Archived Premier League Tips (18th October 2014)

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Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips (18th October 2014)

Premier league football betting tips are given one of the following three ratings:

Banker

 Banker, large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely.

Likely

 Likely outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble.

Prudent

 Worth a flutter, small stake, be prudent and stick to matches where you can spot the value.


Below were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 18th to Mon 20th October 2014.


Archived Premier League football betting tips (18th to 20th Oct 2014)

Sat 12:45 Man City v Tottenham
  The weekend football gets off to a mouthwatering start at the Etihad on Saturday lunchtime as second-placed City host sixth-placed Spurs. Only three points separates the two clubs seven fixtures into the season but there's a wider gulf in talent available to the respective managers. However, coming off the back of a series of international games, the playing field may well be a little more level than otherwise. City have surprisingly dropped points in three games this season including a home defeat to Stoke and a draw, also at home, with league leaders Chelsea. Recent results have seen an upturn in fortune with victories at Hull and Villa Park. Pellegrini is further boosted by a virtually fully fit squad with the expected return of Fernandinho, the exception being Samir Nasri who's suffering with a groin injury. Tottenham's form has been patchy but they ended a run of four top flight games without a win with a single-goal victory over in-form Southampton. The preceding draw at the Emirates wasn't a bad result either but home defeats to Liverpool and West Brom have soured an otherwise good start. Pochettino remains unimpressed with strikers Soldado and Adebayor but has little alternative until January with Harry Kane the only other option. Fortunately the midfield are chipping in with goals though the Spurs back line may struggle to contain City's attacking threat.
Home Win 2-1
Sat 15:00 Arsenal v Hull
  The Gunners fell behind arch-rivals Tottenham following their expected defeat at Stamford Bridge. They lie eighth in the table but only four points separates them from second. However, Arsenal have won just two Premier League matches so far this season though it has to be said that the recent 2-0 loss to Chelsea has been their only defeat. No one doubts the talent at Arsene Wenger's disposal but injuries have had a massive impact on the players available. Chambers has deputised ably for the injured Debuchy but the English defender is suspended for this game suggesting a rare start for Bellerin at right back. Ozil, Ramsey, Arteta and Giroud are all big misses but rumour has it that Walcott is fit to start on the bench and could feature at some point following a lengthy lay-off with a knee injury. They host a Hull side themselves with only two top flight victories this season. The Tigers are mid-table but those wins have come against bottom half sides QPR and Palace. Snodgrass has been absent since sustaining a knee injury on the opening day at Loftus Road and McGregor is expected to miss a month with a shoulder problem but Elmohamady should've recovered from the knock that forced him off in the recent win over the Eagles. Neither side has quite lived up to expectation this season but Arsenal have more in the way of quality and should win on home soil.
Home Win 2-1
  Burnley v West Ham
  Burnley are one of only two sides this season still without a top flight victory. As a result they're second from bottom with goal difference keeping them above QPR but two points shy of safety. Goals have been in short supply so far but the Clarets tripled their tally in the last gasp draw at Leicester with one apiece from Michael Kightly and Ross Wallace. Dyche was pleased with the performance and a point especially after the preceding heavy defeat at the Hawthorns. However their lack of goal threat will continue to handicap them with far more difficult games to come. Only Chelsea have beaten them at Turf Moor this season, the other results goalless draws against United and Sunderland. Opponents West Ham are well placed in the top half of the table following a comfortable win over bottom side QPR. On the road form has been mixed with a good win at Selhurst Park, a draw at Hull and a narrow defeat at Old Trafford. Collins, Jenkinson and Noble are all doubts but to date returns from niggling injuries haven't been ruled out. The Hammers are less reliant on route one football nowadays and create chances, one of which might be enough against a goal-shy Burnley.
Away Win 0-1
  Crystal Palace v Chelsea
  League leaders Chelsea remain the only undefeated side in the Premier League after taking 19 points from the 21 available so far this season. The draw which blotts their copybook came at the Etiahd against the title holders so still a positive result. Most recently they were comfortable 2-0 winners over Arsenal with striker Diego Costa netting his ninth goal of the season, all in the top flight. Seven goals conceded might be too much for Mourinho's liking but with the Blues so prolific in front of goal there's little need for concern. They travel to Selhurst Park where recently Palace notched their first home win of the campaign, a two-goal victory over Leicester. That followed a well-fought win at Goodison but they were well beaten last time out at the KC Stadium where Hull were the better side by a couple of goals. The Eagles are drifting towards the wrong end of the table but can't be faulted for their approach. The big miss for them is centre-half Scott Dann who suffered a knee injury in that Hull defeat. Whichever way you dress this up, it'll be difficult for Palace to take anything from the game.
Away Win 0-2
  Everton v Aston Villa
  After a great start to the season Villa now find themselves mid-table following three successive defeats without scoring. However it should be added that that hat-trick of losses came against Arsenal, Chelsea and City combining in an aggregate 8-0 result. It should also be noted that they've been without stalwart defender Ron Vlaar since the 2-1 victory over Hull and he remains a doubt ahead of this game. Agbonlahor should've recovered from illness after missing the City defeat and Benteke could start after playing half-hour in that game giving Villa a fresh attacking threat. They travel to Goodison where the Toffees are struggling in a very unfamiliar 17th position. Just a couple of points above the relegation places, Everton have won just one of seven top flight matches this season; a 2-goal victory at West Brom and their only clean sheet. Conceding goals early in the season was at the root of their problems but they've since tightened up only to hear the news that defender John Stones could be out until the new year after sustaining a serious ankle injury. Distin will likely replace the youngster but Martinez has other problems with Mirallas definitely out and Coleman and McCarthy both doubts. To add to their problems, Lukaku hasn't quite hit the form of last season scoring just twice since his permanent move. Difficult to see which way this one'll go and sticking with the draw.
Draw 1-1
  Newcastle v Leicester
  The Magpies remain in the bottom three after a 2-2 draw at the Liberty just prior to the international break and are still one of only two Premier League sides without a top flight victory this season. The pressure is still mounting on manager Alan Pardew especially after owner Ashley was allegedly quoted as saying that Pards was finished should they lose at Stoke. He's also under growing pressure from the fans despite a level of satisfaction with how his players are performing. Cisse scored all four goals in Newcastle's draws with Swansea and Hull but the striker remains something of an enigma. However, Pardew has few other options in front of goal. Keeper Krul could miss this one with an elbow problem whilst Dummett and Janmaat are also doubts after missing international fixtures. Other absentees include Aarons, de Jong and Santon. They host a Leicester side doing somewhat better than their counterparts and up to mid-table after successive victories over United and Stoke. A subsequent defeat at Palace and home draw with Burnley have marred any progress. At least they're scoring goals which is a requisite for any newly promoted side with Ulloa now up to five for the campaign. With the Magpies yet to win this season and Leicester showing themselves capable, a point apiece is looking a favourable result.
Draw 1-1
  Southampton v Sunderland
  The Saints suffered a surprise defeat last time out when visiting White Hart Lane. They were on the wrong end of a single-goal defeat, only the second game this season in which they've failed to score. By no means was it a bad performance but maybe more of a reality check. However, Southampton remain third and two points clear of fourth-placed United. Also they're unbeaten at St Mary's ahead of hosting a mid-table Sunderland side. Up until recently the Black Cats were looking like the top flight's draw specialists having drawn five of their six opening matches, losing the other by a solitary goal at Loftus Road. However, they dismantled a Stoke side thanks to strong finishing from strikers Wickham and Fletcher, a brace from the latter, to give them their first win of the season. With other sides around them losing the Mackems finished the weekend four places up the table with a bit more breathing space between them and the drop zone. So Poyet finally has his first-choice strikers fit but Giaccherini is out for a month or so with an ankle problem. There's no change on the injury front for Ronald Koeman with Rodriguez and Ward-Prowse long-term layoffs. Too early to say if Sunderland have turned the corner but expect Southampton to bounce back from that rare defeat with a win.
Home Win 2-1
Sun 13:30 QPR v Liverpool
  Five defeats from the opening seven matches and the worst goal difference in the top flight leaves Rangers bottom of the Premier League pile. No doubt Harry Redknapp's job isn't as safe as he'd like it but they've tried to address the goals problem after only scoring four times this season by bringing in old boy Les Ferdinand. Defending hasn't been great either after conceding fifteen times already, four at both Tottenham and Old Trafford, and one fears the worst against another of the league's bigger sides. However, QPR do have home advantage against a Liverpool side that've lost three of four away games in all competitions this season. We should add though that the only time they've really clicked so far this campaign was when they won convincingly 3-0 at White Hart Lane. The Reds might be mid-table but they're only four points off second-placed City so probably prudent to reserve judgement. Everyone's aware that Liverpool have missed Daniel Sturridge since he sustained a thigh injury against Switzerland over a month ago but he could finally be fit to play some part this weekend. Lovren is also a slight doubt after withdrawing from the Croatia squad but it could be too soon for a return for Mamadou Sakho. It's doubtful whether Sterling is still suffering from tiredness and should take his place in a side that look far better on paper than QPR but the margin is unlikely to flatter the away side.
Away Win 1-2
Sun 16:00 Stoke v Swansea
  No win in four for Swansea after a sensational start to the season. However they've bounced back from defeats against Chelsea and Southampton with draws at Sunderland and at home to Newcastle. They remain fifth in the table, just three points behind second-placed City. Manager Monk was rightly disappointed not to beat the Magpies with lapses in concentration to blame for the two points dropped. Jonjo Shelvey is suspended for this game after picking up a fifth yellow card with midfielder Tom Carroll his likely replacement. They travel to the Britiannia where Stoke are having a very mixed bag so far this season. The undoubted highlight has been the victory at the Etihad whilst lowlights have included home defeats to Villa and Leicester. The problem is that games involving the Potters are generally low on goals and invariably one goal is often enough to decide the outcome which makes far from comfortable viewing as a manager. On the positive side they don't concede many, the three let in recently at Sunderland an exception, whilst the downside is obviously that they don't score enough. Speaking of strikers, Diouf is probably out with a hamstring problem, along with Odemwingie and Arnautovic leaving Crouch to lead the line. With the Potters struggling in front of goal, this game could be set up for a Swansea side that hit with pace on the counter.
Away Win 1-2
Mon 20:00 West Brom v Man Utd
  The extent of United's injury list makes scary reading especially in defence. Paddy McNair is now a doubt with a hamstring injury and can be added to other absentees including Jones, Smalling, Evans and Carrick. In attack they're missing Herrera and the suspended Wayne Rooney. Recent results have been positive, 2-1 victories over both West Ham and Everton at Old Trafford, but one can't help thinking that United are currently papering over the cracks despite their lofty fourth position. There's a distinct lack of balance to the side likely to be exposed on the road. Away from home Van Gaal's side are yet to win having registered defeats at Leicester and MK Dons interspersed with draws at Burnley and Sunderland. They travel to the Hawthorns where West Brom have finally got their game going despite the 2-1 defeat at Anfield just prior to the international break. Prior to that they won at Tottenham and put four past Burnley, both without conceding, to lift themselves out of the bottom three. Alan Irvine's side looks far more balanced and Lescott's return to fitness has added much stability at the back. Much of the goalscoring responsibility has fallen to Berahino but the under-21 striker has responded appropriately and could prove the difference. Gambling on the Baggies to take their chances with a defensive crisis threatening to derail United.
Home Win 2-1

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