Archived Premier League Tips (4th October 2014)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (4th October 2014)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 4th to Sun 5th October 2014.


Archvied Premier League football betting tips (4th to 5th Oct 2014)

Sat 15:00 Hull v Crystal Palace
  So far this season Hull have promised much but failed to deliver. Since winning at Loftus Road on the opening weekend they've gone on to draw three and lose two of the following five top flight matches. Last weekend they got back on terms at home to Man City after going two goals behind only to succumb midway through the second half and eventually lose the game by four goals to two. Too often the Tigers have dropped points late on in games this season and that shows in their current league position; 16th and just two points above the bottom three. They take on a Palace side that are undefeated in four and one that has profited late on in games. They equalised in the dying minutes at St James's Park and in their most recent away fixture (at Goodison) were 3-1 up before finally winning 3-2. The Eagles subsequently followed those performances with a comprehensive two-goal win over newly promoted Leicester at Selhurst Park. Warnock is already worried about losing Jedinak to the Asia Cup in January especially as the midfielder has proved a valuable asset in recent matches. This game could swing either way and the vallue bet has to be on the draw.
Draw 1-1
  Leicester v Burnley
  Leicester failed to make it three wins on the bounce after being tactically undone by the Eagles at Selhurst Park. Following victories at Stoke and at home to United, the Palace defeat brought them back down with a bump but provides a dose of reality after their early successes. It'll be a long hard season for the Foxes and the goal was always going to be survival and 40 points no matter how they get them. Cambiasso needs to find a performance similar to the one produced against United and not the one that saw him substituted on the hour at Palace. They host bottom club Burnley who are still without a win and who were on the end of a 4-goal hammering at the Hawthorns following three successive goalless draws. Results show exactly where the problems lie for the Clarets and that is in the goalscoring department. Premier League survival can be discounted if Dyche fails to find an answer to the goals they so desperately need. Only midfielder Scott Arfield has managed to find himself on the scoresheet this season and that's a poor return for the newly promoted club after six matches played. A conservative defensive approach will only get Burnley so far and they need to gamble a bit more if they're to get some points on the board. Unless there's a change in tactics this looks like a valuable win for the home side.
Home Win 1-0
  Liverpool v West Brom
  After two successive victories West Brom are actually a point and four places above hosts Liverpool. The Baggies didn't have the best of starts under new manager Alan Irvine with plenty of player in/outs at the club but a single-goal victory at White Hart Lane followed by a comfortable win over Burnley at the Hawthorns have turned things around. It was also a second successive clean sheet for the club and much of the credit has to go to centre-half Lescott looking to get his career back on track as well as striker Berahino who grabbed a brace. Arguably the trip to Anfield is a step up in class despite Liverpool taking just a single point from their last three matches. Defeats at home to Villa and away at West Ham preceded a draw with Everton, a game they really should've held on to win were it not for Jagielka's spectacular injury-time equaliser. There's no doubt the Reds are missing striker Daniel Sturridge but Rodgers still has a strong squad despite the absence of injuries Johnson, Allen, Sakho and Flanagan. Their Champions League hopes also took a battering this week following defeat in Switzerland and a brace of fixtures against Real Madrid to come. West Brom have progressed but surely it won't be long before Liverpool rediscover winning ways.
Home Win 1-0
  Sunderland v Stoke
  Surprise survival package from last season, Sunderland, have far from lived up to the expectations during this campaign's opening matches. The Mackems have turned into the top flight's draw specialists with five stalemates from six matches played, the other a single-goal defeat at Loftus Road. They're now just a point off the bottom three and it's beginning to look like they've a winter ahead facing another relegation battle. Stalemates away at Burnley and at home to Swansea point to a deficit of goals but others may point to the recent League Cup defeat against Stoke at the Stadium of Light as an indicator to how this match might turn out. Stoke's season hasn't been particularly great either, the single-goal victory at the Etihad excepted. They managed an identical scoreline at home to Newcastle last weekend but the performance have been far from convincing. The Potters are mid-table but with the same number of draws, defeats and victories from their six matches to date it's difficult to be swayed by any of their results. Marco Muniesa was the difference in their League Cup win over the Black Cats but the home side should've learnt from the mistakes of a week or so ago. Poyet will be hoping that Brown and Giaccherini are ruled fit but recent results point towards the draw.
Draw 1-1
  Swansea v Newcastle
  Alan Pardew appears to have been given a reprieve by Newcastle owner Mike Ashley despite losing to a Crouch header at Stoke on Monday night. Not surprisingly a number of Magpies fans what Pards out after winning just five Premier League matches in 2014. Newcastle twice hit the Potters' woodwork but in all truth the single-goal defeat was an accurate reflection of the match. So Pardew's side are still without a win and only their goals scored tally is keeping them above bottom side Burnley. How much longer before Ashley's patience runs out remains to be seen. The games certainly don't get any easier with a trip to Swansea next on the fixture list. The Swans are still top five after a goalless draw at Sunderland ended a sequence of two defeats. Garry Monk will be keen for his players to return to the form that saw them win their opening three top flight fixtures. Angel Rangel is suspended after seeing red at the Stadium of Light but only misses this game with Ashley Richards set to replace him. Other than that Swansea are at full strength and will pose a very different set of problems for opponents Newcastle. Can't see the away side getting anything from this one.
Home Win 2-0
Sat 17:30 Aston Villa v Man City
  At first glance one could be forgiven for thinking that this game is perfectly set up for Villa on the counter. However their good start to the season has been undone by the visit of Arsenal and last weekend's trip to Stamford Bridge. Both matches ended in three-goal defeats; the Gunners ripped Villa apart in a first-half five-minute spell whilst Chelsea scored early on and set the tone for the rest of the game. Without doubt they're missing injured centre-half Ron Vlaar and again he's likely to be missing this week. However striker Benteke may start after returning from injury with a 65-minute run-out for Villa's under-21s. Opponents City will be looking for maximum points at Villa Park with ground to make up on league leaders Chelsea. The 7-goal League Cup thrashing of Sheffield Wednesday may yet mark a turnaround for the club after travelling to the KC Stadium and eventually emerging winners. Frank Lampard once again made the victory safe but not even he could turn the tide at home to Roma in this week's Champions League stalemate. City are really up against it to qualify for the knockout stages after losing in Munich in their opening group game and victory in the Premier League could prove a welcome distraction. Nasri and Fernando are out injured whilst some have questioned the work ethic of Toure in midfield with him often described recently as something of a passenger. This is another big game for the home side and the absence of Vlaar hands the advantage to City.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 12:00 Man Utd v Everton
  Life's never dull at Old Trafford but the jury's still out on whether United have turned the corner. They might've crept up to 7th in the table but were left clinging on at home against West Ham after seeing the Hammers pull a goal back followed shortly by Rooney's dismissal. Interestingly centre-half Paddy McNair came out of the game with plenty of credit and it remains to be seen whether he keeps his place for the weekend. Rooney obviously didn't emerge with credit and is now banned for three matches. There was additional bad news for Van Gaal with Herrera likely to miss several weeks out after sustaining a rib injury. That's in addition to Carrick, Jones, Evans and Smalling who're all struggling with injuries. They host a Toffees side struggling at the wrong end of the table after winning just a single top flight match this season, away at the Hawthorns. Recently Everton were beaten at home by Palace but rallied at Anfield to claim a point courtesy of a spectacular Jagielka equaliser. Kevin Mirallas is their latest injury and joins Ross Barkely plus a number of others who are doubts going into this match. Expect goals from two sides that've leaked plenty this season but no decisive outcome.
Draw 1-1
Sun 14:05 Chelsea v Arsenal
  The Gunners bounced back from their disappointing draw with north London rivals Spurs last weekend by beating Galatasaray 4-1 in the midweek Champions League group fixture at the Emirates. A hat-trick for Danny Welbeck wass a kick in the teeth for his critics who've claimed that he doesn't score enough. The Arsenal fans appear to have taken the former United striker to their hearts, primarily for his workrate in winning the ball back, but the goals have been an added bonus. Though they weren't at their best, the draw with Tottenham lifted Wenger's side up to fourth in the table and they're still undefeated after half a dozen Premier League matches. They travel to Stamford Bridge where league leaders Chelsea currently hold a 6-point advantage. The Blues have only dropped points in a single Premier League fixture this season and with Arsenal remain the only undefeated sides in the top flight. Chelsea's draw came at the Etihad so is by no means a poor result. Mourinho's side are also cruising in the Champions League after nicking the win in Lisbon and currently top their group. Drogba and Ramieres are the only injury concerns for Chelsea but Costa is the man to watch after netting eight times in the Premier League alone. Should be goals but the home side have the edge.
Home Win 2-1
  Tottenham v Southampton
  Spurs will be happy with their point at the Emirates last weekend despite leading the Gunners for almost 20 minutes. They really should've made more of their opportunities but at least they've put the defeat at home to West Brom behind them. However, they've already lost 3-0 at home to Liverpool this season with the Reds currently struggling in the bottom half of the table. Spurs' other home results have been a resounding 4-goal victory over QPR and a less than flattering 3-1 win over Forest in the League Cup. The lilywhites now find themselves behind United in eighth and have gone over a month without winning a league match. Southampton on the other hand are flying after stringing together four straight victories. They made hard work of it last weekend at home to QPR but a scissor-kick from Pelle won them the game to keep them two points clear of third-placed City. Koeman might be surprised by the start the Saints have made to this campaign but not half as shocked as everyone else considering the number of players passing through the St Mary's exit door during the summer. Capoue and Rose are doubts for Spurs whilst Rodriguez and Ward-Prowse are still absent for Southampton but the form lies with the Saints and they'll be wanting to put one former manager Pochettino.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 16:15 West Ham v QPR
  Even though Man Utd's problems have been well documented it was always going to be tough for West Ham to go to Old Trafford and take something from the game. 2-1 to the home side wasn't really a surprising result but United were clinging on after the Hammers pulled a goal back and Rooney was sent off. It leaves West Ham on seven points having won just two top flight fixtures this season although their play has often deserved more. Mark Noble missed the Old Trafford trip with an ankle problem and remains a doubt but Nolan returned to the side and could start at home against newly promoted QPR. Rangers are already embroiled in a relegation battle with a single point currently enough to keep them off the bottom of the table. They showed girt and resolve to get back in the game at Southampton last weekend with a superb Charlie Austin volley only to be undone a couple of minutes later by an equally good scissor-kick from Italian striker Graziano Pelle. Mutch is out with a hamstring problem whilst Sandro is a doubt after being forced off at St Mary's with a head injury. To date QPR have lost all four away matches this season including a single-goal defeat at Burton in the League Cup. This should be a happy day for the Hammers with QPR's dismal away record set to continue.
Home Win 2-0

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