Archived Premier League Tips (20th September 2014)

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Premier League Football Betting Tips

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 20th to Sun 21st September 2014.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (20th to 21st Sep 2014)

Sat 12:45 QPR v Stoke
  Hard to believe that Stoke can win at the Etihad one weekend only to lose at home to newly promoted Leicester in their next Premier League match. However, it's a typical tactic employed by sides away from home to strike with pace on the counter whilst keeping the back door shut. The Potters, usually so strong at the Britannia, have been sucker-punched at home twice now by Villa and Leicester respectively. Liverpool also suffered the same fate this weekend at home to Villa. Defences are much more organised but as Mark Hughes rightly says, they need to find a way to break down teams when the onus is on them to force the play. That said, they travel to Loftus Road this weekend where QPR have proved themselves far from organised defensively. Two four-goal defeats at Spurs and United underlined their frailties at the back whilst they've only a Charlie Austin goal to show for their effort in four matches to date; at least that goal earned them three points at home to Sunderland. Unbelievably United have mentioned the title after comfortably beating Rangers but the R's were extremely poor and Redknapp has his work cut out keeping them in the top flight. Barton is a doubt with a hamstring problem whilst Faurlin has been ruled out for the rest of the season with a cruciate ligament injury. Stoke's Odemwingie has suffered a similar fate though Ireland is close to a return. QPR desperately need to improve but this is a good opportunity for the Potters to take maximum points.
Away Win 0-1
Sat 15:00 Aston Villa v Arsenal
  Even in September the league table doesn't lie and currently Villa find themselves second to Chelsea and 5 places and 4 points better off than this weekend's opponents Arsenal. The Villans remain undefeated after four games, winning away at Stoke and Liverpool with classic counter-attacking play. There's a change in the atmosphere at Villa Park built on solid defensive performances coupled with a combative midfield and pace up front. And that's without Benteke who's battling back to full fitness after returning from injury. Lambert will be hoping that Ron Vlaar returns to partner Senderos at the back after missing the win at Anfield with a calf problem. The Gunners haven't hit form as yet despite signing some high-profile players. They remain undefeated in the top flight but their only victory came at home against Palace on the opening day. The recent draw at home to City was a fair result but they were leading 2-1 with 7 minutes to go after coming from behind. There was also midweek disappointment in Germany as they fell to a 2-goal defeat at Dortmund in their first Champions League group fixture. Wilshere turned an ankle in that game and remains a doubt despite completing the full 90 minutes. Despite playing away from home Arsenal will feel they need to force the play which could easily suit Villa. If both Gunners' full-backs attack as they've been prone to do it'll leave lots of space for Villa to break into and this is another potential scalp for the home side.
Home Win 1-0
  Burnley v Sunderland
  Both sides are still without a win after four matches respectively. Considering that Burnley have faced Chelsea, Swansea and United they've not done too bad to get a couple of points on the board. However, it's obvious that they're struggling to score with Scott Arfield's effort at home to the Blues on the opening day their only goal so far in the top flight. They've defended well but the bottom line is that decent forwards cost money and the Clarets need goals if they're to survive. Sunderland are the visitors to Turf Moor off the back of a 2-2 draw at home to Tottenham. Despite struggling to contain a fluent Spurs side, the Mackems twice managed to come from behind showing that they've goals in the side. Most influential was the wingplay of Adam Johnson who jinked his way in off the left wing to net the first equaliser. Wickham is yet to hit the heights of last season's finale but if the wingers keep providing then the goals will surely come. Other results have included draws against West Brom and United plus a single-goal defeat at Loftus Road. Poyet has a fully fit squad available to him and whilst not yet convinced about their Premier League start they've goals in them which Burnley seem to be missing.
Away Win 0-1
  Newcastle v Hull
  The Magpies go into their fifth top flight match of the season without a win and propping up the rest of the table. We'd talked last week about the back three of Krul, Coloccini and Williamson providing continuity from last season but the trio were poor at St Mary's. Guilty of sowing the seeds of their own downfall with schoolboy mistakes, Southampton took advantage from the off by taking the game to Newcastle and could've had more. As well as being a mess defensively they were unconvincing at the other end and have only scored in one of their four matches to date. Not surprisingly media speculation is rife that Pardew has this game to save his job despite owner Ashley publicly backing him. They take on a Hull side that won at St James's Park last season although Newcastle got their revenge earlier this year at the KC. Despite looking an improved side the Tigers have just the one win to their name this season, a single-goal victory on the opening day at QPR. Twice they led last Monday night at home to West Ham but on both occasions were pulled back having to settle for a point for the second time in as many home fixtures. However, new striker Hernandez looked very able scoring on his debut along with Diame who moved from Upton Park on transfer deadline day. This Hull side promises much given the workrate and defensive organisation but goals are the one commodity that Bruce finally looks to have found the answer to. Ben Arfa is ineligible to play against his parent club whilst Newcastle still have a number of players out including Gutierrez, Santon, Cisse and De Jong. The Magpies are in disarray and Hull will be looking to take full advantage.
Away Win 0-1
  Swansea v Southampton
  Something had to give at Stamford Bridge last weekend, two sides going toe to toe with 100% records. Unfortunately for Swansea they came off worse in a 4-2 defeat but they took the game to Chelsea from the off and even led courtesy of a Terry own goal. Had they gone into the interval ahead they might've stood a chance but a goal from Costa on the stroke of half-time turned the fixture in the home side's favour. The Swans' lofty third position doesn't flatter them in the slightest after four games as they've proved themselves an entertaining side to watch. This weekend they host a Southampton side who are also being held in high regard after impressing under the stewardship of Ronald Koeman. The Dutchman has undertaken a major rebuilding project but the new players have gelled well and improved despite losing on the opening day at Anfield. Last weekend they took Newcastle apart with striker Pelle grabbing a brace and midfield kingpin, Morgan Schneiderlin, hitting a sublime third goal of the season. It might be early in the campaign but this is actually third versus fourth and such a mouthwatering fixure could even make it first on Match of the Day. Two well-matched sides with little to choose between them.
Draw 1-1
Sat 17:30 West Ham v Liverpool
  The midweek win over Ludogerets flattered Liverpool in that a stoppage-time penalty from Steven Gerrard was enough to seal the points in their opening Champions League fixture. Last weekend they weren't so fortunate and Villa had little problem shutting them out whilst snatching a winner at the other end. Balotelli is no doubt adjusting to life back in the Premier League and marked Wednesday's game with a goal but the absence of Sturridge was noticeable with the English striker possibly out for another three weeks. Another big miss in last weekend's defeat was centre-half Skrtel and he remains a doubt for the trip to Upton Park. A mixed bag then for Liverpool's start with two victories and two defeats. Opponents West Ham have struggled to get the merits that their play's deserved; on top for much of the opening fixture against Spurs they succumbed to a late winner and in their most recent home game were well beaten by a good Southampton side. On the road they've fared better with victory at Selhurst Park and a draw last Monday at Hull but their home form doesn't read well. Whilst any belief in Liverpool's title challenge still requires some convincing, the Reds were by far the superior side at White Hart Lane in their most recent away fixture and coupled with West Ham's home form an away victory looks likely.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 13:30 Leicester v Man Utd
  Just a few goals separates these two sides in the Premier League table but in financial terms the two clubs are poles apart. That said, it was only last weekend before both clubs managed their first win of the season, United at home to QPR and Leicester away at Stoke. Arguably the Foxes result was the more impressive considering the Potters had won at Eastlands the weekend before whilst United were hosting a very poor QPR side. United's win was an emphatic one but surely it's too early for Van Gaal to even be considering title ambitions on the back of a heavy win over a very mediocre Rangers. Additionally they've been beaten at home by Swansea and couldn't find their way past Sunderland or Burnley. Admittedly they've a wealth of options in attack but an experienced defender (Rojo excepted) surely has to be a target. Leicester have had probably the toughest start of any of the Premier League clubs let alone a newly promoted one. They managed to hold Everton and Arsenal at the Walkers Stadium with the 2-goal defeat at Stamford Bridge no worse than expected. We've already mentioned their win last weekend at the Britannia and it was fully deserved with even defeated manager Mark Hughes admitting so. Expect them to adopt a similar gameplan at home to United with the onus on the away side to attack. Powell is unable to face his parent club whilst Schmeichel could return in place of Hamer. Ulloa remains their best chance of a goal and Leicester could frustrate United with both sides sharing the spoils.
Draw 1-1
  Tottenham v West Brom
  Spurs threw away two points at the Stadium of Light last weekend. They dominated for much of the game creating plenty of chances but ultimately a late Harry Kane own goal gifted Sunderland a share of the spoils. The previous defeat by Liverpool gives a truer picture of where Tottenham are at the moment but there's no denying there's been an improvement under Pochettino. Players signed by AVB have thrived under the new manager and last weekend they took the game to Sunderland with Dembele replacing Bentaleb in the centre of midfield. They host a West Brom side struggling near the foot of the table and only above bottom side Newcastle courtesy of slightly superior goal difference. The Baggies are without a win this season and that's hardly a surprise considering how poor they were at home to Everton last weekend. Ben Foster's goalkeeping error eventually secured the game for the Toffees but it has to be said that Foster made some impressive saves after his faux-pas, all to no effect. Alan Irvine rightly states that they've had a large number of players flowing in/out of the club over the course of the summer but rebuilding coupled with a new manager spells a season of struggle ahead. They need to get their gameplan right at White Hart Lane otherwise Spurs could have a field day.
Home Win 3-0
Sun 16:00 Everton v Crystal Palace
  The Toffees finally secured their first win of the season by sticking two past the Baggies at the Hawthorns. Not only was it their first victory but also their first clean sheet of the campaign after leaking 10 goals in the previous three matches. Admittedly the win owed much to defensive mistakes from West Brom; Olsson's clearing header for Lukaku's superb curler and Foster's funble for Mirallas's tame shot but the three points were well deserved. Striker Kone is close to a comeback and could challenge Lukaku for a starting berth or play alongside him whilst the recovering Distin could replace Stones at centre-half. They host a Palace side without a win to date but improving after draws at Newcastle and at home to Burnley. They've keeper Speroni to thank for a late penalty save against the Clarets that effectively earned them their second point of the season. Only goal difference is keeping the Eagles out of the bottom three and it's difficult to see Warnock matching what former manager Tony Pulis achieved in such a short time. Joe Ledley wasn't fit enough to make it off the bench against Burnley but could feature at Goodison whilst Gayle continues up front in place of the injured Chamakh. Palace can be expected to make it a decent contest but Everton are likely to have the final say.
Home Win 2-1
  Man City v Chelsea
  The weekend's football concludes with a battle between what's expected to be the main contenders for the Premier League title. City are the current holders but Chelsea are the side currently sitting at the top of the table enjoying a 5-point advantage over their opponents. The Blues remain the only side in the top flight with a 100% record after four games played, this obviously their biggest challenge to date. They smashed Everton at Goodison despite conceding three and beat Swansea, the only other side with an unblemished record until last weekend, by four goals to two. Chelsea have already netted a massive 15 times but conceded six, far too many for their liking. Costa has seven of those goals including his first hat-trick in English football but a sensitive hamstring problem means he may not feature as often as the Chelsea fans would like. Costa aside, Mourinho appears to have no doubts over his playing staff for the trip to the Etihad. Opponents City haven't had the greatest couple of weeks with defeat at home to Stoke followed by a draw at the Emirates. However, there was worse to come with a late Munich winner from Boateng in this week's Champions League fixture. Fernando and Jovetic are out with groin and hamstring injuries respectively but otherwise Pellegrini's side is at full strength. Chelsea were the only side to win at Eastlands last season and coupled with the defeat by Stoke, the away side might have the edge but City's fortunes should improve and am leaning towards the draw.
Draw 1-1

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