Archived Premier League Tips (5th October 2013)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (5th October 2013)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 5th to Sun 6th October 2013.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (5th to 6th Oct 2013)

Sat 12:45 Man City v Everton
  After losing at Cardiff in their first away match of the season, City appeared to have recovered and were once again looking like genuine title contenders especially after their 4-1 demolition of neighbours United. However, their fragility on the road came back to haunt them at Villa Park. City totally dominated the first half and went into the interval a goal up thanks to a set piece. A suspicion of offside cost them the equaliser but poor defending from then on saw them eventually lose a game they should've won. Back at Eastlands where they've a 100% domestic record so far this season, you could be forgiven for thinking that the visit of Everton is something of a foregone conclusion but the midweek defeat to Bayern Munich rang a few alarm bells. Whilst Bayern might be the current Champions League title holders, City's midweek performance was full of errors with keeper Joe Hart deemed most culpable. Their opponents, Everton, remain the only undefeated Premier League side to date and are up to 4th in the table after 3 straight wins. Finally Martinez started with Lukaku up front and the just reward was a brace for the on loan striker but his interplay with young midfielder Ross Barkley was an added bonus. Newcastle aren't the greatest defensive side but there should be a few concerns that the Toffees conceded twice after going into the break 3 goals up. Everton have drawn 2 of their 3 top flight games on the road this season 0-0, winning the other at West Ham, but were beaten at Fulham in the League Cup. There's every possibility that they can get something from this game but Pellegrini will be demanding answers and it's difficult to go against City on home soil.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 15:00 Cardiff v Newcastle
  A fine long range effort in the last minute from Jordon Mutch nicked all 3 points for the Bluebirds last weekend at Craven Cottage. It was only Cardiff's second win of the season, the other was at home to Man City, and keeps them mid-table. As defender Ben Turner says, Malky Mackay's side are no 'soft touch' and any victories over them will be well earned. Cardiff have lost just 2 of their opening 6 top flight matches and those defeats were no walkovers. Mackay is able to name an unchanged side from the one that won at Fulham as they host a Newcastle side dropping down the table after suffering defeats at home to Hull and away at Everton. In both games the Magpies lost by 3 goals to 2 with Yohan Cabaye having a strong influence in the final third but their back four has been guilty of some poor defending. Yanga-Mbiwa was replaced by Williamson at half-time at Goodison and may not start at Cardiff. Gutierrez, Steven Taylor and Shola Ameobi are all expected to miss this game with various injuries but Loic Remy should continue up front after netting his third top flight goal for the club. A tight game in which both parties would probably be happy with a draw.
Draw 1-1
  Fulham v Stoke
  Though the Premier League is currently living up to its 'unpredictability' tag, this has to go down as the trickiest game of the weekend to foretell. After defeat at home to Cardiff last weekend, Fulham find themselves in the drop zone and there are rumours that Martin Jol privately believes his time at Craven Cottage may be up. They've taken just a single point from their last 4 Premier League matches and their usually reliable home form has deserted them. Bryan Ruiz returned from injury to score a cracking equaliser against the Bluebirds but Parker limped off early in that game and will likely see Karagounis start in his place. The Cottagers host a Stoke side shockingly beaten, like themselves, at home to Norwich last weekend. Mark Hughes's side are only 3 points better off but haven't won in the top flight since August although there's no sign that the manager is in danger of losing his job. The Potters have scored just 4 times in 6 Premier League matches, none of those by a striker, and Hughes surely has to ring the changes up front. Other than that, Etherington could return to the bench after suffering whiplash in a recent car crash. Cases can be made for both sides winning this one which makes the draw tempting.
Draw 1-1
  Hull v Aston Villa
  Just a point and a place separates these two clubs in the top half of the table. Both grabbed important victories last weekend although Villa's win, with key players missing, has to go down as the more impressive. Hull's victory over West Ham was a little fortuitous in that Brady scored from a penalty that never was and the Hammers were denied a blatant spot-kick of their own. The Tigers are yet to lose at the KC Stadium this season but on all occasions a single goal has been enough to at least give them a share of the spoils. Other than the dive, Brady has impressed but aggravating a groin injury means the Irish midfielder could miss this match although rumours indicate that a pain-killing injection could see him play. Other players to impress have been the ex-Tottenham pair of Tom Huddlestone and Jake Livermore who're benefitting from playing on a regular basis. Opponents Villa have proved they're a handful on the road this season with wins at Arsenal and Norwich. They've proved adept at soaking up the pressure and striking with pace on the counter. Man City played into their hands last weekend dominating possession; despite scoring twice from set-pieces and leading on two occasions, they were easily caught out by Villa who nicked all 3 points. Benteke's hip injury is likely to keep him sidelined but Agbonlahor could recover although Kozak and Weimann have done well in their absence. With the onus on Hull to drive the game, Villa will feel confident that they can make any opportunities count.
Away Win 0-1
  Liverpool v Crystal Palace
  Suarez had the bit back firmly between his teeth at the Stadium of Light last weekend after returning from a 10-match suspension. His partnership with Sturridge looks stronger that ever as they netted 3 goals between them. The Reds currently lie 2nd on equal points with 3rd-placed Spurs and have suffered just a single Premier League defeat this season, surprisingly at home to Southampton. That said, they also lost in the League Cup at Old Trafford despite being the better side. Rodgers is still without several influential players but with the reunited SAS up front, you'd expect them to put second-from-bottom Palace to the sword. The Eagles have battled well so far this campaign but the bare fact remains that a home over over bottom side Sunderland represents their sole points from 6 games. Palace's injuries show no signs of easing but at least Holloway's bigger players remain fit; the problem is lack of options and game-changers when the match starts to drift away. This league has taught us that anyone can win on their day but considering anything other than a home victory would seem madness!
Home Win 2-0
Sat 17:30 Sunderland v Man Utd
  Hard to believe but United are currently 12th in the table after last weekend's defeat to West Brom at Old Trafford. The Baggies hadn't won at the Theatre of Dreams since 1978 and it just emphasises the size of the task facing new manager David Moyes. United's defending was abysmal in that game with Ferdinand and Buttner particularly to blame; the way Amalfitano went past Rio was pure embarrasment. The one shining light was Wayne Rooney's performance (yet again) but injury, along with Ferdinand, ruled him out of their midweek draw in Donetsk. Moyes will be hoping he's fit enough to link up with Van Persie at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland remained bottom of the pile after their 3-1 defeat at home to Liverpool. They've taken just a single point from 6 top flight matches (a draw at Southampton), a sequence which saw Di Canio fired but Kevin Ball stays in charge for this despite last weekend's defeat. Cattermole has come back into the frame to bolster the midfield but another injury to Steven Fletcher sees Jozy Altidore the likely starter up front. The one positive has been Emanuele Giaccherini who's hit the back of the net 3 times this season, 2 in the league and the other in the Capital One Cup. Despite losing, the Black Cats' performance against Liverpool demonstrated much improvement on what had gone before; more shots on goal and some fighting spirit in midfield. That said, they lacked a cutting edge and looked vulnerable on the counter. RVP and Rooney are bound to sniff out any opportunities and that extra quality is likely to be the difference. An upturn in fortune for David Moyes.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 13:30 Norwich v Chelsea
  Chelsea bounced back from the 1-0 defeat at Everton and 2-1 loss at home to Basel with a narrow win over Fulham, a creditable draw at Spurs and an emphatic win in Bucharest. They're currently 5th in the Premier League table, 4 points behind leaders Arsenal, and hope is renewed though not assured of further progress in the Chanmpions League. Mourinho is finding out more about the players he's inherited; Mata no longer seems surplus to requirements, Torres's passion has been reignited and De Bruyne could possibly be on his way. Mata turned the game in Chelsea's favour at White Hart Lane and started in Romania, a game in which De Bruyne didn't even travel. Torres was sent off in the draw at Spurs though not for the right reasons and is suspended for this fixture but a knee injury sustained at Steaua will keep him out until after the international break. Hazard missed that game with an ankle problem but should be fit for the weekend. They travel to Carrow Road where Norwich looked in deep trouble until they pulled a win out of the bag at Stoke. Hughton's job was allegedly on the line but the win will have given his side a boost ahead of hosting Chelsea and the game at Arsenal following the World Cup qualifiers. It was only the Canaries' second win of the season whilst results at home have been mixed. They failed to kick on after the win over Southampton with defeats at Spurs and at home to Villa; only time will tell if the victory over Stoke can galvanise them against the Blues. Bassong, Garrido and Redmond are all doubts with injuries and even should they play, any sort of result against Chelsea is unlikely.
Away Win 1-2
  Southampton v Swansea
  I expect both these sides to finish the season in the top half of the table even though Swansea are currently 13th on 7 points. The Swans have had a tough start to the season playing the likes of United, Spurs, Liverpool and Arsenal in their first 6 games plus they've had the distraction of Europa League football. Laudrup's side are faring well on the European stage; their 3-0 win in Valencia a sign of just how far they can go in the competition. Ashley Williams and Angel Rangel both missed the home defeat to Arsenal with ankle injuries but will hopefully return for the clash with Southampton. The Saints rose to 6th in the table after back-to-back wins away at Liverpool and at home to Palace. Southampton have some pretty impressive stats behind them; they're undefeated in all competitions since the start of September, not conceding a goal in that period, and have only conceded 3 goals in all competitions this season. The only criticism you could possibly level at them is they're not currently scoring enough but the win over Palace saw Lambert net his first since the opening day victory at West Brom and Dani Osvaldo score his first for the club. A tough test for both clubs and a score draw wouldn't be the unlikeliest of outcomes.
Draw 1-1
Sun 16:00 Tottenham v West Ham
  Spurs fought out a creditable draw at home to Chelsea last weekend despite being under the cosh for much of the second half. That point saw them drop to third on equal points with 2nd-placed Liverpool and 2 points behind league leaders Arsenal. Tottenham have a midweek Europa League fixture to contend with but such is their strength within the squad after the summer transfer window that they shouldn't be unduly concerned come Sunday. Rose and Kaboul could come back into contention after injuries leaving Villas-Boas with the right kind of selection problems all over the park. In all competitions Spurs have conceded just 2 goals this season and last weekend's draw at home to Chelsea was their first dropped points at White Hart Lane this campaign. They host a West Ham side that rightly felt cheated at the KC Stadium last weekend. A penalty was wrongly given against them whilst the officials managed to miss a blatant Livermore handball at the other end. The Hammers have been involved in some very close games but not won since their opening day victory over Cardiff at Upton Park. Part of the problem is down to a lack of striking options, highlighted by Andy Caroll's injury, and rumours persist that Carlton Cole is still an option if he manages to prove his fitness. Joe Cole is another big miss on the creative side with a hamstring problem. Whilst Spurs undoubtedly have the advantage in quality, this is a derby fixture and won't be as one-sided as the teamsheets possibly suggest; you can guarantee that Kevin Nolan will be sticking his foot in. A narrow win for Tottenham with plenty of graft from both sides.
Home Win 1-0
  West Brom v Arsenal
  Since that shock opening day defeat at Villa Park, Arsenal have won their last 10 games in all competitions if you include winning the League Cup penalty shootout at the Hawthorns only a week or so ago. That winning sequence also includes Champions League victories over Fenerbahce, Marseille and most recently Napoli. Going back to that earlier Capital One Cup encounter, both the Baggies and Arsenal were under strength but you'd feel that comparatively the Gunners probably have more ammunition at their disposal come the weekend. The Arsenal injury list has abated a little with Arteta and Ramsey returning which gives Wenger massive options in midfield with Ramsey, Wilshere, Flamini and Ozil. Arteta provides a more defensive midfield alternative whilst German teenager, Serge Gnabry, is rapidly growing in confidence after scoring the opener at Swansea last weekend. Arsenal's top spot is thoroughly deserved but the pressure is on them to stay there. West Brom are now up to mid-table on the back of their fabulous win at Old Trafford but it's difficult to see any side defending quite as badly as United did last weekend; well, maybe neighbours City were on a par! Amalfitano could sign permanently whilst we knew it wouldn't be long before Berahino played top flight football after netting a hat-trick in the League Cup against Newport at the end of August. After a dodgy start the Baggies have now gone 3 Premier League matches unbeaten although a number of players are unavailable to Steve Clarke. West Brom may well score but I can see Arsenal having the final say.
Away Win 1-2

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