Archived Premier League Tips (23rd November 2013)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (23rd November 2013)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 23rd to Mon 25th November 2013.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (23rd to 25th Nov 2013)

Sat 12:45 Everton v Liverpool
  The weekend action kicks off with the Merseyside derby at Goodison. The weekend before the international break Liverpool were one of the big winners with a comfortable victory over Fulham at Anfield with Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton, Spurs and Man City all dropping points. That leaves the Reds second, 2 points behind league leaders Arsenal. In their most recent away fixture Liverpool were beaten at the Emirates and a different result might've seen them top the table by now. Both Sturridge and Gerrard played for England in the defeat to Germany so should be fit for Saturday lunchtime. Suarez and his strike partner top the scoring charts along with Aguero on 8 apiece as they look to increase their tally at Everton. The Toffees trail their nearest neighbours by 3 points and 4 places and a win would see them move level on points although significant goal difference would see Liverpool maintain the advantage. Everton have lost just one top flight match this season (at Eastlands) but their last 2 games, at home to Spurs and away at Selhurst Park, both finished goalless. Lukaku suffered a knock late on against Spurs after colliding with Lloris's head but was fit enough to play 90 minutes at Palace despite not scoring. Finding the back of the net has proved a problem for the Toffees in recent seasons and the Belgian striker was widely seen as a temporary solution so hopefully he'll rediscover his goal touch. A derby fixture that promises to be tight with little to choose between the two.
Draw 1-1
Sat 15:00 Arsenal v Southampton
  Table-topping Arsenal's lead was cut to 2 points after losing by a single goal at Old Trafford. It was only their second Premier League defeat of the season but they were undone by ex-striker Robin Van Persie. Illness deprived Wenger of Mertesacker and Rosicky whilst Arteta played despite feeling unwell. Aaron Ramsey also missed Wales's fixture with Finland because of flu but all sick-related injuries are expected to have recovered. Those still out include Flamini (suspended), Oxlade-Chamberlain, Podolski and Walcott. They host a Southampton side who've lost just the once this season and surprised everyone by breaking into the top three. Their current position is fully deserved and as a result can now boast 3 England players among their squad. Included in their 8-match unbeaten run are a single-goal victory at Anfield and a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford but a trip to the Emirates probably represents the Saints' toughest test to date. Part of the reason why they've done so well is because they have the Premier League's tightest defence having conceded just 5 times in 11 matches. As far as we can tell, no-one's returned injured from the international break leaving Pochettino's squad at full strength. A very tight game but the Gunners should have just enough.
Home Win 1-0
  Fulham v Swansea
  Fulham are currently third from bottom after tasting defeat 7 times in their opening 11 Premier League fixtures. They managed to string back-to-back victories together during October but those games came at home to Stoke and away at Palace, not necessarily the most exacting opposition. The Cottagers have lost their last 3 successive matches, Southampton and Liverpool away plus United at home, but the manner of those defeats strikes a chord of relegation potential. Fulham were by far second best and Martin Jol's job must surely be on the line. Brede Hangeland's absence in the centre of defence has been a major factor in those defeats and there seems little news on his possible return from injury. They host a Swansea side slightly disappointing this season after having to juggle the additional demands of Europa League football. The Swans have won 2 and lost 3 on the road without drawing but their recent 1-0 defeat in Cardiff surely has to be their most disappointing. Following that they were 2 goals down at home to Stoke only to pull themselves back to 3-2 up before a stoppage-time penalty deprived them of 2 valuable points. It's the third time in 3 weeks that the Swans have conceded injury-time equalisers and is something that Laudrup needs to address. Michu and Hernandez are the big name casualties but Swansea should be strong enough to see off a Fulham side that look in freefall.
Away Win 1-2
  Hull v Crystal Palace
  At the time of writing Tony Pulis is alleged to be in advanced talks with Crystal Palace to succeed Ian Holloway. Just before the international break the Eagles picked up only their 4th point of the season with a draw at home to Everton. However, they had a number of chances to win the game which they could regret in the coming weeks. The draw leaves them bottom but they've closed the gap to safety to 6 points and more importantly it ended a sequence of 7 straight defeats. They travel to newly promoted rivals Hull who are doing somewhat better than their promotion counterparts. The Tigers are mid-table and it's their home form that looks potentially like keeping them up this season; they're yet to lose at the KC Stadium having won 3 and drawn 2. They've lost 3 of the last 4 but those have all been away fixtures with the one bright spot being the single-goal home victory over Sunderland. Brady failed to travel to Southampton because of an ongoing hernia problem and remains doubtful for the weekend. The Tigers don't score many but one should be enough against a Palace side still pointless on the road.
Home Win 1-0
  Newcastle v Norwich
  Norwich climbed out of the bottom three after winning 3-1 at home to West Ham despite going into half-time a goal down. Gary Hooper equalised from the spot to get his Premier League account up and running whilst Robert Snodgrass, who grabbed the second, believes that this could be a turning point for the Canaries. They managed the victory without the likes of Van Wolfswinkel, Pilkington and Tettey hinting that Hughton could stick with the same team regardless of whether any of those three have recovered from injury. Their only points on the road have come courtesy of a 1-0 win at Stoke and the trip to Newcastle promises to be a challenging one. The Magpies moved into the top half of the table after successive wins at home to Chelsea and away at Tottenham. Goalkeeper Krul proved to be the hero at White Hart Lane making a number of classy saves once Newcastle had taken the lead. What's more impressive is that the same back five kept successive clean sheets and Coloccini might not automatically force his way back into the side after returning to fitness. Centre-half Williamson insists that the turnaround has been down to Pardew finding the right balance but they now have a work ethic throughout the side as well as quality players like Cabaye and Remy. With both sides claiming that they've possibly reached a turning point, I'd suggest that Newcastle's claim has more merit and this is looking like another defeat for Chris Hughton's men.
Home Win 2-0
  Stoke v Sunderland
  Sunderland remain in the bottom three but 2 wins from the last 3 matches have increased their points tally by 600%. Narrow victories over Newcastle and Man City have given Gus Poyet's side renewed hope but the question is can they translate their recent home form to on the road. They picked up a point at St Mary's early on in the season but the subsequent 4 away trips have yielded nothing. They probably deserved something from the game at Hull despite being reduced to 9 men before half-time which reflects largely on their improvement defensively. Wes Brown has been a key feature of that after returning to action at half-time in the afore-mentioned game at the KC Stadium. The Black Cats have no injuries but Cattermole and Dossena remain suspended. They travel to the Britannia where Stoke are also struggling and it isn't the fortress it once was. The Potters are just 3 points and 2 places better off than the Mackems and need to break a sequence of 8 top flight matches without a win. Both Ireland and Palacios are doubts after being subbed off in the draw at the Liberty last time out. Three draws in the last four has at least stopped the run of defeats but Mark Hughes needs a win to ease the pressure. A goalless draw is tempting but one goal could win this and current form indicates Sunderland might've turned the corner.
Away Win 0-1
Sat 17:30 West Ham v Chelsea
  Chelsea were mightily fortunate to hold on to their undefeated home record under Mourinho when hosting West Brom just prior to the international break. The Baggies came from behind to lead 2-1 only for referee Marriner to award an injury-time penalty to the home side. Mourinho is adamant the decision was a 'clear' penalty, a preposterous claim given that refereeing chief Mike Riley has subsequently apologised for the error. The eventual draw saw Chelsea's 100% home start to the domestic season slip by the wayside but it's their away form that is cause for concern. They've won just 1 of 5 away matches although it has to be said that their away fixtures haven't been easy; draws at Man Utd and Spurs mixed with defeats at Everton and Newcastle. On the road they're under pressure but their opponents this weekend are a West Ham side that've only won 1 of their 5 home fixtures. They've lost to Stoke, Everton and Man City and just recently they lost away ay Norwich after being a goal up at half-time. The Hammers just aren't scoring enough with Andy Carroll out injured and their defence has been weakened with Winston Reid's ankle injury expected to keep him out until the new year. Chelsea's main injury concern is Fernando Torres but they should have enough to beat a West Ham side not on top form.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 13:30 Man City v Tottenham
  City will be delighted they're playing at home considering they've lost 4 and drawn 1 of their 6 away fixtures so far this season. They slipped to 8th and 6 points off the lead after losing 1-0 at Sunderland with their away form solely responsible for their disappointing league position. However, at Eastlands they've a 100% record (5 wins from 5) with 20 goals scored and just 2 conceded. Hart has been dropped for the last 4 matches in all competitions after a costly mistake at Stamford Bridge but it remains to be seen whether he returns to the starting line-up after impressing, for the most part, on England duty against Germany. Jovetic, Kompany and Silva are all expected to miss out with injuries although Nastasic and Fernandinho could recover from knocks. They host a Tottenham side a point and place better off than themselves but sure to be disappointed after losing by a single goal at home to Newcastle. It was Spurs' third defeat of the season yet they've conceded only 6 times. Their problem has been scoring goals of their own (9 on the board) with just Sunderland and Palace having scored fewer. A reason has been a lack of supply to their preferred striker, Soldado, and they may need to play a different way especially with Eriksen ruled out for a short while with an ankle injury. If Spurs can hold out under concerted City pressure, they'll certainly pose a threat on the counter. Whilst City might not maintain their average of 4 goals a game on home soil, the likelihood is that they'll win unless the Spurs goal once again leads a charmed life.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 16:00 Cardiff v Man Utd
  With almost a third of the season gone, we're now getting a clearer picture of who's likely to succeed and those who aren't. Cardiff are 2 points above the relegation places and probably exceeding expectations considering they've beat Man City and arch-rivals Swansea. However, they host a United side who've done the opposite and not lived up to their high standards although recent results suggest that they've turned the corner. Moyes's side are now up to 5th after taking 13 points from the last 15 available with their most recent result the most telling; a single-goal victory over league leaders Arsenal not only puts them back in contention but their stock was boosted with Chelsea, Everton, Tottenham and City all dropping points. United are without Carrick and Welbeck with doubts over Jones, Van Persie and Vidic; personally I'd expect the Dutch striker to make it after withdrawing from the international friendlies with a groin problem whilst Vidic should be fine after a clash of heads in the win over the Gunners. My fear for Cardiff is that they've won their Cup final by beating Swansea and are unlikely to match the feat of beating City. They host Arsenal the weekend after this followed by 2 away fixtures, a run in which they're unlikely to improve their position. Everyone loves an underdog but United are returning to form and the outcome looks one-way.
Away Win 1-2
Mon 20:00 West Brom v Aston Villa
  A single goal separates these 2 sides in mid-table. Had the Baggies not been cheated of a win at Stamford Bridge by referee Andrew Marriner, they'd have a 2-point cushion over Villa. Referee chief Mike Riley has since apologised for the blunder by his Villa-supporting colleague; needless to say there's no danger he'll be in charge for this one. Both sides have had mixed results of late though West Brom have the slightly better form plus home advantage. The Baggies have lost just 1 of their last 8 Premier League fixtures, a heavy loss at Anfield, and were last beaten at home at the beginning of September by Swansea. No new injuries means Steve Clarke can name the same side that were denied victory over Chelsea plus rumour has it that youngster Berahino is set to sign a new contract earning him a significant pay rise. Opponents Villa ended a run of 4 top flight matches without a win by beating Cardiff 2-0 at Villa Park but their counter-attacking style means they've lost just 1 of 5 games on the road. A number of players are doubtful after suffering recent knocks including Benteke, Weimann, Agbonlahor, Guzan and Delph but the assumption is that Paul Lambert will have a strong squad available. Very difficult to pick a winner and was edging towards West Brom but given that it's a derby game, the draw's probably not a bad shout.
Draw 1-1

clear