Archived Premier League Tips (21st September 2013)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (21st September 2013)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 21st to Sun 22nd September 2013.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (21st to 22nd Sep 2013)

Sat 12:45 Norwich v Aston Villa
  Just a point and a couple of places separate these 2 clubs in the bottom half of the table but it's too early to judge if their current respective positions are likely to improve or whether there's a season of struggle in store. Villa have had a nightmare 4 opening fixtures to contend with and did well to take 3 points at the Emirates on the opening day but defeat at home to what had been a lacklustre Newcastle will have the dissenters shouting doom and gloom. However, Villa's play doesn't deserve that label although Lambert has been dealt a blow of a different sort. Centre-half Jores Okore could miss the rest of the season with cruciate ligament damage and the manager may have to dip into the loan market as they don't have an awful lot of experience in that area. Their opponents, Norwich, remain unbeaten at home after drawing with Everton and beating Southampton but they were under the cosh for large parts of the game last weekend at White Hart Lane. The Canaries have scored just 3 top flight goals this season although new signings Ricky Van Wolfswinkel and Nathan Redmond have both got off the mark. The only injury of any note for Chris Hughton is Elliott Bennett who's been ruled out for a couple of months with a knee problem. A game that could go either way with the draw a realistic option.
Draw 1-1
Sat 15:00 Liverpool v Southampton
  Liverpool maintained their undefeated record this season despite their 100% record slipping at the Liberty on Monday night. However, ex-player Jonjo Shelvey kept them in the game with a couple of costly mistakes. The Reds leapt back to the top of the table with their leading margin cut to a single point but more ominously they conceded for the first time in 4 top flight matches. Daniel Sturridge scored for the 4th successive Premier League game but Rodgers will soon have a decision to make with Suarez serving the last of a 10-match suspension. Expect Kolo Toure to return to a starting berth in defence at the expense of Martin Skrtel. They host a Southampton side struggling to find the back of the net having scored just twice in 4 top flight games. One goal was enough to win on the opening day at the Hawthorns and another goal has subsequently been good enough to yield them a further two points but it must be a cause for concern. Defensively the Saints have looked sound although Wanyama's hopes of Champions League football may seem a trifle optimistic. Luke Shaw should recover from the ankle injury that saw him subbed off against West Ham leaving Pochettino with a full squad fit for selection. As much as Southampton look tight and cohesive, I can see Liverpool nicking it with another Sturridge finish.
Home Win 1-0
  Newcastle v Hull
  Newcastle moved up to 8th after their deserved 2-1 victory at Villa Park. Hatem Ben Arfa proved the catalyst in midfield with Pardew claiming that it's the first time he's been able to put out a really offensive side since Demba Ba left. With Yohan Cabaye back in the starting eleven and apologies made for refusing to play last month, expect the much-missed midfielder to be welcomed back at St James's Park with open arms. The Magpies don't have another player like him and his link-up with more forward thinking players should pay dividends in the weeks ahead. Steven Taylor is back from suspension but it's unlikely he'll displace Yanga-Mbiwa at centre-half. They host a Hull side desperate to prove that they'll be no pushovers this season. They remain undefeated at the KC with a win and a draw over Norwich and Cardiff respectively. However, the Tigers are yet to take a point on the road; not surprising given their trips to Stamford Bridge and Eastlands although Steve Bruce's men weren't rolled over as easily as one might've expected. It's important that Hull's key players remain injury-free and to date they're managing to do that but Newcastle away is a tough trip, just as the Magpies are finally gaining some confidence.
Home Win 1-0
  West Brom v Sunderland
  Just 4 games into the season and we've a bottom of the table clash between 2 sides not necessarily expected to be in that position. West Brom are bottom on a single point whilst Sunderland are just a point and a place better off. Given the way both clubs have started the season, they can't have too many complaints regarding what is probably a fair reflection on the way they've played. The Baggies salvaged a point last weekend at Fulham thanks to an injury-time equaliser from Gareth McAuley but 2 points and just 1 goal in 4 top flight matches highlights where their problems lie; scoring has been at a premium and the quicker Long recovers from a hamstring injury the better. So far strikers Anichebe and Anelka have been unable to do what McAuley has achieved. Sunderland have suffered similarly but managed to score 3 times despite losing 3 of their 4 opening fixtures. At least Steven Fletcher has netted since returning from injury but there's a lot of pressure on the ex-Wolves striker to get the goals that'll keep them up. There's a doubt over Giaccherini but O'Shea returns from a 1-match suspension to shore up a shaky defence. Much improvement needed from both parties but difficult to see where the goals will come from.
Draw 0-0
  West Ham v Everton
  Three successive draws to open their campaign and we thought Everton would be up against it at home to Chelsea but the Toffees kept yet another clean sheet and sent Mourinho's men packing with nil points. Martinez's side have now kept 3 clean sheets on the bounce but they've problems to solve at the other end of the pitch. Naismith's header was enough to beat Chelsea but the Toffees' front line are once again struggling. On-loan Lukaku was ineligible to play against his parent club and I can't see any reason why he shouldn't start at Upton Park. The Hammers are struggling to score also, a concern that Sam Allardyce has admitted to. Andy Carroll has an ongoing foot injury, free transfer signing Mladen Petric isn't fit leaving Modibo Maiga as a lone striker but the Malian rarely troubled the Southampton defence in the recent goalless draw at St Mary's. Over the course of their 4 Premier League matches to date, West Ham have conceded just the once but only scored twice; both goals coming in their opening day victory at home to Cardiff. With both defences conceding very little and goals in short supply, it's difficult to look beyond the draw and a goalless one at that.
Draw 0-0
Sat 17:30 Chelsea v Fulham
  Chelsea fell to their first defeat of the season at Goodison last weekend with Mourinho blaming poor finishing for the loss despite dominating the game. It was Mata's first start of the season and, along with Schuurle, was the first to be substituted on 57 minutes. It seems Mata only played because other players were recovering from international duty but on this evidence it's the unlikely the Spanish midfielder will be first choice. Chelsea set out to win this match unlike at Old Trafford where they settled for a point; Mourinho pointing out prior to the game that the potential reward of 3 points outweighed the risk. It backfired on this occasion but expect him to adopt the same approach at home to Fulham. The Cottagers have been fairly poor this season despite winning at Sunderland on the opening day thanks to a solitary attack. Since then they've lost at home to Arsenal and away at Newcastle and were leading at home to West Brom only to concede an injury-time McAuley equaliser. That must've felt like a defeat but their plight was worsened with Berbatov suffering a hamstring strain and Ruiz an ankle injury. Berbatov could possibly recover for the trip to Stamford Bridge but Ruiz has had ligament damage confirmed and is definitely out. Everything taken into account, a comfortable Chelsea win is likely.
Home Win 2-0
Sun 13:30 Arsenal v Stoke
  It didn't take long for Arsenal's marquee signing, Mesut Ozil, to make a significant contribution. Not surprisingly the German provided the assist for Arsenal's first goal in their 3-1 win at the Stadium of Light building further on his established reputation. The Gunners have a glut of talent in midfield and a good job too considering that Cazorla, Diaby, Arteta, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Podolski and Rosicky are all expected to miss this game through injury. Wenger was exceedingly fortunate that Flamini came knocking on the door as a holding midfielder was one position where they really struggled. Aaron Ramsey has also been a revelation this season scoring a brace at Sunderland taking his season tally to 5 in all competitions. Since their opening day defeat at home to Villa, Arsenal have now won all of their last 5 competitive matches and are likely to continue that run at home to Stoke. That said, the Potters aren't playing too badly themselves and like their opponents, haven't been beaten since an opening day loss at Anfield. Hughes has been successful in changing Stoke's brand of football and last weekend they were the better side at home to Man City despite having to settle for a goalless draw. They've conceded just twice in the Premier League this season and Hughes will be able to select his strongest squad come the weekend. This match promises to be exciting (a word not normally associated with Stoke) although Arsenal will find the Potters tough to break down but such is the potency of the Gunners' attack that something surely has to give. I doubt Wenger's men can keep the door shut at the other end but they may have enough to pinch a valuable 3 points although they won't want any more injuries.
Home Win 2-1
  Crystal Palace v Swansea
  Palace had done well in containing United at Old Trafford until a controvertial penalty swung the game in United's favour. The offence took place outside the area but the blow had further implications with Dikgacoi red-carded. That means the midfielder is suspended for this fixture and misses out along with those on Palace's substantial injury list. At Selhurst Park the Eagles have lost one and won one but they're having to fight hard for every point; they gave a brave account of themselves against Spurs despite losing and ran out worthy winners against Sunderland. However, the visit of Swansea represents another tough fixture. The Swans had a very difficult opening to the season but picked up points where you'd expect them to. Ex-Liverpool midfielder Shelvey was the focus of Monday night's action at home to his old side playing both hero and villain. Whilst netting the first and having a hand in Swansea's second, he also managed to gift the Reds two vital goals in return. Bony was subbed off early in that game with a possible back problem and Hernandez is a doubt with a hamstring injury but once Swansea get their passing game together they should have too much for the home side.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 16:00 Cardiff v Tottenham
  The Bluebirds came back against newly promoted rivals Hull to claim their 5th point of the season. Despite losing at West Ham on the opening day, Cardiff appear to have settled well after putting together a 3-match unbeaten run including that 3-2 win over Man City. Craig Bellamy missed the draw at Hull and remains a doubt with an injury sustained whilst on international duty. Cardiff have already proved that they can mix it with the best but this will be another stern test against a Tottenham side sitting 3rd in the table after 3 wins and a defeat from their opening 4 matches. Against Norwich, Spurs finally showed their true colours and Eriksen, on his debut, was the pivotal piece in the jigsaw linking midfield and attack to great effect. The only surprise was that Townsend started in front of Lamela but the English winger's pace got him the nod even though he may feature in future weeks as more of an impact substitute. It should also be noted that Tottenham's defence has proved difficult to break down despite some hairy moments; they've conceded just a single goal in 6 competitive games this season. A big factor in that regard has to be their control of matches from midfield. With European football an integral part of their season, it's difficult to name Spurs' starting line-up but they look better equipped to handle European and domestic football. Spurs to do enough to secure the 3 points.
Away Win 0-1
  Man City v Man Utd
  Man City got their Champions League campaign off to a victorious start in the Czech Republic after not winning any of their six fixtures in last season's group stages. Kompany returned from injury to partner Nastasic at the back and the result was a clean sheet and a comfortable win. The Belgian defender provides the defensive stability that City have missed recently, especially in the defeat at Cardiff, and his return couldn't have been better timed than prior to the visit of arch-rivals United. United too looked good in midweek Champions League action with a 4-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen. Rooney was the architect and his brace took him to 200 goals for the club; despite his wishes to leave during the summer, all that seems to be behind him and he's playing some of the best football he has done for a while. The concern is in the United defence where they're occasionally guilty of minor lapses. Ferdinand and Vidic remain the preferred central partnership but a goal conceded at Anfield saw them leave with nothing and they let in two at home to the Germans this week. No doubt United are confident of outscoring opponents but their defensive mistakes could cost them against better class opposition. Two key factors in City's favour are the return of Kompany and home advantage; whilst the margins will be fine, City might just have the edge on this occasion.
Home Win 2-1

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