence they're 11 points behind league leaders Chelsea in the bottom half of the table. If Rodgers thinks the tide has turned, he hasn't bargained on Stoke. The Potters also notched their first win of the season last weekend, at home to Swansea but Tony Pulis's side drew their opening 4 fixtures having played the likes of Arsenal and City. Fair enough, these matches were played at the Britannia and Stoke lost recently at Stamford Bridge despite deserving more but expect them to cause Liverpool all sorts of problems at Anfield. The Reds are struggling in the full-back area with Kelly and Flangan out and Enrique doubtful plus midfielder Shelvey is suspended. Stoke are without the suspended Andy Wilkinson but they've plenty of cover. The Potters have proved hard to beat already this season and this'll be a true measure of any progress Liverpool have made. A draw for me!
Draw 1-1
  Tottenham v Aston Villa
  What a difference a couple of weeks can make if results start to swing your way. Tottenham, under new manager AVB, didn't have the greatest of starts with a defeat at Newcastle followed by 2 home draws against weaker opposition. Since then Spurs have won 3 Premier League matches, the most notable being last weekend's stunning victory at Old Trafford. Not since 1989 had Spurs won at the Theatre of Dreams but how much it says about Spurs attacking threat or United's lumbering defence is the inevitable question. Whatever your opinion, Spurs are certainly on a roll and will relish the visit of a Villa side themselves going through something of a transition. Villa lost their opening 2 fixtures but have since picked up with a win and a couple of draws. After Villa's extra-time League Cup win at Eastlands, Agbonlahor started in the draw with West Brom although Bent is also vying for a starting place after coming off the bench to score the equaliser. Another player surprisingly starting on the bench has been N'Zogbia who hasn't been picked in a Premier League first eleven since the defeat at home to Everton. Both sides have pace to threaten but Spurs should take the 3 points.
Home Win 3-1
Sun 4:00 Newcastle v Man Utd
  These 2 sides met recently in the Capital One Cup at Old Trafford; that time United came through as winners but the 2 sides fielded probably don't bear much relation to those likely to start on Sunday. Both clubs have defensive problems. United's lack of pace at the back was held largely responsible for their home defeat to Spurs but injuries to Vidic, Smalling and Jones hasn't helped. Evans suffered a dead leg against Cluj and is a doubt whilst Carrick missed the same game through illness. Newcastle too have issues with Krul and Ryan Taylor both out whilst the preferred centre-half pairing of Coloccini and Steven Taylor are both doubts. This certainly won't be a game where defences will be on top especially considering the quality of attacking options; Ba and Cisse for Newcastle and Rooney and RVP for United. Despite Newcastle playing at home, they haven't quite hit the heights so far this season and for all United's failings at the back, Ferguson's side have the firepower to make a game of it. Struggling to pick between the two so plumping for a high-scoring draw.
Draw 2-2

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