Archived Premier League Tips (30th November 2013)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (30th November 2013)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 30th November to Sun 1st December 2013.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (30th Nov to 1st Dec 2013)

Sat 15:00 Aston Villa v Sunderland
  Still no win on the road for bottom side Sunderland after a 2-goal defeat at the Britannia. Wes Brown was sent off in that game but the FA have rightly overturned the red card and the centre-half will be available for the weekend. The Black Cats' fortunes have improved slightly with the appointment of Gus Poyet but the jury's still out on whether they can transfer any progress made at the Stadium of Light to on the road. The last time these two met was in April when Sunderland were hammered 6-1 at Villa Park whilst under the guidance of former manager Paolo Di Canio. Since that defeat the Mackems have lost the likes of Mignolet, Sessegnon, Graham and Rose but despite looking weaker on paper, you couldn't argue a case for a similar scoreline this time around. Villa staged a second-half comeback at the Hawthorns last weekend to rescue a point after Paul Lambert made a triple substitution. They dropped to 12th with other results going against them but have now gone 3 games without defeat. However, Villa's counter-attacking style has gone against them at home with them losing 4 of 6 matches at Villa Park. That said, Lambert has a strong squad available with Benteke, Agbonlahor and Weimann expected to form a 3-pronged attack whilst the combative Delph should return to bolster the midfield. A crucial game for both clubs but Villa should have the better of it.
Home Win 2-1
  Cardiff v Arsenal
  Arsenal extended their lead at the top of the table to 4 points after beating Southampton at the Emirates whilst Liverpool could only draw at Everton. The recent unexpected defeat at Old Trafford was a blemish on what has been a fantastic start to the season in which they've dropped just 8 points from their opening 12 fixtures; a huge turnaround after their opening day defeat at home to Villa. The Saints are no pushovers but it just goes to show how Wenger has improved his side defensively as well as retaining the cutting edge that has served so well; they've conceded just once in their last 5 matches in all competitions, that being the Van Persie header that cost them all 3 points against United. They top their Champions League group after beating Marseille 2-0 but need to avoid a 3-goal defeat in Naples to progress to the knockout stages. This weekend they travel to Cardiff aiming to go one better than last weekend's visitors, United, who had to settle for a draw after conceding an equaliser in injury time. The Bluebirds' home record is mixed but they've not lost there since Newcastle won in early October. Since then they've beaten arch-rivals Swansea and taken a point off the Champions. The thing about Cardiff is that they give their all until the final whistle, an attitude that has also earned them valuable points at home to City and away at Fulham this season. However, Arsenal have looked very strong and disciplined in recent matches and look capable of killing the game off after going ahead.
Away Win 0-2
  Everton v Stoke
  Three successive draws sees Everton slip to 7th after City smashed 6 past Tottenham. After 2 goalless affairs with Spurs and Palace, at least they rediscovered their goal touch in the 3-3 at home to Liverpool, Lukaku grabbing a brace. Despite dropping down the league, the Toffees have only tasted defeat once this season (at Eastlands) and have proved the hardest side to beat to date. Leighton Baines suffered a fractured toe in the draw with their Merseyside neighbours and could be out for anything up to six weeks. Martinez insists that they've other players who can fill that role but none will be as effective as the first choice left-back especially with trips coming up to Old Trafford and the Emirates. They host a Stoke side that ended a run of 8 games without a win by putting 2 goals past Sunderland without reply. However, the Potters' chances of victory were enhanced when Wes Brown was dismissed after 36 minutes for a perfectly good tackle. As a result they climbed to 14th and Mark Hughes sees a little of the pressure lifted. Stoke have lost just one of their last 5 matches but have only won 1 of 6 on the road. Ireland, Jones and Wilson are all doubts after missing the Sunderland victory through injury. This is a game that Everton should be looking to win against a side that are struggling to stay out of trouble.
Home Win 1-0
  Norwich v Crystal Palace
  Finally Palace bring in a new manager and Tony Pulis is the man tasked with keeping the Eagles in the top flight. The former Stoke boss has won promotion from all 3 English divisions with various clubs and proudly boasts a record of never having been relegated. Not surprising he's bullish about the chances of keeping Palace in the Premier League but they did themselves a great favour last weekend by winning away at Hull. That result moved them off the bottom of the table, their first points on the road this season, and above Sunderland on goal difference. Additionally they've now kept 2 clean sheets on the bounce and have the momentum that good results bring. They travel to Carrow Road where Norwich are just 3 places and 4 points better off. The Canaries failed to build on the home win over West Ham and a sloppy start at St James's Park let them down although they fought back in the second half to no avail. Hughton blames the concession of soft goals as well as accepting that they need to score more if they're to climb the table. Norwich's home form couldn't be more mixed with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their opening 6 fixtures at Carrow Road. Tettey and Van Wolfswinkel are out whilst Pilkington and Snodgrass remain doubts. Bolasie is suspended for Palace after his red card at Hull whilst Chamakh is also a doubt after sustaining a head injury in the same game. The Eagles will be buoyed by their new manager but Norwich are under pressure and a home win is a must.
Home Win 2-1
  West Ham v Fulham
  Just a few goals separate West Ham and Fulham either side of the drop zone with both clubs destined to battle against relegation for the remainder of the season. In the past Fulham's home form has always saved them from the drop but this season they've won just 1 of 6 at Craven Cottage and last weekend they lost 2-1 to Swansea. The Cottagers have now lost 4 games on the bounce and 6 of the last 8 leaving Martin Jol under increasing pressure. Many thought the appointment of Rene Meulensteen as head coach would help to turn things around but it's still too early to tell whether or not the move will have the desired impact. As stated before, West Ham aren't faring much better and were beaten 3-0 at home last weekend by Chelsea. The Hammers are clearly lacking goals, only Sunderland have scored fewer, but Nolan is having to lead the line with Carroll and Vaz Te out injured. Injuries at the other end haven't helped either with Winston Reid out after undergoing ankle surgery and Tomkins having to fill in alongside James Collins. Both sides have to go for the win but the telling factors have to be recent form and defensive records, both of which are in West Ham's favour, as well as home advantage. A much-needed win for West Ham and more pressure for Martin Jol.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 17:30 Newcastle v West Brom
  The Magpies have really kicked on in November winning 3 games in succession to lift themselves up to 8th in the table. The latest result was a comfortable win over Norwich but it was the preceding 2 victories over Chelsea and Spurs, both with clean sheets, that made people sit up and take notice. Until then they'd been largely inconsistent but Pardew's test will come in January when he'll have to hang on to his key players. Newcastle have lost just 1 of their last 6 matches and only 1 home game has ended in defeat. Coloccini came back into the winning team against Norwich with Yanga-Mbiwa replacing Debuchy but the left-back returns from suspension and the afore-mentioned Yanga-Mbiwa or Williamson are likely to drop out; a shame considering the centre-half pairing has done well in Coloccini's absence although Krul probably takes most of the credit. Their opponents, West Brom, have only been beaten once in their last 9 Premier League fixtures although 5 draws in that sequence leaves them in 11th position. They were 2 goals up at home to Villa on Monday night but a Paul Lambert triple substitution turned the game in Villa's favour leaving the Baggies to settle for a point. The weekend before they again could only draw after an undeserved penalty deprived them of all 3 points at Stamford Bridge. Liam Ridgewell has an outside chance of returning to the starting line-up after missing the Villa match with a calf injury. Whilst Newcastle appear to have hit some form, West Brom have only lost a single away game this season and should be strong enough to take something off the home side.
Draw 1-1
Sat 12:00 Tottenham v Man Utd
  After the midweek 5-goal demolition of Leverkusen, David Moyes added that there's more to come; weekend opponents Spurs should be running scared after their own 6-goal beating at the Etihad last weekend. United have been improving week on week and the crushing victory in Germany sealed their progression to the Champions League knockout stages. Their away record hasn't always been so convincing and just last weekend a late Kim header saw them held at Cardiff. Two defeats and a draw from their 6 Premier League away fixtures has contributed to their lowly 6th position but they've not been beaten in their last 6 top flight matches and will want to follow in the footsteps of their arch-rivals last weekend. Tottenham are down to 9th after their recent humiliation and AVB's post-match 'ashamed' comment summed up the mood. Again Spurs were masters of their own downfall but the manager's chopping and changing suggests he's not sure of his best side. The insistence on playing a lone striker isn't paying off with midfield dominance culminating in few chances. Bringing on Adebayor was a sign of desperation and rumours that Defoe could move to Canada in January will do little to lift the gloom. One bookie has already made AVB favourite to be sacked next whilst Hoddle's odds for the job have been drastically reduced. If their best eleven players are beaten at home by United the manager's job will be under even more pressure. Spurs haven't won a Premier League match in November and another defeat would be their third on the trot. Eriksen and Rose are out for Tottenham whilst Carrick, Vidic and Van Persie are doubts for United. Anything is possible but United have the momentum.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 14:05 Hull v Liverpool
  A draw at Merseyside rivals Everton last weekend meant that Liverpool slipped to 4 points behind league leaders Arsenal despite hanging on to second place. Whilst the Reds' home form has generally been good, their away results have been mixed even though they've lost on the road just the once; a 2-goal defeat at the Emirates. Despite only managing to draw with the Toffees, it was another game in which both Suarez and Sturridge scored; Aguero is single-handedly preventing the Liverpool strike pair from topping the Premier League scoring charts. Rodgers doesn't always opt to play with the two strikers but he may risk a more offensive approach at newly promoted Hull. The Tigers fell to their first home defeat of the season last weekend and it was all the more surprising considering they were beaten by then bottom side Crystal Palace. Steve Bruce's side struggled to create much but were close to netting an equaliser late on only for the woodwork to preserve Palace's lead. It wasn't the confidence boost Hull needed prior to the visit of one of the big sides and they need to arrest the slump of four defeats in the last five. Enrique is expected to be out for 10 weeks after undergoing knee surgery whilst Hull's Aluko is out for a similar period with an achilles problem. Though Hull have only conceded twice at home this season, Liverpool should be backed to find a way through.
Away Win 0-2
Sun 16:10 Chelsea v Southampton
  Chelsea's mixed form on the road continued in the Champions League this week at Basel where they lost out to a late goal. However, with other results going their way progression through to the knockout stages is guaranteed regardless of their final group fixture at home to Steaua Bucharest. Mourinho blamed tiredness for the defeat after keeping the same side that won 3-0 at Upton Park last weekend. That suggests a number of changes for Sunday's game at home to Southampton. At Stamford Bridge their form had been untarnished until the recent visit by West Brom; the Baggies were 2-1 ahead going into injury time only for referee Andre Marriner to blow for a dubious penalty. It was duly converted by Eden Hazard to keep Mourinho's unbeaten home record intact. Torres is likely to start this one in place of Eto'o who sustained a groin problem in Basel. Opponents Southampton succumbed to their first defeat in 9 matches when they visited Arsenal last weekend. The result was expected given the Gunners' quality but Boruc's mistake proved key; however they still boast the tightest defence in the top division having conceded just 7 times in 12 games. Additionally centre-half Lovren missed the Arsenal game through illness and left-back Shaw was substituted at half-time but both are thought to have recovered. Southampton's defence is obviously vital to their recent success and having those two back will be a welcome boost. Looking at the form for both sides it's difficult to argue against the Saints getting something from this game especially considering they've already won at Anfield and drawn at Old Trafford this season.
Draw 1-1
  Man City v Swansea
  City qualified for the knockout stages of the Champions League with a midweek 4-2 win over Viktoria Plzen but Pellegrini has urged his side to improve defensively if they want to progress further in the competition. On the domestic front City moved up to 4th after smashing Spurs 6-0 at the Etihad, further confirmation that they're a formidable side at home with their previous result a 7-0 win over Norwich. They remain the only side in the top flight with a 100% home record although their away form needs to improve if they're to realistically challenge for the title. Hart was back between the sticks for the midweek victory and Pellegrini has been quick to quash rumours of a possible swap deal with Stoke's Begovic in January. Lescott made a rare appearance this week but City's defensive options have been restricted with Kompany out with a thigh problem and Nastasic hauled off at half-time last weekend. They host a Swansea side up to 10th after a good win at Craven Cottage. On the road the Swans are yet to draw with 3 wins and 3 defeats but you can't help thinking that this is likely to end the way of the latter. Hernandez hopes to return from injury for the Europa League tie with Valencia but Michu is still out with an ankle problem. Commitment to the Europa League has definitely had an adverse impact on Swansea's season and a day's less rest than their opponents is hardly likely to do them any favours at Eastlands come Sunday. Going on recent City home results, a victory for Pellegrini's men is not in doubt, the question is just by how many?
Home Win 3-0

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